Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - May 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(1/2/6)-(5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/1)-(7/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(7/4/1/2)-(3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/3/5/4)-(2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/4)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALLY FLUSHED Apr24 Apr07 Mar20 Feb05 Jan13 (short travi)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
TOM'S SPIRIT Apr07 Mar20 Mar08 Feb12 Jan17 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
COTE D'IVOIRE Mar19 Feb26 Feb07 Jan17 Dec12 (andrade h)CORREA L 123 3.00    
SUCCESSION GOLD Mar20 Feb01 Jan17 Dec20 Oct03 (orantes jose)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.50    
SCR  TIVERTON (GB) Apr30 Mar28 Mar22 Mar07 Feb26 (delacruz j)NAVAS YOEL 123 4.00    
 
BTP-2   05/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIC N DA WADDA Apr23 Mar13 Feb27 Jan15 Nov11 (mcguire lin)MURGIA A 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
WALL STREET MAGIC Apr18 Mar21 Mar01 Feb12 Jan08 (brooks gerald )PAULY SUMMER 116 3.00    
HONEY GIRL RUBIA Apr16 Oct07 Sep26 Sep04   (gonzal)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 121 12.00 15% 5.50    
FACTUALITY Apr23 Mar14 Feb05     (moger jr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
LADY EDNA Mar26 Mar13 Feb15 Jan29 Dec28 (rodriquez )HERNANDEZ O 125 4.00    
SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Jan29 Mar06 Feb15 Feb02 Dec22 (jarvis kathy)ASHTON GAVIN 125 4.50    
 
BTP-3   05/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE BREZING Mar27 Mar08 Feb26 Feb05 Jan01 (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
SIS BOOM BOB Dec03 Nov24 Sep27 Aug23 Jul13 (esquivel j)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
LOVIN MAKES CENTS Mar15 Feb27 Jan18 Dec28 Nov29 (esquivel )CORREA L 123 2.50    
SCR  ECONOMIC HANGOVER Apr03 Mar19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec19 (rodriquez regul)MOJICA JR 123 4.50    
LITTLE MUSIC Aug30 Jun21 Jun06 May18 May11 (cross r)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 3.50    
GAVICHI Apr22 Apr02 Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 (brooks gerald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED HERO         (pitts c)BUSH V 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
PAYNTER CITY Feb22 Jan24 Dec08 Nov12 Oct30 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00    
HALTER BOY Mar13 Dec19 Nov30 Oct26   (butcher james)MURGIA A 121 2.50    
BLACK HILLS Apr17         (ennis john)ORANTES CESAR 116 4.50    
ACCONA Mar05 Feb05 Sep11 Aug22 Aug10 (shetron ph)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 3.50 34% 2.00    
ENDOW Sep28 Aug31 Aug21 Jul31 Jul20 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 125 3.00    
 
BTP-5   05/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAJUS         (caramori caio)SERPA ANGEL 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
IMPROBABLE CAUSE Apr29 Apr15 Dec02 Nov20 Nov06 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
MR. MAC MIDNIGHT Apr12 Mar01 Jan29 Jan04 Dec20 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 10.00    
TRAP LINE Apr29 Apr02 Mar15 Jan23 Nov06 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 2.00 21% 3.70    
HAVEGUNSWILLTRAVEL Apr22 Mar13 Feb13 Jan31 Jan04 (dalton michelle)MURGIA A 125 4.50    
COSMIC LUTE Apr29 Apr09 Mar08 Feb08   (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 8.00    
EGYPTIAN QUEST Mar05 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Dec08 (adams l)HESS SARA 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
BTP-6   05/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Daryl Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMLINER'S KID Apr18 Mar30 Mar15     (zielinski richard)MCKEE J 116 6.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
FORTISSIMO Oct26 Sep24 Aug10 Jul19 May29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
SUPERWOLF Apr03 Mar18 Oct26 Oct03 Aug28 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BOOTS MALONE Apr03 Mar18 Nov27 Oct26 Oct10 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 3.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
ED'S REWARD Oct26 Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 May29 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 116 5.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LEONA'S REWARD by PARENTS' REWARD)
HE IS DYNAMIC Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 Sep19 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
BTP-7   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER HUSTLER Apr28 Mar06 Feb05 Jan24 Feb05 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00    
MOBIL DREAM STAR Jan24 Dec18 Nov06 Sep25 Sep11 (butcher james)MURGIA A 123 6.00    
WAVES OF LIBERTY Dec26 Dec09 Nov07 Sep06 Aug22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
COUSIN MINNIE Apr09 Mar06 Feb05 Nov25 Oct23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
EMERALD EYES Apr24 Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 Jan25 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BE KOZY Mar25 Feb05 Jan06 Nov25 Nov11 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 41% 1.50    
SISSY'S MAY Mar20 Feb27 Aug29 Aug14 Aug03 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 2.50    
 
BTP-8   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CORDOBES (IRE) Apr24 Apr12 Mar24 Mar07 Feb21 (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 5.00    
EL CUERVO FELIS Oct08 Sep07 Aug24 Jul27 Jul17 (oviedo jose)SERPA ANGEL 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
DOC B Jun29 May20       (reed r)MCKEE J 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
MISTER ROSSO Apr24 Apr05 Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 12.00 5% 17.70    
ONE AMERICA Apr22 Apr01 Jan29 Jan08 Dec16 (brooks gerald )PAULY SUMMER 118 12.00    
MR. MELO Feb15 Dec20 Oct31 Oct11 Sep17 (hernandez)CORREA L 123 2.50    
SATISKY Mar19 Jul10 Jun06 May16 May02 (cross r)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 15.00    
MIGHTY MO Apr30 Apr05 Mar15 Feb06 Jan25 (evans mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.