Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (9/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/2)-(9/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/2)-(9/1/5/2)-(9/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/5/2)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/2)-(5/6)-(4/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/5/7)-(6/5/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(6/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(6/5/9)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/9)-(6/5/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/9)-(6/5/4/9)-(6/5/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/9)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9)-(6/2/4)-(3/6/1/11/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/6/1/11/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/6/1/11/4)-(2/5/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/6/1/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/11/4)-(3/6/1/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/11/4)-(3/6/1/11/4)-(3/6/1/11/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/1/11/4)-(2/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/11/4)-(2/5/6)-(2/1/4/7/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(2/1/4/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(2/1/4/7/10)-(6/3/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/1/4/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7/10)-(2/1/4/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7/10)-(2/1/4/7/10)-(2/1/4/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7/10)-(6/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/7/10)-(6/3/8)-(7/2/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-9   WIN (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/8)-(6/3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/8)-(6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/8)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/9/4)-(7/2/6/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/20/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD STAMP Jun16 May24 Apr25 Mar22 Mar08 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 8.00 8% 12.20    
JERSEY JOYCE Jul04 Aug18 Jul07     (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BUTTER KISSES Jul04 Jun11       (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 119 8.00    
SELVAGGIA Jun03         (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
STARS ALIGN Jun14 May09       (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 7% 12.80    
SCR  AUNT NONA May24 Dec15 Nov16 Jul27 Jun28 (kimmel c)SUTHERLAND C 123 10.00    
EMOJI May19 Apr16 Mar16     (oliver victori)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
CHAMPAGNE MISCHIEF Jun09 May20 Apr25 Mar24   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 15.00    
MY GREY HUMOR Jun04 Nov10 Aug23     (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 6.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  VEOLA Jun27 May25 Apr11     (brion keri)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50    
SCR  BEE BLUFF Jul08 May17 Mar09 Dec29 Nov30 (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50    
 
MTH-2   07/20/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST SECOND LOUIE Jul06 Mar08 Feb14 Jan25 Dec20 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 121 2.50    
SCR  READY TO REIGN Jun29 Jun08 May16 Apr13 Mar12 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
MAGICAL ROAD Jul05 Jun27 May11 Apr23 Apr07 (ramirez silvino)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
SCR  GOLDFIRE Jun07 May01 Apr11 Jan28 Dec29 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 124 2.00    
GET LIKE MIKE Jul05 Jun20 May31 May17 Apr25 (breen kell)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 3.00 45% 1.20    
FOOD BANK HELPER Jul06 Jun15 Mar16 Feb05 Jan19 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
MTH-3   07/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH BOOLUM Jun27 Jun08 May18 Jul13 Jun09 (milne j)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jun08 May18 Aug25 Aug03 Jun28 (huston k)LEON SONNY 122 3.00    
LAST ROMANCE Jun27 Jun08 May02 Feb10 Jan29 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 4.00    
PROTECTED May25 Apr25 Jul06     (kimmel john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 50% 1.00    
GROUCH Jun27 Jun21 May31 May10 Nov10 (clark a)JARA FERNANDO 124 5.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  NO CENTS Jun08 May18 Apr11 Dec06 Oct10 (lynch cathal)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
AMATTEROFTIME Jul06 Jun27 Jun08 Feb10 Jan15 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-4   07/20/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY ROCKY Jun08 May26 May11 Apr04 Jan29 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 115 6.00    
SCR  SOAR RICHARD Jul13 Jun22 May18 Apr05 Mar19 (margotta a)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 8.00    
MAXIMATCH Jun08 Apr04 Mar02 Feb12 Dec24 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 121 8.00    
EMPIRE SKY Jul13 Jun22 Nov16 Oct04 Aug21 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
LUCKY TWIST Jun08 Apr06 Mar23 Feb07   (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 22% 3.50    
COJELO PA TI Jul02 Jun07 May11 Apr16 Mar11 (pino v)ADORNO ABNER 117 5.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  FRONT END Jun08 Apr18 Nov08 Aug18   (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 120 4.00    
PLEASANT FANTASY Dec13 Oct11 Sep07 Aug04   (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 12.00    
ROYAL PERFORMANCE May25 Oct09 Sep07 Jul26   (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GO YOSHIDA Jul06 Jun08 May25 Sep15   (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50    
 
MTH-5   07/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Regret Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINKIWINKI Jun22 May17 Mar30 Feb14 Dec28 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of WINK AT THE BOYS by GRAEME HALL)
ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jun28 Jun06 May04 Apr05 Mar02 (rice linda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.60 24% 3.20    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
PACIFIC ROSE Jan22 Sep29 Sep01 Jul26 Jun28 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAPLES ROSE by BERNARDINI)
AWESOME PIC Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr09 Mar30 (hernandez enri)AGUILAR JEAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SHIRLEY'S PIC by OVERDRIVEN)
TAVIN Jun20 Jun01 May17 Apr29 Apr01 (gomez pompeyo)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of TASHMOO by CAIRO PRINCE)
MS. BUCCHERO Jan18 Nov29 Sep14 Jul28 Jun21 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by BUCCHERO out of GIVE GLORY TO GOD by MUTAKDDIM)
FACTORBELLA Jun22 May17 May02 Mar30 Feb28 (wilson tony)LEON SONNY 118 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MARIGLIANELLA by STEPHANOTIS)
 
MTH-6   07/20/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEE THE TRUTH Jun21 May18 Oct18 Oct04 Sep08 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 11% 8.50    
POST COMMAND May25 May18 Oct18 Oct05 Aug25 (spina charles)LEON SONNY 120 10.00    
WILD JAIME Jul11 Jun15 May31 May11 Oct05 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
JUST COMPLY Jun29 Jun08 May18 Sep28 Sep08 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
WORD FOR WORD Jul06 Jan19 Dec04 Oct04 Sep14 (sanchez l)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
VESPARO Jun29 Jun08 May18 Oct18 Oct04 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  PERROTTO Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 May31 May11 (huston k)OLVER MADISON 124 20.00    
GIANT JAMES Jun08 May25 Oct18 Oct04 Aug25 (ward dan)IORIO MELISSA 120 10.00    
RUMAWAY Jun29 Jun17 Jun09 Jun02 May21 (harris holly)JARA FERNANDO 120 30.00    
SCR  MICRO BREWSKY Jun08 May18 May03 Mar26 Feb23 (ryan s)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
11  OHANA EMPIRE Jun29 Jun15 May26 Oct18 Oct04 (frangella)VARGAS A 120 10.00 9% 10.80    
 
MTH-7   07/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FACE ABARRIO Jul06 Jun20 May24 May10 Mar02 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00    
MAGICAL WARRIOR Jul06 Jun20 May31 Apr02 Mar15 (ness jamie)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  SPOTTED BULL Jun27 Jun15 May28 May21 May13 (badillo jon)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 119 8.00    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jun16 May24 May10 Apr23 Mar24 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO Jun20 Jun14 May24 May02 Apr04 (ward dan)LEON SONNY 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
LLOYD Jul06 Jun20 May31 May24 Jan08 (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND HEIST Jul06 Jun20 May31 May24 Nov02 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
 
MTH-8   07/20/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JETAROS Jun27 Apr05 Feb07 Jan04 Nov27 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
AMOUDI BAY Jul05         (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
PEALING LAD Jun08 Nov09 Aug31 Jul21 Jun16 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
WHAT'S UP MR. Z Jun27 Oct18 Sep14 Jul07 Jun09 (kendall denni)IORIO MELISSA 121 10.00 12% 7.00    
JUNGLE GLOW Jun27 May26 Nov08 Oct20 Aug18 (spina charles)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00    
FADETHENOISE Jun27 May26 Apr25 Nov20 Oct17 (synnefias pa)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Jun21 Feb15 Dec14 Nov30 Oct03 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKIN LOOSE Jun27 Jun05 May10 Apr09 Mar21 (synnefias pana)CHUAN MARTIN 121 5.00    
SPIRITINTHENIGHT Jun27 May26 Dec01 Sep28 Jul21 (margotta antho)MOYA F 121 10.00    
10  BAR DOWN EXPRESS Jun27 May31 May10 Apr16 Mar19 (mcburney patr)OLVER MADISON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONFISCATED Jun27 Aug15 Jun21 Apr30   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
SCR  MARCUS GIFT Jun08 May03 Mar14 Mar01 Jan24 (devaux adriann)LUZZI J 121 4.50    
 
MTH-9   07/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA BERNARDINI Jul11 Jun20 May09 Apr03 Mar07 (breen j)SUTHERLAND C 124 4.00    
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Jul07 Jun07 May20 May06 Mar31 (preciado guad)OCASIO M 121 4.50    
STORMY MITOLE Jun27 Jun20 May02 Mar20 Feb21 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Jun27 Jun04 Apr27 Apr19 Mar28 (o'connell )MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 20.00    
NO FAKE Jul04 Jun27 Jun14 Apr23 Mar25 (gonzalez cla)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
SCR  ROZAY SUMMER Jun14 Jun07 May11 Apr27 Apr16 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  THEARCHERORTHEPREY Jul11 Jun27 May24 Apr21 Apr08 (ramirez silvin)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
HEAVENS EXPRESS Jul12 Jun22 Mar16 Mar01 Jan15 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-10   07/20/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROBABLY Jul03 Jun12       (oliver victori)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00    
AUTHENTIC HONOUR Jun29 Jun15 Apr26 Apr12 Mar14 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
EDITOR'S CHOICE Jun29 Jun14 May31 Oct12 Sep27 (cash j)MOYA F 123 15.00    
JUST CHEESY Jun18 May13 Apr22 Apr01 Mar08 (velazquez a)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
TEARS IN RAIN Jun14 May26 Apr10 Nov16   (dutrow richa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
VINO GRIGIO Jun14 May18 Apr26 Apr13 Mar19 (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
WE LIVE THIS GAME Jun29 Jun15 May10 Jan22 Dec22 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 123 3.00 61% 0.60    
NILRUC Jun22 May26 Apr19 Mar16 Feb06 (dougherty dev)OCASIO M 123 6.00    
SURPRISE PACKAGE Jun29 Jun14 May18 Apr26 Feb27 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
10  CHANGE YOUR NAME Jun08 Apr24 Apr05 Feb15 Oct17 (dougherty de)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 20.00    
11  BILLY'S LEGACY Jun15 Jul14       (wilson tony)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 30.00    
SCR  WINEGOLD May15 Mar05 Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 (friedman mitc)JARA FERNANDO 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.