Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - August 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(3/1/6)-(6/10/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(6/10/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(6/10/3/2)-(8/9/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-3   WIN (6/10/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/3/2)-(6/10/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/3/2)-(6/10/3/2)-(6/10/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/3/2)-(8/9/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/10/3/2)-(8/9/2/5)-(9/11/8/10/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-4   WIN (8/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/5)-(8/9/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/5)-(8/9/6/2/5)-(8/9/6/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/2/5)-(9/11/8/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/2/5)-(9/11/8/10/3)-(10/8/9/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-5   WIN (9/11/8/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/8/10/3)-(9/11/8/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/8/10/3)-(9/11/8/10/3)-(9/11/8/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/11/8/10/3)-(10/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/11/8/10/3)-(10/8/9/6)-(9/5/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (10/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/9/6)-(10/8/1/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/9/6)-(10/8/1/9/6)-(10/8/1/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/9/6)-(9/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/8/9/6)-(9/5/3/7)-(1/4/2/7/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-7   WIN (9/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/3/7)-(1/4/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-8   WIN (1/4/2/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7/11)-(1/4/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7/11)-(1/4/2/7/11)-(1/4/2/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T GHOST ME Jul12 Sep14       (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 119 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SKYLUCK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
2  CHOWSER Jun01 Apr25 Jan03     (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
3  NYQUIST FREQUENCY Jun13 May15 Apr12 Mar02 Dec07 (blair jorda)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of IS IT GOLD by INDYGO SHINER)
4  MIKE'S MAGIC Jul18 Jun29 Jun07 Apr11   (cibelli jane)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SMILE MORE by TIZNOW)
5  FLICK (GB) Jul12 Jun05 Apr17 Mar20   (tomlinson michae)CURTIS BEN 119 4.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of RUN CARRIE RUN by ORIENTATE (GB))
6  REGENCY TALE Jun13 May26 Apr25 Mar30   (allen a )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CASUAL KISS by DEHERE)
 
CNL-2   08/01/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE JAMIE Jun13 Apr23 Feb08 Jan11 Nov13 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.00 12% 7.00    
2  TIPPLE Jun26 Apr12 Feb23 Jan31 Aug14 (rice linda)CURTIS BEN 122 2.00    
3  SUDDEN SWITCH Jun22 May18 Apr10 Jan25   (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 1.80 58% 0.70    
4  NAVANI Jul16 Jun20 May24 Apr27 Apr04 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 15.00    
5  PURE BEAUTY Jun28 Jun05 Apr05 Mar06 Jan12 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
6  CENTRAL AVENUE May28 Apr25 Aug22 Jul28 Nov25 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
 
CNL-3   08/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN EXPECTATION Jul17 Jun05 May04 Feb12 Jan12 (hester leanne)MORALES ANGEL 122 30.00    
2  RAN THE RED Jun21 Apr30 Mar16 Mar01 Feb12 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  NOSHUGFORPOP Oct14 Sep18 Jul04 Jun10 Apr05 (colebrook)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUINN ELIA Jun03 Apr24 Mar27 Feb19 Jan15 (lane j)HIRALDO JOHN 122 50.00    
SCR  SHARMIN Jul10 Jun15 May25 May11 Apr19 (mcmahon i)CENTENO E 124 8.00    
6  TOO FAST FOR YOU Jul03 Jun04 Dec29 Nov17 Oct11 (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 47% 1.10    
7  BETSYLICIOUS Apr04 Sep04 Jul05 Apr20 Mar27 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00    
8  SPIRIT OF VICTORY Jul19 Jun12 May22 Apr27 Mar28 (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
SCR  WISE AND ELEGANT May17 Dec26 Nov08 Oct20 Sep14 (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50    
10  ROADRUNNER THE CAT Jul03 May25 Apr19 Mar17 Feb18 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  AIR ONE Jul23 Jun29 Jun13 May26 May27 (dickey keith)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00    
12  OK BY ME Jul17 Jun19 May17 May04 Apr15 (werneth rob)HAMILTON WESTON 120 30.00    
 
CNL-4   08/01/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIERRA SANTA Jul09 Jun22 May31 Aug23   (williams gar)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
2  PANCAKEN         (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  IN FACT SHEZA ZASK Jul19 Apr26 Apr05     (grossman bruc)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 10.00    
4  LIL SWEEZEY Jun15 Oct27 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 (sweezey j )SANCHEZ J 119 3.50    
5  CUDDLER         (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAR AWAY EYES         (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 119 6.00 ★    
7  TASTY TIME         (bentley fenne)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 30.00    
8  FLAME DANCER Jul12 Nov10 Oct04     (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 1.60 66% 0.50    
9  SPLASH OF JACK Jul19 Oct11 Sep04 Aug24 Aug11 (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-5   08/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEDERAL EXCHANGE Jul10 Jun22 Jun05 May25 May01 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00    
2  FROST MOUNTAIN Jul10 Jun03 Apr18 Mar14 Feb15 (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.50    
3  AGENT KELLY Jul10 Jun08 May11 Nov09 Nov01 (maldonado)CARRASCO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Jun29 Jun01 May02 Mar23 Sep23 (werneth a)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00    
5  BELTANE Jul23 Jun27 May16 Oct12 Sep07 (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00    
6  MAPTITUDE Apr05 Mar14 Feb21 Jan26 Jan05 (werneth a)LOPEZ E 122 30.00    
7  HAPPY JAUNT Jun29 Jun06 May16 Nov08 Oct17 (barr donald)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00    
8  RAPIDITY Jun20 Jun07 May09 Apr11 Feb21 (magee kie)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BORLETTI (IRE) Jun29 Jun06 May03 Apr05 Mar13 (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 70% 0.40    
10  BIGTONTEN Jul10 Jun24 Jun15 May23 Apr10 (maldonado j)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  UNIWINNER May09 Mar14 Dec20 Nov15 Oct20 (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FREESTANDING Jun22 May03 Oct27 Oct06 Sep20 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
 
CNL-6   08/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($43.125K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECTOR Jun14 May02 Apr25 Nov12 Oct01 (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50 ★    
2  ROARK Jul17 Feb22 Feb06 Jan10 Dec06 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 123 50.00    
3  FUNKLE Jun12 May15 Apr17 Mar27 Mar07 (robbins w)CENTENO E 123 50.00    
SCR  BALANCE OF POWER Dec21 Nov15       (white ale)CARRASCO R 118 30.00    
5  REGGAE MAN Jul18 Jun21 Jun06 Jan19 Dec05 (lawrence jame)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
6  SURFBOARD May24 May11 Apr22 Apr02 Mar12 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIGHTNING BOSS Jul02 May05 Apr07 Mar21 Feb01 (de hor)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00    
8  DEVIL ANSE Jul11 Jun06 Apr29 Mar07 Feb12 (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 10% 8.50    
9  GOTTA HAVE A GUY Oct25 Sep28 Sep04 Aug13   (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LOTHARIO Jul12 Jun06 May27 Apr26 Aug23 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.50 67% 0.50    
11  SINGULARITY Jun26 May10 Mar01 Feb15 Jan23 (payne bea)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
12  SWEET TONE Jul17 Jun27 May25 Jan17 Dec15 (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 125 5.00    
SCR  BUTHESPRETTY Jul19 Jun20 Aug24 Aug02   (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 118 8.00    
 
CNL-7   08/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAPIDO ROSA Jun29 Jun15 May10 Apr19 Feb21 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
2  BISCUITWITHTHEBOSS Jul12 Jun15 Dec13 Oct26 Oct12 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00    
3  ISLE OF CAPRI Nov17 Sep11       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  DOUBLE AIRO Jul08 May20 May07 Apr18 Mar14 (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 118 30.00    
5  ME GOVERNOR May16 Apr11 Mar23 Nov30 Nov02 (david ca)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  PURE MAJESTIC Jul17 Jun27 May16 Apr19 Feb21 (robb j)CENTENO E 118 20.00    
7  GREAT ANDREI Jul17 Jun22 May11 Apr12 Mar08 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 15.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  SERENE SPIRIT Jul12 Jun01 Oct06 Aug17 Jul13 (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
9  DREAMAWAY Jun06 May10 Apr11 Oct05 Jul28 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.60 39% 1.60    
SCR  MOON MYSTIQUE Jun17         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
 
CNL-8   08/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY COMMANDER Jul18 Jun01 May15 Apr27 Mar19 (ochoa gerard)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 10.00 35% 1.80    
2  ITALIANO KID Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar14   (flores ir)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
3  GO TO BINGO Jun08 May11 Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 (cooney s)CENTENO E 118 4.50    
4  MAMBA MINDSET Jul18 Jun27 May09 Apr19 Apr04 (capuano)BRICENO GREGOR 118 6.00 14% 6.10    
5  BAND TOUR Jun27 Jun07 May09 Dec22 Nov30 (mccue elizab)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00    
6  WAR CODE Jul11 Jun27       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 20.00    
7  HABANA BOY Jul18 May30 May03 Apr13 Mar23 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 15.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA May15 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 Jan05 (hester leanne)MORALES ANGEL 124 30.00    
9  MOONLIT FROST Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 Feb28 Jan24 (dilodovico )HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00    
10  LEGEND'S THUNDER Jun27 Feb01 Nov30 Oct30 Sep06 (nuesch)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00    
11  BATTLE WARRIOR Jan24         (campbell michael)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALIGN Jul19 Jun28 Apr18 Mar22 Mar01 (mccutchen jason)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
SCR  CHASING THE LADIES Jul05         (smith frank)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00    
SCR  WILEY WILLARD Jul26 Jul12 Jun16 Jul25   (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.