Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - March 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (6/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/8)-(2/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/8)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/3/4/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/4)-(2/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/4)-(2/3/4/6)-(5/4/6/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6)-(5/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(5/4/6/1)-(7/9/6/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(7/9/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/1)-(7/9/6/8)-(1/8/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/8)-(7/9/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/8)-(7/9/6/8)-(7/9/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/6/8)-(1/8/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/8)-(1/8/5/3)-(11/9/5/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/3)-(1/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/3)-(1/8/5/3)-(1/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/3)-(11/9/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (11/9/5/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/5/6/2)-(11/9/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/5/6/2)-(11/9/5/6/2)-(11/9/5/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   03/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCKNTHECLUBHOUSE Mar10 Feb05 Jan02 Apr11   (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 5.00    
JACKED UP Mar10         (owens kory)CORBETT W 121 4.00 13% 6.50    
FREEDOM EMPIRE Mar06 Jan28 Jan09 Dec04   (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SMILE DONT WINK Mar10         (peery debbie)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
SYDS WARRIOR         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
BOTTLE CAPS Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jan16 Jan01 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
GONE GREY Mar10 Dec17 Dec04 Oct20 Sep14 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00    
EMPIRE WARRIOR Mar17 Mar05 Feb02 Jan03 Nov16 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   03/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCK OWENS Mar12 Jan25 Jan06 Dec18 Dec02 (story chad)VERGARA P 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
EXXEL Mar12 Jan25 Dec23 Dec11 Nov19 (silva jr)GARCIA F 122 5.00 32% 2.20    
ITSALLGOODMAN Feb24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug05 (anderson gonzalo)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
MACCHIATO D'ORO Apr11 Apr04 Mar14 Feb08 Dec20 (mendoza el)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JOE DON LOONEY Feb04 Jan23 Jan01 Dec08 Nov08 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 2.00    
WELTON Mar12 Feb12 Jan25 Dec23 Nov19 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
ULTIMATE Mar12 Feb04 Dec30 Dec17 Sep06 (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
 
TUP-5   03/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE AWARE Mar20 Feb03 Dec04 Nov13   (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 3.00    
OM SASSY Mar03         (brinson clay)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
GIMME MO MONEY Mar05 Feb11 Jan30 Jan08 Dec23 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
I HAVE A DREAM Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Jan08 Dec18 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SMOOCHERRO Mar11 Feb17 Feb03     (birdwell te)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00    
SHESAYSHELLO Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Sep15 Aug09 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
STAY N LOV Mar05 Feb17 Jan23 Dec04 Nov13 (rosales jorge)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
BRUMBODOPPELGANGER Mar20 Feb20 Feb03 Dec04 Sep15 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 6.00    
 
TUP-6   03/31/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMANERA (IRE) Mar20 Feb27 Feb18 Jan30 Jan13 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00 8% 11.30    
MISTER BEAMS Mar03 Feb13 Jan28 Dec31 Oct11 (uranga j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00    
RIGHT TO SUE Mar10 Nov21 Oct15 Sep02 Jul30 (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
WINTER FALCON Feb20 Feb11 Jan08 Dec28 Dec16 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
CODE CHARLIE Mar17 Feb10 Oct04 Jul03 Jun23 (cruz pe)REYES R 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
EDDIE CROSSWIRE Mar17 Feb10 Jan25 Jan11 Dec15 (stead devo)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 11% 8.40    
ROCKET RIBBON Feb04 Jan15 Dec13 Nov24 Nov01 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
MOJAVE (GB) Jan30 Dec26 Nov26 Nov14 Sep01 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
 
TUP-7   03/31/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASPIRATIONAL Mar18 Feb25 Apr21 Feb16 Sep29 (steven)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 20.00    
SCR  STANFORD HOLIDAY Mar06 Feb13 Jan23 Dec18 Nov17 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 118 4.00    
VHAGAR Mar18 Oct05 Sep29 Aug04 Jul20 (bean robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
SCR  MINEDANDREFINED Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Feb06 Jan27 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
BANGO'S HEAT Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 Jan22 Dec28 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 122 6.00    
KAMIKAZE BLUE Mar11 Feb06 Jan25 Dec27 Nov27 (marin martin)REYES R 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
MUSICAL DIVA Mar11 Jan27 Dec28 Dec05 Sep09 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 38% 1.60    
CAN'T WANT THAT Mar19 Mar11 Feb25 Feb06 Jan27 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
LUSMA Mar11 Feb17 Jan24 Dec13 Nov09 (alvarez sergio)KRIGGER K 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
10  SOLID TUNE Mar15 Jan17 Jan01 Nov17 Sep27 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
 
TUP-8   03/31/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARINAS TINA (IRE) Mar06 Feb13 Jan15 Nov26 Nov08 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
POKER ALICE Mar17 Feb17 Dec07 Nov23 Nov01 (perez s)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
ROPERS N WRANGLERS Feb25 Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 Nov18 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
COASTLINE HOTTIE Mar06 Feb13 Jan27 Jan16 Apr24 (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
MAGIC CHROME Mar06 Jan15 Dec31 Nov09 Oct20 (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  ROCKY BAY RAE Mar13 Feb20 Jan27 Dec28 Aug11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
SUNGLASSES (GB) Mar10 Feb09 Jan20 Nov02 Oct05 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 4.50    
UNA PALABRA Mar06 Dec16 Nov26 Sep27 Aug24 (silva jr)VERGARA P 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-9   03/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME HARRY Mar17 Feb11 Jan30 Jan08 Dec07 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
SHARP WARNING Feb19 Feb04 Jan21 Dec26 Jul28 (warren ka)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUCKY SMILE Feb27 Jan28 Jan01 Dec17 Nov25 (lund valori)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00    
DUPLICATION Mar18 Feb19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec15 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jan06 Dec16 Nov12 Sep23 Aug04 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 15.00 19% 4.20    
MAD LUTHER Mar10 Feb11 Jan30 Jan08 Dec18 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SURPRISE FASHION Mar20 Mar10 Feb19 Jan30 Jan13 (rosale)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 20.00    
NORTHCUT Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Jan13 Jul08 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 5.00    
PICAHOUSE Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 Jan15 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  DENNARD Mar17 Feb27 Feb11 Dec28 Dec09 (baze robert)CORBETT W 122 20.00    
11  HORSE DOCTOR Feb27 Feb11 Jan25 Jan03 Dec18 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
12  STORMIN HONGKONG Mar20 Feb05 Jan25 Dec27 Dec10 (silva a)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.