Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - May 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/3)-(4/8/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/8/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/8/5/2)-(7/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/2)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/2)-(7/3/1)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(6/1/3)-(3/2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/2/5/6)-(1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/6)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMBAT HOOFS Oct09 Sep24 Aug22 Jul31 Jun27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
CHARM ALARM Mar14 Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
XERCES Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May27 May18 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
EMILY'S ON FIRE Apr14 Mar24 Mar05 Feb05 Jan28 (padilla)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 1.60    
SCR  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Oct24 Oct09 Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 (antus lawrence)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
OLIVIA DEE Nov13 Oct23 Aug22 Aug14 Jun26 (martin charles)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOARDING         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
MY DETROIT CITY Mar20 Feb19 Dec19 Nov14 Oct24 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.00    
VIRAL VIDEO Apr07 Mar25 Feb25 Jan08 Dec09 (marquez cesar)RIVERA D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHUCKY OUR LAW Apr14 Mar14 Feb19     (galligan gera)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.50    
SCR  MO SAYS         (beattie m)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00    
SCR  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN Mar14 Feb21 Jan09 Dec18 Nov15 (galligan gera)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00    
 
PEN-3   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABBY'S SPIRIT Mar27 Mar06 Jun27 Jun13 May16 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 120 5.00    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Mar27 Mar06 Feb06 Dec13 Nov21 (fields kevin)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LONG TOM Apr24 Apr05 Mar21 Feb21 May22 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
LEONIDS Apr11 Mar14 Jul03 Jun10 May06 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
STRASSE Mar21 Mar07 Feb27 Dec03 Nov11 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
KEEP DEM TALKING Apr15 Mar27 Mar10 Dec13 Nov15 (nicholson ju)TORRES L 110 8.00    
PURECRAZIGROOVE Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Nov26 (salinas jose)CORA D 120 6.00    
FREEDOM'S START Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-4   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORMANDY LIFE Mar14 Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 Nov01 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
THREE POLKS Feb27 Feb07 Dec06 Nov03 Oct16 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
PINK ROSE Mar07 Feb07 Nov07 Oct09 Sep13 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
UNDICI Mar31 Feb27 Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 (guerrero carlos)CORA D 120 12.00    
SCR  QUEEN WIGGY Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 Dec13 Nov20 (synnefias panagio)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
DIANE'S MERLOT Sep11 Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 Jun07 (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
MARION GRACE Feb20 Dec13 Oct19 Oct02 Sep14 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-5   05/02/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF HOLLYWOOD Dec31 Dec04 Nov16 Oct09 Sep25 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 2.00 27% 2.80    
MARTINI MARTIN Apr05 Mar22 Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50    
LAST ROMANCE Feb10 Jan29 Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
TUBTIMSIAM Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Jan03 Dec04 (kravets m)CORA D 120 8.00    
ENTRUST Mar14 Jan03 Dec20 Nov13 Aug10 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
BRETT'S WORLD Apr04 Mar06 Feb07 Jan18 Jan02 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-6   05/02/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKELLIG ISLAND Mar15 Feb13 Jan18 Dec28 Oct12 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
MALIBU WARRIOR Mar14 Feb27 Jan09     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
TOWN KISSER Mar14 Feb28 Feb21 Jan02 Nov27 (fields kevin)FLORES E 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON Mar21 Jun18 May31 May17 May02 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
RED ABARRIO Apr23 Mar28 Feb05 Jan22 Jan12 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
NIGHTSCAPE Apr02 Mar19 Dec10 Sep23 Jun13 (rodriguez jose )VEGA L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAMBLIN CHROME Mar28 Feb28 Dec09 Dec03 Nov25 (manning j)CORA D 122 20.00    
 
PEN-7   05/02/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING MUSICIAN Mar13 Feb21 Jan02 Dec18 Sep28 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  PYLON Apr23 Apr15 Mar13 Feb27 Feb11 (rodriguez i)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 8.00    
MIGHTY MINION Apr25 Mar28 Mar21 Mar07 Feb21 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HIBACHI Jan09 Dec06 Nov08 Sep30 Sep11 (o'callahan carl)FLORES E 122 15.00    
WE BE THERE Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Jan28 (rodrigue)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY BOND ROB Apr21 Jan29 Jan08 Dec03 Sep24 (badillo jonathan)CASTILLO A 122 10.00    
GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Mar27 Feb06 Jan09 Dec12 Oct30 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.