Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(3/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(3/4/8)-(8/6/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/1/8)-(3/4/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(8/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(8/6/9/3)-(6/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (8/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/3)-(8/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/3)-(8/6/9/3)-(8/6/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/9/3)-(6/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/9/3)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/2/3/5/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/2)-(6/2/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/2)-(6/2/3/5/4)-(9/10/1/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/2/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5/4)-(6/2/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5/4)-(6/2/3/5/4)-(6/2/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/3/5/4)-(9/10/1/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5/4)-(9/10/1/5/4)-(5/4/6/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (9/10/1/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/1/5/4)-(9/10/1/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/1/5/4)-(9/10/1/5/4)-(9/10/1/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/1/5/4)-(5/4/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/8/6/1)-(5/4/8/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   04/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORORITY PARTY Mar19 Mar05 Feb22 Jan22 Dec28 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 122 3.00    
2  HAPPY CHAPPY Mar12 Feb25 Feb16 Jan20 Dec06 (barrio ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  PAGEANT PURRFECT Oct28 Oct10 Sep28 Aug25 Jul07 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50    
4  KAMIKAZE BLUE Mar31 Mar11 Feb06 Jan25 Dec27 (marin )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DREWY Mar26 Mar03 Feb13 Jan27 Jan02 (koler steve)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00    
6  STARLET COLE Jan27 Dec27 Nov29 Nov12 Sep28 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
7  BANGO'S HEAT Mar31 Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 Jan22 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-3   04/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Mar19 Mar07 Feb13 Jan23 Dec13 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
2  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Apr01 Jan21 Oct20 Sep28 Sep19 (diodor)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 6.00    
3  MISTER MCLEAN Feb18 Jan13 Dec26 Dec04 Sep03 (sanderson bruce)CRUZ M 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
4  DAZZLING TRUTHS Apr09 Mar26 Feb27 Jan21 Jan02 (silva ju)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 5.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  FIGHT ME Apr01 Jan14 Dec04 Nov14 Apr22 (figueroa ju)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
6  XTREME MAYHEM Mar26 Mar03 Jan23 Jan01 Dec04 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
7  PEDRO PEREZ Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Nov03 Oct19 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA F 124 6.00    
8  GONNA GETCHA GOOD Mar17 Feb19 Feb04 Dec01 May05 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   04/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT APPROVAL Mar26 Mar06 Feb18 Jan02 Dec17 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 3.00    
2  DAWKINS Jan18         (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50    
3  SAND PAYNTER Mar26 Mar06 Jan28     (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE NOTHING MAKER Mar26 Feb05 Jan09     (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00    
5  HOLLYWOOD IMPACT Mar26 Mar06 Feb26 Jan09 Dec18 (silva ju)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 6.00    
6  COME ON MULITCH Mar26 Mar06 Jan28 Dec04 Nov04 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  THUNDERMOUNTAINMAN Mar26 Feb18 Jan01 Nov17   (martinez )KELLENBERGER KODY 121 15.00    
8  DJOSER         (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.50 35% 1.90    
9  PROSENT         (belvoir vann)KRIGGER K 121 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-5   04/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY VISION Mar25 Feb19 Jan20 Dec15 Nov23 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 6.00    
2  GUN POWDER Mar25 Feb18 Jun01     (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GONE GREY Apr09 Mar31 Mar10 Dec17 Dec04 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00    
4  REBOSO Mar25 Feb18 Jan16 Jan01 May04 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.00    
5  MANZONI Feb18 Feb03 Dec27 Dec04 Sep27 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 10.00 15% 5.90    
6  JUST TRUST ME Feb19 Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov09 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  SLEW O' MISCHIEF Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Sep01   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50    
8  A VOTRE SANTE Mar07 Jan20 Nov30 Oct18 Jul25 (kitchingman ada)VERGARA P 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
TUP-6   04/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOP AND A TRES Mar11 Jan23 Jan08 Dec10 Nov25 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
2  HOWBEIT Mar11 Mar03 Jan23 Dec26 Oct26 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  HORSE DOCTOR Mar31 Feb27 Feb11 Jan25 Jan03 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00 7% 14.20    
4  KNIGHTLINE Mar22 Feb22 Jan21 Jan09 Aug25 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WELTON Mar31 Mar12 Feb12 Jan25 Dec23 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Jun20 Jun08 (story chad)CORBETT W 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  HEY NOW Mar12 Sep05 Aug03 Jul11 Jun16 (kenney ryan)KRIGGER K 122 12.00    
8  LANSDOWNE (GB) Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan23 Jan06 (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50    
9  RHODESIA Mar17 Feb27 Feb10 Jan21 Jan13 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 122 5.00    
 
TUP-7   04/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEIPZIG Mar20 Mar10 Feb24 Feb05 Dec09 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
2  PRANCING MATILDA Apr02 Mar06 Feb22 Feb12 Jan24 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
3  CALIFORNIA BLING Mar24 Mar06 Jun25 May13 Apr21 (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 12.00    
4  LADY MARY LOU Mar26 Dec26 Sep06 Aug18 Jul28 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OOPS (GB) Apr02 Mar26 Mar06 Jan21 Dec28 (o'hagan colleen)MAWING A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DANGERELLA Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan22 Nov17 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
7  MARK OF VICTORY Mar20 Feb27 Feb12 Jan25 Jan07 (lund valorie)KRIGGER K 124 15.00    
8  SAL GAL Mar24 Feb13 Jan29 Jan06 Dec18 (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
9  MAGENS BAY Mar20 Feb27 Feb12 Jan07 Dec19 (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
10  R B'S TIGER Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan25 Dec13 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  PINK SOLITAIRE Apr03 Mar14 Feb14 Jan18 Oct05 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 3.00    
 
TUP-8   04/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANDY DAY Apr03 Mar06 Nov18 Nov10 Oct23 (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEGAL MISCHIEF Mar11 Feb13 Jan28 Jan08 Dec19 (mendoza elo)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
3  CAT ON THE RUN Mar06 Jan30 Mar28 Mar18 Mar05 (ortega je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
4  MAGIC TIP Apr02 Mar20 Feb17 Feb06 Jan06 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  GIMME MO MONEY Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 Jan30 Jan08 (martinez e)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 3.50 55% 0.80    
6  SHE'S MY FLAME Mar24 Feb27 Feb11 Jan08 Dec14 (mendoz)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HITTIN MY STRIDE Mar21 Feb02 Dec31 Nov03 Sep24 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
8  NELLIE THURSDAY Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan19 Dec19 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
9  ILA VEIW TOO Mar24 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Jan06 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
10  DAME LORRAINE Mar26 Mar06 Feb11 Jan21 Dec12 (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.