Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/5)-(6/3/5) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
FE-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(6/3/5)-(3/4/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(3/4/6)-(2/5/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(2/5/7)-(7/1/5/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANISH BELLE Jul13 Jun26       (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00    
2  FAITHFUL GIFT Jul08 Jun15 May27 Oct15 Sep30 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  RING IT UP Sep30 Sep23 Sep03 Aug26 Aug09 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
4  ONE HELL OF A GIRL Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 Dec05 Nov17 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00    
5  SUGAR DROP Jul08 Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 Oct08 (humb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 ★    
 
FE-2   07/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER SNOW Jun19 May03 Nov02 Oct10 Aug16 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 1.80    
2  NICE BABY Jun15 May22 Jul02 Jun04 Mar24 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 3.00    
3  GETTING AHEAD Jun24 Jun10 Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  SILVER CANDICE Jul14 May27 Dec10 Nov27 Nov04 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 ★    
5  SOUPER COP Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May23 May10 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-3   07/22/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENAGERIE Jun24 Jun03 Oct15 Sep23 Sep10 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00    
2  TURF AND SURF Jul14 Jun30 May27 Nov29 Nov14 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.50    
3  EMERALD LAKE Jun20 Dec07 Nov16 Oct17 Sep27 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
4  BORN TO BE GOOD Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 Oct22 Oct01 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00    
5  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Jun10 Jun03 Oct03 Sep17 Aug18 (husban)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SIGIRIYA Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 Jun10 May23 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  LULU'S LULLABY Jul01 Jun24 May27 Nov29 Nov16 (squire)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  DREAMING OF HOPE Jul07 Dec14 Nov15 Oct22 Oct08 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 119 2.50    
 
FE-4   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR STELLA Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 Sep20 Aug23 (dunslow j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of ROXHAM by FREUD)
2  SCARY BOO Jul03 Jun14 May16 May10 Dec07 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of TRIPLLINDEE by SIGNATURE RED)
3  SPEEDY LADY Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 May27   (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
4  JUSTIFY PERFECTION Jun10 Apr20 Mar23 Feb01   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILENT PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
5  LOTS OF LEGACIES Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 Jun16   (bennet)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00    
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
6  REALLOVEISLUCKY Jul08 Jun30 Dec13 Nov28 Nov14 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SKYBOUND by SKY CLASSIC)
 
FE-5   07/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN WIND Jul01 Oct15 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00    
2  EXCEED Jun30 Jun03 Dec15 Dec01 Nov16 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  SPITE STORE Jul14 Jun30 May29 May16 Nov23 (bird alan)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 6.00 ★    
4  M C JACKHAMMER Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 May27 Oct21 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 12.00    
5  CORE Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 Oct22 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 14% 6.30    
6  FORESTER HUMOR Jul07 Jun27 Jun13 May18 Dec15 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 4.00    
7  MOBILIZER Jul07 Jun24 Jun10 May27 Oct15 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   07/22/2025 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER HONEY TIMBER Jul01 Jun10 May27 Oct07 Sep16 (neubauer mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
2  HOLIDAY IN JAIL Jul07 Jun23 Dec06 Nov22 Nov03 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00    
3  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Jun30 Jun03 May27 Mar28 Feb28 (bailey barbar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUNNING ARGUMENT Jul14 Jul01 Mar15 Jan31 Jan09 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 15.00    
5  KID GIZMO Jul07 Jun21 May27 Dec12 Nov24 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
6  GAMBLER'S POSE Jun30 Jun03 Sep17 Aug27 Jul21 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
7  KNOTTY AND NICE Jul07 Jun23 Dec12 Nov22 Oct31 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 49% 1.00    
8  MORAL TURPITUDE Jul04 May29 May16 May03 Dec01 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.