Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/4/6)-(5/1/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/1/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/1/4/3)-(4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/3)-(4/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/3)-(4/2)-(1/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/2/4)-(4/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-5   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(4/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(4/6/1)-(3/7/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(3/7/2/4)-(5/4/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/4)-(5/4/7/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-8   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSETIVELY PERFECT Dec04         (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RETIRED BLESSING Mar03 Feb22 Nov23 Nov04   (norris tracy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 3.00    
3  STORMY'S REVENGE Nov25 Oct23 Jun22     (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50    
4  FANCY FREIDA Feb01 Dec13       (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 3.00 ★    
5  KIRBYS DEWDROP         (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 2.00 70% 0.40    
 
WRD-2   03/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL EXPRESSION Feb02 Dec12 Nov13 Oct19 Oct09 (williams s)ERAMIA E 125 5.00    
2  LEUCADIA Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Nov30 Nov22 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 1.20 53% 0.90    
3  GOSPEL EXTRA Feb23 Jan12 Dec07 Oct10 Aug23 (william)GONCALVES R 125 15.00    
4  ANNA UP Feb23 Feb14 Feb02 Jan12 Dec12 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  FLATTER ME ZEN Feb14 Feb02 Jan18 Oct11 Sep29 (childs russell)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00    
6  O S U BUDKE Mar03 Oct30 Oct12 Sep19 Sep07 (corderman)TRIANA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-3   03/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE BADGER Jan04 Nov01 Sep18 Aug13 Jul09 (dunlap shon )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 6.00 29% 2.40    
2  INCLUDING ELLIE Jan26 Dec13 Dec04 Oct26 Sep15 (mcdaniel brian)SANCHEZ OBED 125 4.00    
3  SHUTUP PLEASE Feb03 Jan03 May05 Apr19 Apr06 (dixon )FLETCHER D 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Feb16 Nov13 Oct28 Oct05 Jul29 (dunlap m)KIMES C 125 5.00 11% 8.40    
5  SWEET ATTITUDE Oct10 Sep26 May04 Apr01 Mar18 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  ASTERN MAID Feb14 Jan25 Jan03 Dec06 Nov26 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 12.00    
7  LITTLE TAP DANCER Nov18 Oct31 Oct03 Sep14 Aug31 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 2.00    
 
WRD-4   03/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAMIKAZE Feb23 Oct30 Oct04 Sep11 Jul07 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 125 1.80    
2  SEATTLE WILDCAT Dec12 Oct30 Oct09 Sep19 Aug31 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOSPEL B. HAVIOR Feb23 Jan12 Dec13 Nov25 Oct12 (williams )TRIANA JR 125 2.00    
4  READY Mar03 Jan12 Nov29 Nov13 Sep06 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 1.40 47% 1.10    
SCR  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Feb14 Dec07 Sep19 Aug31 Jul17 (williams steve )WADE LYNDIE 125 12.00    
 
WRD-5   03/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR MUSIC Feb24 Jan24 Dec15 Oct11 Sep12 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
2  SORCERER'S GIRL Feb15 Jan24 Dec27 Dec14 Nov05 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
3  TOM'S GIRL Mar03 Dec13 Dec04 Oct18 Oct03 (buehrer w)SANCHEZ OBED 122 4.00    
4  GEE SHE'S FANCY Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Nov23 Oct31 (william)GONCALVES R 122 12.00 6% 15.40    
5  RUBY THE DESTROYER Feb08 Jan19 Nov30 Nov23 Nov02 (davidson brent)QUINONEZ B 122 3.50    
6  WITHHERBOOTSON Dec06 Sep14 Aug22 Jul27 Jul14 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 122 4.00    
 
WRD-6   03/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONE OF SILENCE Feb16 Jan26 Sep27 Sep02 Jun27 (childs ru)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of TRUMPIT by SUPER SAVER)
2  RAILEY JEAN Feb19 Jan30 Dec20 Nov26   (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 1.80    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHERRY BERRY WINE by ONEOFTHEJONESBOYS)
3  WOMAN'S INTUITION Dec05 Nov18 Oct23 Sep28 Sep05 (stephens )TRIANA JR 120 2.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BREACH OF DUTY by BROKEN VOW)
4  MAJESTIC TORNADO Dec20 Nov26 Sep03 Aug12 Jul09 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 125 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of MAJESTIC HOLIDAY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  LADY FOR THE MONEY Apr02 Mar20       (hale ja)GONCALVES R 125 10.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of BEGUILING CREEK by CINNAMON CREEK)
6  SPIRIT TO PASSEM         (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 120 6.00 19% 4.10    
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of SPIRIT FLY by BODEMEISTER)
 
WRD-7   03/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEND THE BOSS Jul03 Jun09 Mar26 Jan26 Dec15 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00    
2  DANCING DEVIL Dec05 May13 Mar18 Nov09 Oct13 (hale v)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PROMISE CODE Dec07 Nov25 Nov09 Oct09 Sep12 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 2.50 61% 0.70    
4  BIG BRAVE OKIE Feb16 Jan18 Dec07 Nov26 Nov16 (villafranco )WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  KICK IT AGAIN BOB Dec07 Nov25 Nov01 Sep28 Aug31 (davidson brent)KIMES C 125 6.00    
6  MR PELOTON Dec05 Nov16 Nov02 Oct17 Oct04 (caldwell )TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
7  LUCKYTABUCKY Jan26 Jan05 Sep12 Aug22 Jul04 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 2.00 11% 8.30    
 
WRD-8   03/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULLY FUNDED Feb23 Dec11 Aug08 Jul27 Jun23 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 3.50    
2  NIGHTLINGER Feb23 Jan31       (childs ru)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUTCHY BOY Feb20 Jan08 Dec19 Nov16 Oct10 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 4.00    
4  OUT WITH TY         (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  BEAU DAY Dec12 Nov23 Oct31 Oct16 Sep18 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  BIG WALK Mar02 Feb15 Dec07 Sep21 Aug24 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00    
7  SECOND BATTALION Feb21 Jan12 Nov14 Oct04 Sep15 (dunlap m)WADE LYNDIE 125 12.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  LITTLE RANDY Feb07 Jan25 Nov23 Nov14   (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.