Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/1)-(4/6/5)-(2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(2/3)-(9/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LS-5   WIN (9/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/4)-(9/2/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/4)-(9/2/3/8/4)-(9/2/3/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-6   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(2/3/4/9/8)-(7/10/9/2/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LS-7   WIN (2/3/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/9/8)-(2/3/4/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/9/8)-(2/3/4/9/8)-(2/3/4/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/4/9/8)-(7/10/9/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-8   WIN (7/10/9/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/9/2/1)-(7/10/9/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/9/2/1)-(7/10/9/2/1)-(7/10/9/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTINBYMOONLIGHT         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 4.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of PISCES by MALIBU MOON)
2  MOON CRATER Apr20 Mar08 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by COLLECTED out of ICY CALM by CURLIN)
3  COWGIRL DREAM Apr20 Mar23 Mar08 Jan24 Jan03 (cruz eduardo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of DYNAMIC COWGIRL by DYNAMEAUX)
4  R S AMERICAN TIDE Apr20 Apr05       (ruggeri nicol)FUENTES MARIO 118 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN CODE out of POINT OF NO RETURN by CONCORD POINT)
5  CLEVER CLEMENTINE Mar30         (sanc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TRUTH AND ZEN by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  A THOUSAND SAILS Apr06 Mar15       (castellano)ERAMIA E 124 3.50    
  (by FALL OF TROY out of TROUBLEINABAG by FIVE DEMON BAG)
 
LS-2   05/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMAL COURAGE Mar28 Mar21 Feb16 Sep26 Sep03 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 121 15.00 8% 11.40    
2  AVAILABLE STAR Mar28 Feb08 Nov08 Sep06 Aug17 (jacks karen )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00    
3  JACKMAN'S RIDE Mar28 Feb22 Feb08 Nov30 Sep04 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
4  DARK AFTERNOON Nov15 Oct18 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 121 5.00    
5  BYE Apr06 Mar07 Dec18 Nov05 Sep11 (green greg)ERAMIA E 121 12.00    
6  AGENT PETER GRAVES Aug17 Jun29 May27 Apr19 Mar23 (young e)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  TWENTYONE N CHANGE Mar28 Feb08 Nov15 Nov08 Oct16 (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 2.50 15% 5.70    
8  BRUCELEA Mar21 Mar01 Feb01 Nov15 Oct16 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 6.00    
SCR  TAPE TO TAPE Apr19 Apr10 Oct18 Aug17 Jun29 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60    
 
LS-3   05/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERCENTS Mar14 Mar01 Jan26 Jan05 Nov23 (hjort donna)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 1.60    
2  COINMAKER Apr17 Apr06 Mar14 Mar01 Jan24 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 124 4.00    
3  MOLA MIA Apr17 Mar22 Mar14 Feb22 Jan25 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 15.00    
4  GEE GEE Feb21 Feb06 Jan09 Nov19 Oct18 (arey anthon)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  SHARP LIKENESS Apr06 Mar14 Feb22 Jan11 Sep02 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TURA LURA Mar14 Feb22 Dec18 Nov23 Nov01 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
LS-4   05/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3 ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINTASTIC Apr18 Feb01 Jan19 Jan04 Nov22 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 20.00    
2  JOLLY SAMURAI Mar22 Feb15 Jan18 Dec13 Oct25 (pish danny)DIEGO V 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
3  WOW THAT'S HOT Apr06 Mar16 Feb07     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT Apr17 Apr04 Mar16 Jan25 Dec13 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00    
5  ITSMYBIRTHDAY Apr07 Feb16 Jan16 Jan01   (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.00    
SCR  COUNTTHEBRAVE Mar22 Feb21 Dec21 Oct17 Sep25 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE TOM Apr06 Feb16 Jan17 Dec27 Dec04 (diodoro robert)REYES R 118 1.80    
 
LS-5   05/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLEA'S DREAM Apr18 Mar02 Jan03 Oct23 Jul30 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 4.00    
2  OCELOT Feb09 Jan25 Jan03 Oct23 Sep29 (ashford tri)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  CREATIVE MINISTER Apr24 Mar22 Feb23 Jan25 Dec13 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00 ★    
4  ILLUSTRATOR Mar02 Feb09 Jul06 Jun22 May10 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  REGAL TERKA Mar22 Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 Nov09 (willis min)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
6  PICO D'ORO Apr17 Apr05 Mar14 Feb14 Jan17 (govea cesar)REYES R 121 15.00    
7  MOR VICTORY Mar22 Jan24 Oct23 Sep29 Aug24 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00    
8  HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Apr18 Mar08 Feb09 Jan11 Dec13 (kane )MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SUNLIT SONG Mar22 Mar02 Jan24 Mar23 Feb17 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 3.50 54% 0.90    
10  PROWLING TIGER Apr20 Apr06 Feb21 Jan30 Jan09 (govea cesar)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
SCR  EDIFIED Apr05 Mar01 Jan18 Nov19 Sep14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50    
SCR  WITHOUT A TRACE Apr26 Mar16 Dec06 Oct19 Sep29 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 3.50    
 
LS-6   05/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IBENDLIEDTO Sep17 Aug19 Jul20     (mejia jacobo)BENAVIDES D 124 20.00    
2  MUCHO VAPOR Apr17 Apr06 Mar21 Mar09   (martin steve)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  CAUSE MIMI SAID Apr19 Mar15 Feb07 Jan19 Dec06 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 118 1.60    
4  BELLO Apr18 Mar09 Jul06 Jun09   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 10.00    
SCR  BLAME DENNIS Mar29 Mar17 Feb23 Jul20 Jun29 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 124 8.00    
6  AUSTIN'S MAP Mar29 Mar01 Jan31 Nov02 Sep23 (garza joaquin )REYES R 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
7  TOO MUCH LONG LEGS Mar17 Mar01 Feb19 Feb03 Jan05 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
LS-7   05/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRECY IS EVIL Mar16 Jan19       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
2  THREE ECHOES Mar16 Feb28 Jan18 Dec06 Oct25 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
3  KNOCK KNOCK JOKE Apr17 Apr06 Mar27 Mar07 Feb16 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 1.80 14% 6.20    
4  DANCIN FOR GOLD Apr19 Sep05       (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 5.00 12% 7.70    
5  GO GO BOSS Mar28 Mar07 Feb15 Jan19   (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 122 6.00    
6  HEAVENVILLE Mar14 Feb24 Dec29 Nov30 Nov02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 4.50    
7  SMARTIER Mar27 Mar06 Feb06 Jan17 Dec04 (fincher w)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
8  GOOD PRODUCT Mar28 Feb28 Jul13 Jun15   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  GOLD FRONT Jan11 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08   (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00 7% 12.80    
 
LS-8   05/04/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH MASTER Apr25 Mar21 Feb28 Jan04 Nov23 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHANNEL LAUNCH Apr06 Mar07 Feb13 Dec16   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 15.00 9% 9.60    
3  OVERCAST Feb21 Jan25 Dec21 Nov22 Oct30 (bravo franci)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 20.00    
4  AIRO DINERO Mar21 Feb28 Feb01 Jan12 Sep28 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 5.00    
5  PEAK EARNINGS (GB) Mar09 Feb16 Nov28 Oct17 Aug17 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00    
6  HAKUHIA Mar14 Feb08 Dec07 Nov17 Nov01 (calvario samuel)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
7  JUST A SIP Apr05 Jul04 May17 Sep30   (ashford r)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
8  COUNTY SLUGGER Mar21 Jan11 Oct09 Sep11 Aug30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00    
9  SECURED Mar21 Feb28 Jan19 Nov18 Oct02 (calhoun willi)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 13% 6.60    
10  UTSIRA Apr05 Mar14 Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
11  OK BY ME Apr15 Feb28 Feb14 Jan10 Nov01 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
12  SHE'S A GOLD LADY Mar14 Nov13 Oct25 Oct10 Sep11 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
SCR  REAL MISCHIEVOUS Mar30 Mar15 Jan01 Nov20 Oct23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00    
SCR  SUMMERTIMEE Mar29 Feb23 Jan11 Nov02 Oct09 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.