Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - May 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/5/2)-(2/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/5/4)-(2/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/1/6)-(2/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/1/6)-(5/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALWAYSMOONLIT Jun26         (cline c)MURGIA A 121 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MOONLIGHT RIDE by MALIBU MOON)
SUNNY LION Feb27 Feb04       (cline rob)CORREA L 121 4.00    
  (by DOLPHUS out of ROCKY PARADE by PARADING)
E KRACKER Dec26 Dec09 Aug07     (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PELEADORA FUERTE by STRONG CONTENDER)
SECRET VALENTINE Nov26 Nov13 Oct26 Sep16 Aug28 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
JOSEFINA Feb27 Feb04 Dec27     (acev)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
 
BTP-2   05/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONIC ROCK Apr16 Apr05 Mar26 Mar09 Feb23 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 4.50 11% 8.00    
BROGUE Jul13 May25 May03 Aug18   (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
ONLY THE GOOD Mar21 Jan30 Dec19 Nov22   (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50    
COLLATOR Mar21 Mar01 Feb13 Jan25 Dec21 (fletcher )CORREA L 123 4.00    
SCR  ACTING DEBUT Mar21 Feb23 Jan18 Dec05 Oct29 (armstrong ste)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.00    
 
BTP-3   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOSHA Mar29 Mar20 Feb26 Feb01 Jan17 (adams l)HESS SARA 123 3.50    
CENTRIFUGAL FORCE Jan04 Sep12 Aug08 Jul20 Jun21 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KOLTEN'S PRIDE Jan30 Oct28 Oct02 Sep07 Aug24 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 6.00    
MITHRIDATES Apr04 Mar07 Jan22 Dec22 Dec11 (mendieta )CORREA L 123 4.50    
FIRE WIRE Mar29 Mar19 Mar06 Feb14 Jan29 (ware c)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
KARMA DIRECTOR Mar01 Feb06 Jan23 Dec28 Jul09 (ennis john)ORANTES CESAR 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
BTP-4   05/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY SIGNS Apr22 Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb28 (castillo j)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.00    
ROCKY CHANNEL Apr03 Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 (cline robert )SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  BETTER HALF Mar10 Jan23 Nov19 Nov04 Oct09 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 123 4.00    
PRICELESS PICTURE Apr09 Mar10 Nov12 Oct03 Sep14 (calderon ivan)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUBY LAYNE Apr09 Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 (overholt )CORREA L 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
FANCIFUL Nov13 Oct05 Sep18 Aug30 Aug21 (caramori caio)SERPA ANGEL 123 2.50    
 
BTP-5   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEEKABOOWILLIE Sep28 Aug29 Aug03 Jul18   (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50 11% 7.70    
MY GIRL KEW Apr10 Mar01 Feb06 Apr13 Feb01 (maker j)MCKEE J 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
ARTISTIC LANEY Oct26 Sep28 Sep18 Aug29 Aug03 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00    
FLAME FOR REAL Apr10 Mar31 Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 (zielinski ric)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00    
CARMEL ROSE Apr11 Mar20 Dec11 Oct23   (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Apr10 Mar27 Feb26 Feb10 Dec09 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 123 6.00 8% 11.00    
 
BTP-6   05/08/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINCENZINO Apr28 Apr11 Mar29 Oct15 Sep24 (castillo jabdie)SERPA ANGEL 125 2.50    
BOBBY'S GIFT Mar22 Mar06 Dec26 Dec10 Nov18 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 120 3.50 52% 0.90    
JARLIAN Mar12 Mar01 Feb04 Jan27 Dec26 (ortiz-ruiz car)JURADO EDDIE 125 5.00 10% 8.70    
FEELTHEBEAT Apr08 Mar20 Mar06 Dec06 Nov15 (ortiz-ruiz )FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
ROGUE ELEMENT Mar12 Jan30 Jan16 Dec11 Nov04 (haehn r)OUZTS W 125 4.00    
INHERENT POWERS Apr10 Mar12 Feb26 Feb07 Dec11 (adams l)HESS SARA 125 4.50    
 
BTP-7   05/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMPHIS SLIM Apr13 Mar27 Feb27 Jan25 Dec19 (lucas wa)HERNANDEZ N 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MEMPHIS SKY by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
HEAVY HITTER Apr13 Mar28 Mar07 May27 May06 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 2.50    
  (by THE PLAYER out of CAYANNA by MASTER DERBY)
GHOST NATION Apr13 Mar05 Dec21 Nov24 Sep22 (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by TAPIT out of GLORYZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
TECHNE Feb15 Jan25 Dec14 Nov24 Oct30 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 125 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
STARSHIP D'ORO Mar19 Feb14 Jan04 Dec06   (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of STARSHIP JUBILEE by INDY WIND)
WHISKY RESERVE Apr11 Mar19 Mar06 Feb06 Jan23 (douaihy michel)MEZA JJ 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of CASH RESERVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
BTP-8   05/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN JOE Jan31 Dec20 Nov02 Oct23 Oct05 (adams nancy)FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 8.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
HEIDI N SEEK Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug03   (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 120 5.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
JERICHO TRUMPET Mar30         (acevedo israel)SERPA ANGEL 125 4.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of BIRD FOR THREE by ASTROLOGY)
MUSIC MO         (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by DREAMLINER out of MO MARGARITA by UNCLE MO)
DYNAMIC GIFT         (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SWEET ANGEL ROAN by STREET HERO)
ATLAS FALLS Oct09 Aug22 Jun14 Apr10 Dec19 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by BERNARDINI out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.