Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - May 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/6/2)-(6/3/8/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-2   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/1/3/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-3   WIN (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/7)-(6/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/5/4/7) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-4   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/7)-(6/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/7)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/9/7/1) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
FE-5   WIN (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/9/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/9/7/1)-(11/7/3/5/6) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
FE-6   WIN (6/5/9/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/7/1)-(6/5/9/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/7/1)-(6/5/9/7/1)-(6/5/9/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/9/7/1)-(11/7/3/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/7/1)-(11/7/3/5/6)-(5/11/4/6/7) 125 $0.20 $25.00 
FE-7   WIN (11/7/3/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/7/3/5/6)-(11/7/3/5/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (11/7/3/5/6)-(11/7/3/5/6/8)-(11/7/3/5/6/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (11/7/3/5/6)-(5/11/4/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FE-8   WIN (5/11/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/11/4/6/7)-(5/11/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/11/4/6/7)-(5/11/4/6/7)-(5/11/4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   05/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTY FLASH Dec01 Nov16 Sep14 Aug16 Jul19 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  HE'S FULLY LOADED Nov08 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 Aug24 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  BOSTON BAY Nov25 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 (smith r)WARD AFFRIE 120 4.00    
4  BILL NEEDLE Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 Aug12 Jul30 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50    
5  ALWAYS A WAY Nov15 Oct22 Sep30 Aug24 Jul12 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  LULU'S LULLABY Nov29 Nov16 Nov01 Oct22 Oct14 (squi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 117 12.00    
 
FE-2   05/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY OAKS Dec01 Nov15 Oct17 Sep19 Aug22 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00    
2  TAMANA Nov22 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILVER BULLET LADY May10 Nov01 Sep26 Sep07 Aug08 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00    
4  MOUNTAIN SOUND Oct24 Oct08 Sep02 Jul29 Jul15 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
5  BLAZING SKY Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Sep19 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
6  SILVER CANDICE Dec10 Nov27 Nov04 Sep30 Sep09 (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
FE-3   05/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEADING WEST Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 Aug06 Jul22 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00    
2  BRIDGE TO NOWHERE Dec12 Nov23 Nov07 Oct17 Sep19 (humb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 3.00    
3  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 Jun04 May11 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
4  CHROME'S BIG BREAK Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 (crete pierre)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00    
5  ASHCAR NELLIE May16 Oct14 Oct08 Aug20 Jul30 (dixon patrick)ADAMS AUSTIN 119 8.00    
6  TREVESS Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 124 5.00 44% 1.30    
7  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Apr26 Nov07 Oct21 Oct14 Oct01 (simms c)MAILHOT P 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Oct07 Sep24 Sep17 Aug27 Jul22 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   05/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sprint Into Summer Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIDEO EVIDENCE         (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of MY SWEET EMILY by ROMAN RULER)
2  FRAC CITY Aug13 Jul22 Jun28 Jun02 Apr27 (smith kennet)CHEYNE A 122 12.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of WOODLAND CITY by AL MUFTI)
3  SWEEPING RED         (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of SWEEPING FRONT by WAR FRONT)
4  BEST IN CLASS Oct21 Oct07 Aug27 Aug05 Jul19 (humb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRIVATE CLIENT by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  BRITISH SEA Oct10 Aug15 Jul20 Jun22 Jun14 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
6  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE May17 Apr26 Dec13 Nov24 Sep13 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of YOLIE by MENIFEE)
7  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Oct21 Oct07 Oct01 Aug27 Aug13 (mcmaho)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JU JITSU JAX out of GALLOPING D'AMOUR by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
FE-5   05/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPID'S CLAWS Feb22 Jan01 Dec15 Nov24 Nov01 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 124 12.00    
2  GUS'S GAMBLE Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 May28 (albu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00    
3  PALACE PRINCE May18 Apr21 Dec10 Nov13 Oct23 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00    
4  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Dec05 Nov15 Nov03 Oct22 Oct11 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI May04 Apr08 Mar19 Dec28 Nov07 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
6  PAPERBACK HERO Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug18 (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
7  WILBERFORCE Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 Sep30 Sep02 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CLASSY WHISPER Nov22 Nov03 Oct17 Sep28 Sep08 (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 124 10.00    
 
FE-6   05/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY PERFECTION Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 Oct07 Sep17 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TURF AND SURF Nov29 Nov14 Oct10 Sep27 Sep10 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00    
3  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Mar28 Feb28 Jan31 Nov14 Oct22 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 122 10.00    
4  CRIMSON NIGHTS May04 Dec12 Nov21 Nov07 Oct12 (adamo anthony)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 3.00    
5  LEGALLY CHARITABLE May10 Mar21 Feb16 Dec12 Nov22 (adamo anthony)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  FRAC AMOUR Apr27 Mar22 Mar05 Feb10 Jan24 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
7  JULIE'S MIST Dec12 Nov14 Sep20 Sep02 Jul11 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  KID GIZMO Dec12 Nov24 Oct31 Oct03 Sep13 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
9  MISTY POINT Sep15 Aug23 Jul06     (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 9% 10.30    
 
FE-7   05/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Summer Solstice Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEZIATE May10 Mar14 Mar01 Feb12 Jan24 (newland george)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00    
  (by WITHOUT PAROLE out of TAPICERIA by TAPIZAR)
2  DISGRUNTLEDPELICAN Oct31 Oct10 Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 20.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of LADY DISCOVERY by MALIBU MOON)
3  SUPER HONEY TIMBER Oct07 Sep16 Aug26     (neubauer micha)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 11% 7.90    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of SUPER HONEY by SUPER SAVER)
4  FAITHFUL GIFT Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug18 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SUNSHINE GRACIE by SUNDARBAN)
5  EMMA'S LAST GEM         (county patrick)ADAMS AUSTIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of EMMA'S BULLSEYE by CITY PLACE)
6  SPEEDY LADY         (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
7  TOWN'S A BREEZE Jul07 Feb12       (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DIXIE AND A BREEZE by DIXIELAND BAND)
8  NO LAYUPS Nov22 Nov14 Sep26 Aug22 Aug08 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 ★    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CORNER THREE by SCAT DADDY)
9  SASSY SEATTLE Nov30         (rabst)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 30.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of RESENTLESS by TRAJECTORY)
10  DAISYCREST Dec05 Oct31 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 5.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of CRY OF THE WILD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  RUBY'S GHOST Feb15 Jan19 Dec28     (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of TALE FOR RUBY by TALE OF EKATI)
 
FE-8   05/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK TO REALITY May04 Jan07 Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00    
SCR  EXCEED Dec15 Dec01 Nov16 Nov01 Oct22 (new)DENNIS JEREMIAH 114 20.00    
3  SUNYANI Dec15 Nov01 Oct21 Oct15 Oct01 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00    
4  BRADY O'BRADY Oct21 Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 12.00 9% 9.60    
5  FASCINATION STREET Oct15 Oct01 Sep24 Sep07 Aug23 (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  MIA AND ME Dec15 Dec01 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 (ceccat)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  RED MAPLE Dec04 Nov24 Nov11 Oct22 Aug13 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  M C JACKHAMMER Oct21 Oct15 Sep30 Sep10 Aug12 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 6.00    
9  MOBILIZER Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 124 12.00    
10  ONE MORE RING May05 Apr21 Jan09 Dec26 Nov12 (robillard julie)MORENO OMAR 122 20.00    
11  BIG TIME LOUIE Dec01 Nov16 Oct21 Oct01 Aug27 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
12  JACK BEANSTALK Sep11 Sep04 Jul07 Jul01 Jun12 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.