Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(2/4/6/5)-(1/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-2   WIN (2/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/5)-(1/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/5)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/3/5/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-3   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4)-(1/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(1/3/5/4)-(5/3/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/4)-(5/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/4)-(5/3/7/4)-(7/5/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/4)-(7/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(4/2/1/10/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-6   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(4/2/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/4)-(4/2/1/10/5)-(4/3/5/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-7   WIN (4/2/1/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/10/5)-(4/2/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/10/5)-(4/2/1/10/5)-(4/2/1/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/1/10/5)-(4/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EMD-8   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   05/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINCHPIN'S LOCKET Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 (bozell)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
ANOTHER TEN Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May18 Apr16 (gibson howar)HALDAR J 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
SOLO UN BESO Oct13 Sep23 Sep07 Aug31 Sep10 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
SETTLER'S COVE Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 Aug02 Jul19 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
PARKER'S FIFTEEN Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 Jan28 Jan08 (martinez david )CRUZ M 122 3.00    
ADA THORNE Apr16 Mar28 Mar07     (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 125 1.60    
 
EMD-2   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN BLESSING Mar07 Dec13 Nov17 Nov03 May10 (lenzini mi)CASTILLO E 120 30.00    
SAVITA Sep07 Aug31       (wenzel tom)COUTON JULIEN 125 2.50 67% 0.50    
BURNIN AT MIDNIGHT Jan24         (mccanna tim)DURAN F 125 3.00    
HARRY'S BIG DREAM Apr16 Mar25 Feb26 Feb13 Mar01 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50 8% 11.00    
MISS PERU Mar02 Feb08 Jan17 Dec13 Nov15 (de jes)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT Oct13 Oct07 Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEETLING Apr27         (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
LOVELY BRIDE Apr16 Mar25 Feb13 Sep08 Aug31 (de pab)OROZCO E 125 20.00    
 
EMD-3   05/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY'S WILDCAT Apr16 Mar21 Feb21 Jan23 Dec07 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 125 5.00 32% 2.20    
K R RULES Apr15 Mar18 Jan22 Dec27 Dec11 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 10.00    
DON JUAN BUBBA Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 Dec16 Dec02 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 6.00    
ICE TOWER Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul28 Jul12 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
PINEAPPLE JUICE Feb21 Jan24 Dec07 Oct19 Sep13 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 122 4.00    
PARTY WITH PADDY Oct19 Sep29 Aug17 Jul28 Jun08 (tamayo isidro)DURAN F 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
PEDAL TO THE METAL Apr19 Mar18 Feb27 Feb10 Jan21 (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
EMD-4   05/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRT ROAD RED Sep01 Aug09 Jul27 Jun29 Jun02 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
SANGER Apr16 Apr01 Mar05 Feb10 Jan21 (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50    
SMILING GOODBYE Apr19 Mar20 Mar06 Feb05 Sep08 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50 18% 4.50    
HEY BATMAN Apr19 Mar11 Feb12 Dec13 Nov24 (perez )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HANDR'SDREAM Sep13 Aug25 Jul03 Jun23 Jun14 (birdwell tena)COUTON JULIEN 122 8.00 6% 16.30    
A VIEW FROM ABOVE Sep08 Aug09 Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 122 4.50    
D K'S CROWN Mar22 Feb19 Feb06 Jan13 Dec17 (garcia l)KRIGGER K 122 10.00    
 
EMD-5   05/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD DAUGHTER Mar09 Feb23 Jan26 Dec15 Dec07 (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 122 5.00    
ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Apr08 Mar27 Mar03 Feb06 Jan14 (christian )CASTILLO E 117 10.00    
PACIFIC ZIP Mar26 Feb13 Jan08 Dec12 Nov25 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
A CROWN FOR KITTEN Mar17 Dec18 Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 (maravilla jo)OROZCO E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD COAST GIRL Apr16 Mar27 Mar03 Feb19 Jan30 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50 35% 1.90    
KITTEN'S KID Dec18 Nov23 Nov01 Oct25 Aug17 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
WILLING TO BURN Mar11 Jan30 Jan08 Dec11 Sep08 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 3.50 6% 14.50    
POKER ALICE Apr27 Apr10 Mar31 Mar17 Feb17 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.00    
 
EMD-6   05/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHEN JAMES Sep29 Sep06 Aug24 Aug04 Jul19 (pirone mary )RICHARD RONALD 122 15.00    
BEAU MISCHIEF Oct06 Sep23 Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 (madrigal elodi)ALVARADO T 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FORT NECESSITY Apr29 Mar20 Jan28 Jan13 Dec26 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
ORTH Mar26 Mar12 Feb06 Jan13 Dec30 (silva-martinez al)KRIGGER K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
HORSE DOCTOR Apr17 Mar31 Feb27 Feb11 Jan25 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
BEDROCK (GB) Apr19 Feb20 Feb04 Jan14 Dec26 (christian )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
CHUCKANUT BAY Jan23 Dec23 Nov14 Sep23 Aug25 (gibson howard)COUTON JULIEN 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
DENNARD Mar17 Feb27 Feb11 Dec28 Dec09 (baze robert)OROZCO E 122 10.00    
 
EMD-7   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVERY ORB Jul14 Jun22 Jun09 May19 Aug26 (wenzel tom)COUTON JULIEN 122 8.00 5% 18.50    
VICTORIA'S CHARGE Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 (markle dan)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 24% 3.10    
ROCKIT A DAY Sep15 Aug30 Jul14 Jun23 May31 (jenne bonnie)OROZCO E 122 20.00    
ATTRACTED Jan17 Nov30 Nov02     (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
UNION COACH Mar26 Mar05 Feb14 Dec13 Nov16 (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
OUR LYLA GRACE Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun07 May19 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 122 10.00    
BLUE SPIRIT Apr19 Mar24 Feb24 Jan19 Dec01 (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 15.00    
GREASE MISSLE Apr19 Feb22 Jan22 Aug04 Jun23 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00    
STEPUP Aug31 Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 May19 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
10  MISS DYNAMIC Jun22 Jun09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul16 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Apr19 Feb20 Jan22 Aug31 Aug04 (lucarelli frank)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
 
EMD-8   05/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG STICK Apr22 Mar27 Mar13 Feb22 Feb12 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
POUR ON THE COLE Feb17 Jan05 Dec18 Nov29 Nov10 (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 117 8.00    
THE GOLDEN EGG Apr19 Mar06 Feb10 Jan15 Dec19 (essex charles)KRIGGER K 122 2.50 11% 8.00    
COASTAL WATERS Apr27 Mar27 Mar12 Mar03 Feb19 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 61% 0.60    
LOOKOUT POINT Feb15 Dec01 Nov08 Oct11 Sep21 (greiner gary)DURAN F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
OLD TRIANGLE Mar21 Feb21 Feb10 Jan27 Jan06 (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 122 5.00    
RULER OF ANGELS Mar02 Feb02 Jan05 Dec06 Nov17 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.