Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $14.40 $8.40 140%
FE-4   WIN (6/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    EXA (6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-6 $15.75 $3.75 31%
    TRI (6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80  8-6-3 $14.31 $9.51 198%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:223 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARRIVEDERCCI 1 2 13 13½   13 11¾ (golden)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 42% 1.40 1.85 W
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) 3 3 45½ 45½   33 21¾ (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 22% 3.50 6.25 P
4  FAITHFUL GIFT 4 5 69½ 611¾   56 36 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 4.00  
5  SHES A DARLING 5 1 23 23½   23 46¾ (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 10.70  
6  SINFUL FORESTER 6 4 34 35½   45 510¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.40 1.65  
2  CAN'T BUY CLASS 2 6 59 511½   68½ 610¾ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 5% 19.00 15.05  
 
FE-2   08/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE 3 3 1nk 1½   11½ 11¾ (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 1.20 52% 0.90 0.25 W
2  HEY LUIGI 1 4 43¾ 43   21½ 21¾ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 5.00 5% 19.00 13.35 P
6  LOADED JUSTICE 5 1 3.2 2½   31½ 36¾ (new)DENNIS JEREMIAH 120 12.00 19.00  
5  SILVER PISTOL 4 2 2nk 3½   42½ 410¼ (newlan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 25% 3.00 2.75  
3  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 2 5 56¾ 510   58½ 515 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 20.00 44.60  
SCR  ONTARIO HOLIDAY               (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50    
 
FE-3   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:221 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MIA AND ME 6 1 22 22   1½ 11¼ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50 44% 1.30 2.00 W
7  PAPERBACK HERO 7 5 56 33½   2½ 21¼ (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 25% 3.00 3.15 P
4  BILL NEEDLE 4 4 77½ 78¼   64 34½ (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 124 6.00 29.85  
3  MR. MARSHALL 3 7 45½ 43½   42½ 44¾ (raghunath er)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.50 8% 11.60 4.75  
1  TOLD IT ALL 1 3 33 53¾   52½ 55¼ (chircop steven)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.65  
5  FOREST FLASH 5 2 12 12   31½ 65½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 124 5.00 9.50  
2  BLAME J D 2 6 67 67¾   74½ 76¾ (mileni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 2.60  
 
FE-4   08/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:221 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROLLING ROXXX 7 3 611 610½   34½ 1¾ (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 9% 10.70 3.40 W
6  PRINCESS O DENMARK 5 1 16 16   14 2¾ (davis richard )JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 36% 1.80 1.80 P
3  HEBRIDEAN MISS 3 6 712 712½   77 31 (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 3.00 17% 4.90 6.95 S
7  MAGNETIZE 6 7 36½ 26   24 43½ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 2.80  
1  CHARLETTA 1 4 47½ 48½   66 54 (hum)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 4.50 15% 5.50 4.45 DH
5  LOTS OF LEGACIES 4 5 58 59   55½ 54 (bennett d)MAILHOT P 122 30.00 29.70 DH
2  NOTYOURHUNNY 2 2 26 36   45 74¾ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 42.15  
SCR  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN               (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 6.00    
 
FE-5   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VIDEO EVIDENCE 3 1 1½ 11   11 17 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 30% 2.40 0.45 W
  (by BIG SCREEN out of MY SWEET EMILY by ROMAN RULER)
6  MYMATHES CORRECT 6 2 2½ 21   32 27 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.55 P
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LADY SARAH by WHYWHYWHY)
4  TEAM TALABAAT 4 4 47½ 33   21 37¼ (machesne)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00 41.05  
  (by BAHJATTY out of TALABAAT by MORE THAN READY)
2  ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS 2 6 610½ 58   55 48½ (carter)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 23% 3.40 15.45  
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of LUCKY MELISSA by MOBIL)
5  REGGIE BOY 5 3 34½ 43½   43 59¾ (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 2.70  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of MISS REGINELLA by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
1  ONE HELL OF A GIRL 1 5 58½ 69   66 613¼ (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 12.85  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of DUBAI CALLING by E DUBAI)
SCR  ROLL THE CREDITS               (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CATIENUS out of WINNING ACTRESS by ACADEMY AWARD)
 
FE-6   08/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LINDA'S OPAL 5 1 11 12   11 1¼ (neubau)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 4.00  
6  TOWN'S A BREEZE 6 3 21 22   21 2¼ (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 43% 1.30 1.15 P
2  DISGRUNTLEDPELICAN 2 5 31½ 34   33 35¾ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 21% 3.70 1.95 S
3  BAMBOO'S BABE 3 4 42 45½   44 47¼ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00 29.20  
4  HELANA 4 2 64 58½   55½ 57¼ (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 5.60  
1  ALWAY'S ROSIE 1 6 53½ 610   67½ 615½ (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00 6% 16.10 39.25  
 
FE-7   08/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HAY HAY PAULA 3 6 53½ 56½   52¼ 1½ (chircop steven)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 3.85  
5  FANNY M 5 2 31 21   2nk 2½ (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 13.70  
6  FRAC AMOUR 6 1 11 11   1nk 3½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 38% 1.60 5.50 S
4  JULIE'S MIST 4 5 41½ 42½   42 42¾ (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 4.05  
2  ADDENDUM 2 3 21 32   31 53 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 122 1.80 35% 1.80 0.75  
1  PRINCESS BU CHERRO 1 4 63¾ 612½   66¼ 617¼ (bailey barbar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 54.60  
 
FE-8   08/04/2025 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:244 :473 1:153     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST IN CLASS 1 2 43½ 46½   11½ 1½ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 10% 9.20 1.90 W
6  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE 6 5 713 711½   31½ 2½ (mcmahon willi)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00 21.65  
5  BRITISH SEA 5 7 67 69   21½ 31½ (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 56% 0.80 4.25 S
7  NINO DE MAMA 7 8 817 814   62¾ 44¼ (rob)DENNIS JEREMIAH 120 30.00 47.10  
2  HEAVYLIKEACHEVY 2 3 11 11½   51¾ 510½ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 9% 10.00 8.20  
10  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE 8 1 31 32   41¾ 610½ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 6.00 8.90  
3  BOURBON NORTH 3 4 21 21½   73 715½ (coun)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00 5% 19.00 2.00  
4  WANNA'S LEGACY 4 6 54 57½   811 825 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 118 3.50 13.85  
SCR  JERSEY KING               (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
SCR  WAR EMPIRE               (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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