Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/5/2)-(6/7/3/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/3/1/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-3   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/1)-(6/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/1)-(6/3/1/8)-(3/7/2/6) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-4   WIN (6/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/8)-(3/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/8)-(3/7/2/6)-(6/2/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-5   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/6)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-6   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(5/1/2/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-7   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-8   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARRIVEDERCCI Jun15 May15 Apr24 Apr03 Jul11 (golden)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 42% 1.40    
2  CAN'T BUY CLASS Jun23 Jun02 May11 Feb12 Oct23 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 Jun03 Dec01 (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
4  FAITHFUL GIFT Jul22 Jul08 Jun15 May27 Oct15 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
5  SHES A DARLING Jun23 Jun10 Oct22 Oct07 Sep05 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00    
6  SINFUL FORESTER Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Jun05 May23 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.40    
 
FE-2   08/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONTARIO HOLIDAY Jul21 Jun24 Jun13 May18 May04 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50    
2  HEY LUIGI Jul21 Dec07 Nov21 Oct25 Sep27 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep10 Aug05 (keen howard)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 20.00    
4  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE Jul03 May27 May17 Apr26 Dec13 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 1.20 52% 0.90    
5  SILVER PISTOL Jul21 Oct25 Oct01 Sep13 Aug23 (newlan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  LOADED JUSTICE Jul13 Jun24 Dec06 Nov17 Oct18 (new)DENNIS JEREMIAH 120 12.00    
 
FE-3   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOLD IT ALL Jun13 May18 Feb07 Jan17 Dec08 (chircop st)CAMPOS LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLAME J D Jul18 Jun27 Jun05 Apr26 Apr06 (mileni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50    
3  MR. MARSHALL Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May29 Apr27 (raghunath er)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.50 8% 11.60    
4  BILL NEEDLE Jul21 Jul08 Jun23 May27 Oct21 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 124 6.00    
5  FOREST FLASH Jul27 Jul07 Jun10 Oct22 Oct07 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 124 5.00    
6  MIA AND ME Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May27 Dec15 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  PAPERBACK HERO Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May27 Oct15 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
FE-4   08/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLETTA Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Jun03   (hum)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
2  NOTYOURHUNNY Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Oct08   (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
3  HEBRIDEAN MISS Jul24 Jun29       (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN Jul13 Oct08 Sep16 Aug12 Jul29 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 6.00    
5  LOTS OF LEGACIES Jul22 Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 Jun16 (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 30.00    
6  PRINCESS O DENMARK Jun03 Oct14 Oct03 Sep05 Aug22 (davis richard )JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  MAGNETIZE Jul13 Dec06 Nov22 Oct24 Sep26 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50    
8  ROLLING ROXXX Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 Sep28 Sep01 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 9% 10.70    
 
FE-5   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE HELL OF A GIRL Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 Dec05 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of DUBAI CALLING by E DUBAI)
2  ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS         (carter)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of LUCKY MELISSA by MOBIL)
3  VIDEO EVIDENCE Jul21 Jun23 Jun08 May27   (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of MY SWEET EMILY by ROMAN RULER)
4  TEAM TALABAAT Jul06         (machesne)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00    
  (by BAHJATTY out of TALABAAT by MORE THAN READY)
5  REGGIE BOY Jul04 Jun13 May22 Dec15 Nov21 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of MISS REGINELLA by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
6  MYMATHES CORRECT Jul07 Jun23       (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LADY SARAH by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  ROLL THE CREDITS         (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CATIENUS out of WINNING ACTRESS by ACADEMY AWARD)
 
FE-6   08/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAY'S ROSIE Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 Oct14 Sep30 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00 6% 16.10    
2  DISGRUNTLEDPELICAN Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May27 Oct31 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  BAMBOO'S BABE Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 Oct22 Oct08 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00    
4  HELANA Jul10 Jun21 May29 May10 Apr26 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00    
5  LINDA'S OPAL Jul13 Jun23 Jun03 May16 Dec01 (neubau)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
6  TOWN'S A BREEZE Jul27 Jul07 Jun15 May27 Jul07 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
FE-7   08/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May27 Mar28 (bailey barbar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ADDENDUM Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 Oct27 Sep28 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 122 1.80 35% 1.80    
3  HAY HAY PAULA Jul10 Jun27 May24 Dec07 Nov16 (chircop st)CAMPOS LUIS 122 2.50    
4  JULIE'S MIST Jul07 Jun24 May27 Dec12 Nov14 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00    
5  FANNY M Jul13 Jun27 Jun07 May10 Apr26 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
6  FRAC AMOUR Jun30 Jun15 May27 Apr27 Mar22 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
FE-8   08/04/2025 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST IN CLASS Jul07 Jun24 May27 Oct21 Oct07 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
2  HEAVYLIKEACHEVY Jun01 May20 Apr29 Jan13 Dec02 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 9% 10.00    
3  BOURBON NORTH Jun23 May24 May03 Jul06 Jun23 (coun)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WANNA'S LEGACY Jul07 May30       (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 118 3.50    
5  BRITISH SEA Jul07 Jun26 May27 Oct10 Aug15 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
6  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May27 Oct21 (mcmahon willi)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00    
7  NINO DE MAMA Jul08 Jun03 Oct07 Sep24   (rob)DENNIS JEREMIAH 120 30.00    
SCR  WAR EMPIRE Jul08 May30 Aug25 Jun15 Dec10 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50    
SCR  JERSEY KING Jul21 Jun23       (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
10  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 Oct21 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.