Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(5/2)-(6/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(6/1/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(7/8/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(7/8/5/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(7/8/5/9)-(1/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/9)-(7/8/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/9)-(7/8/5/9)-(7/8/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/5/9)-(1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/9)-(1/2/3)-(4/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/5/6)-(5/8/7/2/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(5/8/7/2/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/8/7/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/2/1)-(5/8/7/2/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/2/1)-(5/8/7/2/1)-(5/8/7/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/07/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELOCE Jun11 Jun03 Oct23 Sep30 Sep11 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 125 5.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Jun27 Jun05 May08 Apr24 Mar28 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 8.00    
3  TRIPLE START Jun23 May26 May20 Oct22 Oct02 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 125 3.00    
4  SILVER STYLE Mar07 Feb22 Jan19 Jan05 Dec11 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 125 2.50    
5  CASTAGNO Jun24 May31 May22 Apr25 Mar30 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 125 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FOUNDER Jun29 Jun04 Oct21 Oct04 Sep20 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 4.00    
7  SMILE BRYAN Jun23 Jun09 Apr07 Mar16 Mar03 (fennessy john)BAYS BROOKE 118 8.00 36% 1.70    
 
PID-2   07/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT VICTORIA Oct22 Oct07 Sep26 Sep10 Aug27 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 2.50 ★    
2  SHORTY MAC Jun23 May28 Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 (radosevich shel)BAYS BROOKE 116 10.00 17% 4.70    
3  RED WREN Jun09 May19 Apr13 Mar14 Feb28 (vargas an)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50    
4  ARROGANTE May21 Mar27 Mar08 Feb27 Feb08 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 4.50    
5  I'M HEADING EAST Jun03 May20 Feb28 Nov13 Oct17 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  SOLAIR Jun24 Jun11 May21 Apr12 Mar14 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 5.00    
 
PID-3   07/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE YOU WAS Jun18 Jun04 May19 Oct24 Oct02 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 2.50 8% 11.20    
2  SPAN OF CONTROL Jun18 May28 Oct23 Oct07 Sep18 (radosevich shelly)FOX CHRIS 123 4.00    
3  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Oct24 Oct02 Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 123 5.00    
4  WROTE IN STONE Jun04 May19 Oct17 Oct10 Sep26 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Jun23 Jun02 May19 Apr23 Mar28 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 3.50    
6  CATCH ON EMOTIONAL Jun18 Aug10 Jul19 Jun21 May29 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 2.50 62% 0.60    
 
PID-4   07/07/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYSTAL WATER Jun18 Jun02 Feb20 Jan08 Dec14 (antus lawrence)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00    
2  SIP'N' SPEED Jun17 Mar16 Feb21 Jan04 Sep25 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00    
3  CEFALU (FR) Jun18 Jun03 Apr25 Mar21 Feb05 (arriagad)MARTINEZ A 123 3.50    
4  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Jun18 Jun03 May20 Oct16 Oct02 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  KITTEN'S WAR Oct16 Oct02 Sep17 Feb22   (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  TANGO ZULU Jun18 Jun03 Jan26 Dec21 Nov03 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  SMILES FOR DAVID Jul02 Jun03 Feb21 Feb06 Jan15 (antus lawrence)GARCIA F 123 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
PID-5   07/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEFTNATEAWALKIN         (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of THAROS by KANTHAROS)
2  GO SIMPLE Jun03         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of SIMPLE STORY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  BALBONI'S CREW         (chircop steven)HUSBANDS P 120 8.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of JULIA'S STAR by EL PRADO (IRE))
4  DUCK HUNTER Jun18         (hayes leland)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EMPRESS OF FORTUNE by BODEMEISTER)
5  LIVE STREAM Jun18         (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 120 12.00 8% 11.50    
  (by LONG RIVER out of GOODNIGHT ANGEL by OGYGIAN)
SCR  HAPPY HENNEY Jun18         (hamm tim)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of MARY SUE WELOVEYOU by THE FACTOR)
7  TEAR JERKER Jun18 Jun03       (potts g)SPIETH S 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by MUTAKDDIM out of A LOVE STORY by EL PRADO (IRE))
8  JUDY CHOP Jun18 May11       (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of SAMANTHA SAMURAI by FIRST SAMURAI)
9  BOSH         (rojas murray)BELISARIO JUAN 110 10.00 6% 14.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of WESTERN LARIAT by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
 
PID-6   07/07/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND DUST Jun11 May21 Oct26 Sep20 Aug29 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 1.80 62% 0.60    
2  TODDCHERO Jun04 May01 Apr10 Feb22 Feb08 (danner kelsey)VIVES SOFIA 123 2.50 10% 8.80    
3  DUNEDIN Jan17 Dec21 Dec07 Oct17 Sep11 (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOWN BARBER Jun03 May16 Mar27 Jan18 Dec06 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 123 5.00    
5  WOODCHUCK Jun18 Jun09 Oct23 Oct10 Aug21 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 8.00    
6  SNOWNAME Jun16 Jun02 May19 Apr23 Mar28 (rice kevin)AYALA J 125 4.00    
 
PID-7   07/07/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Malvern Rose Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICONA MAMA Jun18 May22 Apr27 Mar15 Feb22 (stites f)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CLASSE SIGNORA by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  DOUBLE AIRO May20 May07 Apr18 Mar14 Mar01 (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 121 4.50    
  (by AIROFORCE out of DOUBLE AXEL by ORB)
SCR  UP N RUNNIN Jun09 Apr02 Jan28 Dec30 Nov20 (coletti )RODRIGUEZ O 119 15.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of RUNNIN ON SUNSHINE by GRAYDAR)
4  OUR LADY May24 May04       (chircop steven)HUSBANDS P 121 1.80 54% 0.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SUMMER'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
5  HONORABLE WIN Dec30 Oct14 Sep21     (crook-de)GALLARDO A 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by WINCHILL out of HONORABLE PARTNER by CONGRESSIONALHONOR)
6  QUEEN'S WREATH Nov10 Sep28 Sep13     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of IANTHE by SKY MESA)
7  BOUJIE BETZ Jun17 Jun04 Oct14 Oct07 Sep10 (connelly teresa)MARTINEZ W 119 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SEVEN TWO OFFSUIT by ROBYN DANCER)
8  DIXIELAND BELLE Jun02 Apr18 Nov27 Oct14   (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 124 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DIXIE SERENADE by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN)
 
PID-8   07/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLAR ASSET Jun11 May15 Mar22 Feb16 Dec24 (hamm timothy)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LADY KATHRYN Jun22 May24 Sep14 Aug25 Jul15 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANHINGA Jun17 Jun04 Mar07 Jan29 Oct08 (connelly teresa)BAYS BROOKE 111 10.00    
4  MY JANNET Jun02 May02 Apr09 Mar28 Feb23 (kleine l)GARCIA F 123 6.00    
5  UNBRIDLED PEACE Jun17 May26 Apr19 Mar28   (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  LA CREMA Jun04 Oct24 Sep13 Aug24 Jul27 (bondar e)MARTINEZ A 123 10.00    
7  CUPID MISSED Oct17 Sep24 Aug28 Aug05 Jul16 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
8  NO TAPPIN OUT May26 Mar29 Jun17 May21 Apr20 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 123 6.00 24% 3.30    
9  BLOODY COLORS WAVE Jun03 May19 Sep11 Aug17   (potts g)MARTINEZ W 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.