Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (12/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/9/6/8)-(12/9/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/9/6/8)-(12/9/6/8/4)-(12/9/6/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/9/6/8)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/9/6/8)-(5/4/3)-(2/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/7)-(2/1/4)-(3/7/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/7/1/2)-(2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/2)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/2)-(2/3/4)-(5/1/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(5/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(5/1/4/7)-(9/8/10/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/7)-(9/8/10/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-8   WIN (9/8/10/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/10/1/4)-(9/8/10/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/10/1/4)-(9/8/10/1/4)-(9/8/10/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Jul02 Jun12 May17 Apr23 Mar05 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
2  FINISTERE Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May22 Mar25 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
3  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Jul02 Jun07 May21 Apr23 Apr11 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
4  ACTION MAN Jul10 Jun23 Jun03 May03 Apr22 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 ★    
5  NET WORTH Jul02 Jun07 May13 Jul31 Jul20 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 119 4.50    
6  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Jun07 May15 Apr22 Nov29 Nov14 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ASK ISAAC Jun12 Apr22 Nov11 Nov02 Oct20 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
8  BOOYAH May20 Apr28 Jan23 Dec27 Oct06 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  HEART OF AN ANGEL Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 May17 Nov14 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00 29% 2.50    
10  ROYAL DECADENCE Jun03 May20 May04 Apr11 Mar27 (sondej amy)VIGIL NOEL 119 30.00    
11  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Jul02 Jun12 May21 Apr11 Apr05 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
12  BREEZE THE BAYOU Jul02 Jun07 Apr23 Apr01 Mar12 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 47% 1.10    
13  REASON TO BELIEVE Jul02 Jun07 May17 Mar24 Feb28 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 115 20.00    
 
TDN-2   08/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSING MEDALS Jul16 Jun26 Jun07 Dec16 Oct29 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
SCR  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jul15 Jun10 May22 Apr22 Mar24 (szczepans)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00    
3  SUGAR LOVES IT Jul15 Jun10 May22 Nov13 Oct29 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
4  COWGIRL SARA Jul16 Jun26 Jun16 May26 Mar20 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  SHES A STORM Jun11 May22 Apr29 Apr07 Mar18 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
6  ANGEL'S DESTINY Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 Dec16 Nov18 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
7  THELMA LUCILLE Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 May26 May07 (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
 
TDN-3   08/05/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOIN MISCHIEF Jul03         (flores i)FERNANDEZ R 118 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DOINWHATSHELIKES by INCLUDE)
2  GUNNER GLORY         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by DIALED IN out of FANCY FEELIN by JIMMY CREED)
3  SKYTREE Jul03 Jun17       (hamm timoth)NUNEZ Y 118 6.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
4  LEAVETHENINETYNINE         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 12.00 7% 13.60    
  (by KEEN ICE out of LENA LOVE by CITY WEEKEND)
5  TOM'S AVATAR         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of VALLEY OF MO'ARA by OVERANALYZE)
SCR  RICO SUAVE (IRE)         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 2.50    
  (by PERSIAN BOLD (IRE) out of BALLET REVIEW (IRE) by SADLER'S WELLS)
7  MACHICO MADEIRA         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 7% 13.60    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of ANGELINA by RACE DAY)
8  BISCUITS 'N GRAVY Jul03         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 12.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BROADWAY ANNIEROSE by STALWART)
9  BEAT THE BUZZER         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
TDN-4   08/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIONDETTISNITEMARE Jun24 May29 May08     (faulkner c)PEREZ A 117 2.00 18% 4.40    
2  COUNTESS COLETTE Dec19 Nov21 Oct23 Sep23 Aug07 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 1.80 57% 0.80    
SCR  LIL BIT Jun27 May27 Apr24 Apr09 Mar06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT GODDESS Feb06 Jan06 Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 (andrade h)CORREA L 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE Jul01 May27 May06 Nov13 Nov04 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00    
6  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Jul01 Jun10 May27 May06 Apr10 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
 
TDN-5   08/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 Apr11 Apr03 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 9% 9.90    
2  PASSIONFORTREASURE Aug15 Jul24 Jul02 May22 Apr19 (lopez enr)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00 6% 14.90    
3  DREAMING OF AUDREY Jul15 Jun23 May21 Apr29 Mar22 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 54% 0.90    
4  WICCA WISDOM Jul02 Jun11 May28 May03 Apr22 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
5  SACRED CONNECTION Jul15 Jul02 Jun23 Jun03 May03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
SCR  MALICED Jun11 May22 May03 Apr22 Mar26 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 8.00    
7  LUBU Jun23 Jun03 Feb06 Jan24 Dec27 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 121 3.00 10% 9.10    
8  MISS ATHLETIC Jul14 Jun18 May26 Apr28 Apr01 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
9  LATE NITE LIZZIE Jul15 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   08/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVING IN STYLE Jul01 Jun18 May28 May19 Apr12 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
2  MALI BALI Jul01 Jun03 Apr28 Mar19 Mar05 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  SPECIAL BEACH Jun18 May13 Apr22 Apr11 Apr03 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  GRACE AND GLORY Jul01 Jun03 Apr29 Apr12 Mar31 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN Jul28 Jul09 Jun30 Jun03 Feb04 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00    
6  HARD TRUTH WINS Jul04 Jun14 May22 Apr30 Nov14 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
 
TDN-7   08/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHALI J         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
2  LOOKIN AT STAR Jun28 May27       (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
3  MISS LITTLE BIT Jul07 Jun12 May27 May05 Apr23 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
4  ORGULLOSA PACIFICA Jun08 Apr28 Mar30 Mar12 Jan29 (doering mark)PEREZ A 119 3.50 5% 18.20    
5  PAMMY SUE Jun26         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  PRINCESS OPAL Jun12 May27 Mar18 Mar03 Feb05 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00    
7  LIME TREE Jul07 Jun12 Apr28 Apr11 Mar25 (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   08/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVID'S GEM Jun12 Jan29 Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LAUDA SPEED Jul03 Jun10 May14 Apr12 Mar03 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 123 15.00    
3  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Jun24 Jun04 May13 Apr02 Mar20 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 123 20.00    
4  OWN THE TOWN Jul03 Jun11 May14 Nov06 Oct22 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LATIN SPICE Jul03 Jun11 Jan03 Dec13 Oct29 (poole jeffrey)BRACHO A 123 4.50    
6  CUGINE Jun18 May22 May05 Apr08 Mar19 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00    
7  NAPA DUDE Mar27 Mar01 Jan29 Jan09 Aug20 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 123 6.00    
8  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jul15 Jul02 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
9  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Jun30 Sep03 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
10  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Mar22 Mar06 Feb03 Jan16 Dec23 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.