Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $8.80 $4.80 120%
WRD-2   DD (5/1)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-2 $24.20 $12.20 102%
WRD-3   EXA (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-1 $68.20 $44.20 184%
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/4/6)-(5/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-2-5 $17.00 $5.00 42%
Simulator Race results
 
WRD-1   03/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:584         :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KIRBYS DEWDROP 5 3 41¾ 21½   1½ 14¾ (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 2.00 70% 0.40 3.40 W
3  STORMY'S REVENGE 3 1 11½ 11½   2½ 24¾ (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50 0.70  
1  POSETIVELY PERFECT 1 5 31½ 44½   45½ 313 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.30 S
4  FANCY FREIDA 4 4 54¼ 57½   58½ 422¾ (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 3.00 ★ 6.80  
2  RETIRED BLESSING 2 2 21½ 32   35½ 522¾ (norris tracy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 3.00 3.00  
 
WRD-2   03/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
1:424         1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LEUCADIA 2 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 1¼ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 1.20 53% 0.90 0.50 W
4  ANNA UP 4 1 43 32 31½ 31 2¼ (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.80 24% 3.20 2.60 P
1  GOSPEL EXPRESSION 1 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 33¼ (williams s)ERAMIA E 125 5.00 6.10  
5  FLATTER ME ZEN 5 5 58½ 510½ 47½ 44 46¼ (childs russell)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00 50.70  
3  GOSPEL EXTRA 3 6 68¾ 611½ 615½ 516 550½ (william)GONCALVES R 125 15.00 27.70  
6  O S U BUDKE 6 3 31 43 511½ 616 657 (corderman)TRIANA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
 
WRD-3   03/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
1:124         1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWEET ATTITUDE 5 1 31½ 22   1nk 11¾ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 2.50 38% 1.60 2.10 W
1  SHE BADGER 1 6 65 53½   31 21¾ (dunlap shon )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 6.00 29% 2.40 11.10 P
2  INCLUDING ELLIE 2 7 75½ 64   41½ 32½ (mcdaniel brian)SANCHEZ OBED 125 4.00 4.10  
4  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD 4 5 42½ 43   51¾ 43¼ (dunlap m)KIMES C 125 5.00 11% 8.40 2.60  
7  LITTLE TAP DANCER 7 2 11 12   2nk 53¾ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 2.00 2.80  
6  ASTERN MAID 6 3 21 32   62¼ 67¾ (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 12.00 39.90  
3  SHUTUP PLEASE 3 4 53½ 77½   76¼ 714 (dixon )FLETCHER D 125 15.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
 
WRD-4   03/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
See original race card.
1:412         1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  READY 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 12 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 1.40 47% 1.10 0.60 W
3  GOSPEL B. HAVIOR 3 3 21 31½ 2nk 2½ 22 (williams )TRIANA JR 125 2.00 5.30  
1  KAMIKAZE 1 2 42 42 32 33½ 37 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 125 1.80 1.60  
2  SEATTLE WILDCAT 2 4 31 2½ 42½ 45 47¾ (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 15.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN               (williams steve )WADE LYNDIE 125 12.00    
 
WRD-5   03/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
1:413         1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SORCERER'S GIRL 2 1 12 12½ 13 14 13¾ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 3.00 10% 9.20 1.40 W
3  TOM'S GIRL 3 4 45 56 45 35 23¾ (buehrer w)SANCHEZ OBED 122 4.00 3.20  
6  WITHHERBOOTSON 6 6 66¼ 44½ 23 24 34¾ (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 122 4.00 18.40  
1  WAR MUSIC 1 2 32 22½ 34½ 45½ 45½ (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 55% 0.80 1.60  
5  RUBY THE DESTROYER 5 5 22 33½ 56 59½ 513¾ (davidson brent)QUINONEZ B 122 3.50 7.60  
4  GEE SHE'S FANCY 4 3 55¼ 66 610 612 617½ (william)GONCALVES R 122 12.00 6% 15.40 30.80  
 
WRD-6   03/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:06         1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RAILEY JEAN 2 4 1½ 1½   13 17½ (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 1.80 1.20  
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHERRY BERRY WINE by ONEOFTHEJONESBOYS)
3  WOMAN'S INTUITION 3 3 2½ 2½   23 27½ (stephens )TRIANA JR 120 2.00 2.50  
  (by CONNECT out of BREACH OF DUTY by BROKEN VOW)
4  MAJESTIC TORNADO 4 2 31 31½   34½ 37¾ (dixon tim)BIRZER E 125 3.00 28% 2.50 2.60 S
  (by TAPITURE out of MAJESTIC HOLIDAY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
1  TONE OF SILENCE 1 6 68 57½   47 49¾ (childs ru)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
  (by TONALIST out of TRUMPIT by SUPER SAVER)
6  SPIRIT TO PASSEM 6 5 57½ 68½   613½ 523½ (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 120 6.00 19% 4.10 8.00  
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of SPIRIT FLY by BODEMEISTER)
5  LADY FOR THE MONEY 5 1 44 44½   510½ 625½ (hale ja)GONCALVES R 125 10.00 12.00  
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of BEGUILING CREEK by CINNAMON CREEK)
 
WRD-7   03/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEND THE BOSS 1 6 41¼ 31   31 1¼ (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 5.70  
7  LUCKYTABUCKY 7 1 1nk 2½   1½ 2¼ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 2.00 11% 8.30 0.60 P
3  PROMISE CODE 3 2 2nk 1½   2½ 31¼ (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 2.50 61% 0.70 3.30 S
2  DANCING DEVIL 2 3 51¼ 42½   43½ 45¼ (hale v)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 15.00 5% 19.00 41.70  
6  MR PELOTON 6 5 63¼ 52½   53½ 56 (caldwell )TRIANA JR 125 6.00 12.50  
4  BIG BRAVE OKIE 4 7 76¼ 65½   66½ 612¾ (villafranco )WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00 5% 19.00 37.30  
5  KICK IT AGAIN BOB 5 4 3.2 76   710 713 (davidson brent)KIMES C 125 6.00 8.00  
 
WRD-8   03/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
1:124         1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BIG WALK 6 3 64 1nk   11 14 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00 4.00  
3  BUTCHY BOY 3 5 52 53½   43½ 24 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 4.00 6.60  
5  BEAU DAY 5 1 1½ 2nk   21 34¾ (swan patr)TRIANA JR 125 2.00 45% 1.20 1.20 S
2  NIGHTLINGER 2 7 77½ 64   54½ 47 (childs ru)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 65.10  
1  FULLY FUNDED 1 4 31 42½   65 58 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 3.50 2.00  
4  OUT WITH TY 4 6 2½ 3½   31½ 68 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 6.00 16% 5.20 15.40  
7  SECOND BATTALION 7 2 41½ 76   78 712¾ (dunlap m)WADE LYNDIE 125 12.00 7% 12.80 23.90  
SCR  LITTLE RANDY               (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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