Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/1/5)-(1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/4)-(3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/5)-(1/5/7)-(3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRD DEGREE Apr24 Apr05 Mar20 Jan25 Jan01 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 2.00 49% 1.10    
KOHAKU Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Jan25 Jan08 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SACKETT Apr29 Sep07 Aug12 May09 Apr21 (mccutchen jason)MOJICA JR 119 4.50    
TRAP LINE May09 Apr29 Apr02 Mar15 Jan23 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  LEAD ACTOR Feb05 Jan23 Jan01 Nov13 Oct29 (quezada in)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 4.00    
SKY KEY May05 Apr15 Mar14 Mar01 Dec03 (melancon paul)MURGIA A 123 6.00    
 
BTP-2   05/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZINFATUATION Oct15 Sep11 Aug13 Jul28 Jul07 (norris stephani)MURGIA A 123 4.50    
WEST COAST CRUISER Oct15 Sep25 Sep01 Aug06 Jul13 (jarvis kathy)ASHTON GAVIN 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
TALKSCHEAP Mar28 Feb23 Dec28 Aug07 Jun26 (alessi jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 123 3.50    
DIAL HIM UP Apr30 Apr09 Mar16 Mar05 Feb12 (mendieta a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 2.00    
BAYOU MAGIC Mar28 Mar01 Jan17 Nov06 Jul28 (hill f)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   05/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASON A. P. May10 Mar27 Mar12 Nov27 Oct29 (hill f)MOJICA JR 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
FEELTHEBEAT May08 Apr08 Mar20 Mar06 Dec06 (ortiz-ruiz )FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 3.50    
SCR  COYOTE ROAD Dec20 Nov20 Oct30 Oct04 Aug02 (hernandez)CORREA L 123 2.50    
BOBBY'S GIFT May08 Mar22 Mar06 Dec26 Dec10 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 118 4.00 47% 1.10    
SARGEANT BARGER Apr02 Mar12 Feb12 Jan24 Jan12 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROGUE ELEMENT May08 Mar12 Jan30 Jan16 Dec11 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   05/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORK TO LIVE May08 Feb22 Feb06 Jan02 Jul14 (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
A NEW PEACE Mar04 Feb06 Dec19 Nov08 Sep20 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.00    
SCR  CANT KEEP ME DOWN Mar26 Feb23 Feb05 Jan23 Dec18 (baez serg)CORREA L 123 3.50    
SING SCAT May03 Apr23 Apr06 Mar26 Mar14 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
TIMELESS GLORY May08 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug18 (hernandez rey)LUCILLE GEENA 123 5.00    
 
BTP-5   05/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. HIGH POCKETS Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 Aug15 Jul05 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.00    
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Aug31 Aug08 Jul11 Sep30 Aug29 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 3.50    
RIVER BOAT May03 May10 Apr25     (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.40 32% 2.10    
JUST LIKE RAMBO May03 Dec19 Sep20 Aug31   (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 4.00 32% 2.20    
SHOWTIME BOY May03 Feb08 Jan13 Dec19 Dec03 (mendieta al)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHISKEY HELPS Apr08 Mar24 Mar04 Jan13 Dec23 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00    
 
BTP-6   05/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEMP HEAVEN May05 Mar13 Jan03 Aug03 Jun27 (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50    
CASANOVA KITTEN May03 Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 Dec28 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 6.00    
MOONSTRIKE (GB) May12 Mar13 Feb21 Feb01 Dec13 (dixon jr)HESS SARA 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
EVERDOIT Apr04 Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 Jan12 (granitz a)CORREA L 122 3.00 8% 11.00    
STITZY Apr06 Feb22 Feb09 Sep20 Sep05 (alessi james)LARA VICTOR 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
DONTKISSDAMINISTER Feb21 Jan24 Dec19 Sep27 Sep04 (hale jr)MURGIA A 122 8.00    
ROSE'S PEPINO Jan27 Jan08 Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 (inman l)WHITACRE B 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
 
BTP-7   05/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAR May03 Mar26 Mar07 Feb15 Jan30 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  CROCUS BAY Mar07 Feb15 Jan30 Jan17 Nov05 (burnett armstr)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 2.50    
SCR  GAMBI Apr05 Mar09 Feb02 Jan15 Dec06 (alessi james)BUSH V 125 6.00    
EVERY LOVING WISH Mar07 Feb07 Jan17 Mar29   (wittek kar)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 4.00    
SATIS May03 Mar26 Feb15 Jan30 Jan15 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 125 10.00 16% 5.20    
LADY EDNA May09 Mar26 Mar13 Feb15 Jan29 (rodriquez )HERNANDEZ A 125 15.00    
MRS CHOFIS May03 Apr22 Feb27 Jan15 Dec27 (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 20.00 5% 17.30    
 
BTP-8   05/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAZARD BOY         (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SUPERSONIC ME Mar17 Feb18 Jan14 Oct29 Aug28 (kubinova e)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 2.50    
EGYPTIAN QUEST May09 Mar05 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 (adams l)HESS SARA 125 5.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  ENDOW May09 Sep28 Aug31 Aug21 Jul31 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 125 6.00    
SCR  TABLOID CITY Apr02 Mar13 Feb13 Jan01 Oct31 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50    
MR. MAC MIDNIGHT May09 Apr12 Mar01 Jan29 Jan04 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 20.00    
THRACIAN Mar27 Feb14 Jan15 Dec13 Nov13 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYING CUPID Apr29 Mar26 Mar06     (navarrete)CORREA L 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.