Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - July 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/3)-(1/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/3)-(7/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/1)-(3/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(1/4/6)-(6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE PRICE Jul01 Jun12 May14 May03 Mar20 (schuette sheryl)LARA VICTOR 118 10.00    
GLYNE BEACH Jul01 May30 May16 Apr15 Mar27 (nocero carm)JIMENEZ J 123 3.00    
FREE AMERICA Jun25 Jun05 May13 Apr22 Jan31 (rivera tirso)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 2.00    
KOHAKU Jun05 May21 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
ZADDY Jul01 Jun19 Jun07 May24 May14 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 114 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
BTP-2   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMANS IMAGE Jun25 Nov20 Sep13 Aug21 Aug02 (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
LESOTHO Feb10 Dec27 Sep23 Sep06 Aug21 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 123 2.50 38% 1.70    
SUNNY LION Jun07 May08 Feb27 Feb04   (cline rob)CORREA L 119 1.00    
SHE IS DYNAMIC Jun25 Jun14 Sep11 Jul31 Jul18 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 118 3.50    
EMERALD EYES Jun24 May30 May09 Apr24 Apr09 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00 14% 6.10    
 
BTP-3   07/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK BETY         (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 8.00 49% 1.10    
JUSTONEMOREGEORGIE Jun25 Jul17 Jun29     (jazdzewski jo)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50    
LA MEDUSA Jun18 Nov05 Oct13 Aug28 Aug01 (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 116 6.00 8% 10.90    
FORTUNE DREAMS Jun13 May24 May16 Mar16 Mar09 (spanabel )SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 2.50    
RUNNETH OVER Jun25 Jun13 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 (bates l)BUSH V 125 5.00    
TONE OF SILENCE Jun25 Jun14 May13 Mar26 Mar11 (childs g)MCKEE J 125 1.80    
 
BTP-4   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM Jun11 May20 Oct01 Aug15 Jun22 (cowans willia)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
RUN CAMILA RUN Jun26 Jun05 Dec11 Nov15 Oct04 (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 118 2.50    
FANCIFUL Jun18 May08 Nov13 Oct05 Sep18 (jarvis kat)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
FONDRE Jun10 May20 Mar28 Mar15 Feb26 (haehn r)OUZTS W 122 4.50    
AADYA Jun26 Sep07 Jul24 Jun08 May15 (estvanko )CORREA L 122 3.50    
 
BTP-5   07/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVERTON (GB) Jun17 Jun12 Jun04 May25 May23 (delacruz m)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
VENEZUELAN FAITH Jun20 Jun05 Jan11 Dec22 Nov30 (nunez m)PILARES P 125 2.50    
NO PROOF Jul01 Jun14 May21 Nov04 Oct16 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 5.00    
JACKSON'S ROAR Jul01 Jun07 May16 Apr30 Mar09 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 4.50    
SCR  SAN MARCO CITY Jul01 Jun20 Mar20 Mar08 Feb05 (estvanko ri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 8.00    
SCR  JAY VEE BEE Apr06 Sep22 Aug14 May25 May12 (van berg )CORREA L 123 3.50    
MISSION MIKE Jun20 May28 Apr12 Mar12 Feb23 (cahill steven)LEBRON VICTOR 123 6.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  LEGAL TITAN Jun20 Jun07 Dec05 Nov25 Nov13 (haehn r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 10.00    
 
BTP-6   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIMES May23 Nov06 Oct17 Nov15 Oct31 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 5.00    
SONHO DE VERAO Jun19 Jun11 May31 Mar20 Feb13 (orantes jose)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.00    
PLAY MAKER Jun28 Jun11 May29 May15 May02 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT May10 Dec26 Nov10 Sep26 Sep11 (helmbrecht wi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00    
HOLD MY CROWN Jun27 Jun12 May29 May15 May03 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.00 23% 3.40    
MOON PARTY Sep20 Sep04 Aug16 Jul20 Jun15 (haehn ter)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 12.00    
RUN RUN RABBIT Feb13 Dec19 Aug22 Jul13 Jun08 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPREAD'N GOSSIP         (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 116 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by ONE SIDED out of FIRST DANCE by OLD FORESTER)
DYNAMIC GIFT Jun13 May29 May08     (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SWEET ANGEL ROAN by STREET HERO)
SCR  RUN VINICIUS Jun20         (ocasio )PILARES P 121 6.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CLASSY KATHERINE by OLD FORESTER)
KETTLE COALMINE         (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 125 12.00 22% 3.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
EL FAITE Jun20 May29 Oct28 Oct09   (ocasio osv)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50    
  (by FORT LARNED out of JUSTICEINACTION by FLASHBACK)
CATCHING MY WIND Jul02 Jun04 May15 Mar25 Feb29 (adams nanc)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of CHEERING FOR AL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
HEIDI N SEEK Jun04 May22 May08 Sep20 Sep06 (donjuan sergio)MURGIA A 125 4.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
HALEY'S DANTE Jul02         (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MISS VENEZUELA by CATIENUS)
 
BTP-8   07/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Jun18 May30 May10 Sep17 Aug09 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE Jun13 Apr27 Sep05 Jul18 Jul03 (castillo )CORREA L 125 3.00    
HIGH MEADOWS Jul01 Jun14 Oct04 Aug28 Aug10 (hernandez)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 15.00    
SCR  TRIXIE'S TIME Jun13 May30 Feb05 Dec04 Oct10 (moreno tito)MOJICA JR 123 12.00    
STORMY CUT Jun12 May10 Dec09 Nov16 Sep01 (brown h)MEZA JJ 123 10.00    
SOPHISTICATED CAT Jul01 May28 Mar29 Mar14 Jan18 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 123 4.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  FILLMORE EAST Feb27 Feb06 Jan23 Jan02 Dec05 (moreno tit)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
SCR  GATITA SUAVE Jun23 Jun04 May10 Mar29 Mar14 (walsh d)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00    
SCR  CHICA LINDA Jun27 Dec29 Dec13 Nov23 Oct28 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.