Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(3/5/1)-(5/2/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/2/8/6)-(4/6/1/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/6)-(4/6/1/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/6)-(4/6/1/5/9)-(7/10/1/8/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/6/1/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5/9)-(4/6/1/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5/9)-(4/6/1/5/9)-(4/6/1/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5/9)-(7/10/1/8/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5/9)-(7/10/1/8/4)-(10/1/2/6/12) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (7/10/1/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/1/8/4)-(7/10/1/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/1/8/4)-(7/10/1/8/4)-(7/10/1/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/1/8/4)-(10/1/2/6/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/10/1/8/4)-(10/1/2/6/12)-(2/8/9/4/6) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-8   WIN (10/1/2/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/2/6/12)-(10/1/2/6/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/2/6/12)-(10/1/2/6/12)-(10/1/2/6/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/2/6/12)-(2/8/9/4/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (2/8/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/4/6)-(2/8/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/4/6)-(2/8/9/4/6)-(2/8/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   03/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONZAGA Mar06 Feb25 Feb03 Jan14 Dec16 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
DADDY GENE         (kemper kasey)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00    
BIG STETSON Feb25         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 6.00    
REGARDING HARRY Feb25         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 5.00 51% 1.00    
CHASIN A DOLLAR Feb18 Feb02 Jan03 Dec07 Aug30 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
SCR  G G GILLEY Feb25 Feb03 Jan14 Dec08 Nov03 (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.00    
CAGEY BURGLAR         (bratcher ryan)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   03/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Stallion Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHINDTHEBAR Feb17         (owens kory)CORBETT W 119 4.00 14% 6.40    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of BY THE WAY by TOP HIT)
EZ IZ ONZAWAY Feb03 Jan16 Dec04     (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 3.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of ONZAWAY by ARCH)
SQUEEZE THE DAY Feb03 Jan08 Dec04 Jul27 May04 (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SQUEEZE ME by PAPA CLEM)
CHINO MIRAGE Feb05         (lewis kevin)REYES R 124 20.00    
  (by EL MIRAGE out of VARSOVIENNE by MIZZEN MAST)
TIME TO FLY Feb03 Jan16 Dec04 Aug31 Jul27 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SMARTY B by SMARTY JONES)
DIAMANTE ELEGANTE Feb03 Dec04 Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 119 5.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
BRUMBODOPPELGANGER Feb20 Feb03 Dec04 Sep15 Aug25 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of DADDY'S MELODY by SCAT DADDY)
 
TUP-5   03/20/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG BLUE NOTE Jan29 Dec27 Dec02 Jul27 Jul21 (warren kayl)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
SLICE OF PIE Feb27 Jan29 Feb26 Feb06 Jan07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50 10% 8.60    
BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Feb17 Feb05 Jan24 Dec27 Dec09 (lavanway dayson)KRIGGER K 124 5.00    
MEASUREOFDEVOTION Feb25 Jan22 Dec11 Oct16 Sep23 (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 6.00    
ADIOS MUCHACHAS Jan24 Jan09 Dec02 Oct24 Oct05 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.50 59% 0.70    
PRINCESS JAYLEEN Mar11 May02 Apr25 Apr08 Mar11 (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LADY ATHENA Feb17 Jan29 Jan16 Dec19 Dec04 (williams d)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50    
KO OLINA Apr18 Mar20 Mar04 Dec15 Oct27 (valerio g)GARCIA F 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
 
TUP-6   03/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT NECESSITY Jan28 Jan13 Dec26 Dec09 Oct24 (thompson)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
TOM BOMBADIL Mar06 Jan30 Jan23 Jan29 Dec31 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
SCR  FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER Jan28 Dec30 Dec05 Nov13 Oct16 (hodgson barry)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
DEFENSE WINS Feb19 Jan13 Dec18 Nov16 Oct13 (mckinney d)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
STRENGTH OF AUTISM Mar06 Feb12 Jan30 Jan13 Dec30 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
SMILING GOODBYE Mar06 Feb05 Sep08 Jul28 Jun30 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 18% 4.40    
BUGLER Jan30 Dec02 Nov18 Oct20 Oct06 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
YOU KIDDING ME Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 Dec09 Nov25 (fearon j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
GROOVY HUEY Feb24 Feb10 Jan14 Dec26 Nov26 (kemper kasey)VERGARA P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  READY TO STORM Feb24 Jan30 Jan13 Dec30 Dec04 (gleason m)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
 
TUP-7   03/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTROSTATIC Feb24 Feb06 Dec23 Dec09 Nov13 (silva pablo)KRIGGER K 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
SOUTH COAST ROUTE Feb12 Jan27 Jan15 Dec31 Dec17 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
STORMIN HONGKONG Feb05 Jan25 Dec27 Dec10 Nov20 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
CLUB MESQUITE Feb25 Jan27 Dec28 Dec03 Sep01 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD MAGIC Feb27 Jan08 Dec10 Nov18 Oct20 (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SURPRISE FASHION Mar10 Feb19 Jan30 Jan13 Dec12 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
SKY CLOUD Feb19 Jan30 Jan21 Jan01 Dec12 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
ALMANERA (IRE) Feb27 Feb18 Jan30 Jan13 Nov17 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 9% 10.00    
STREET BEHAVIOR Feb19 Jan30 Dec28 Dec16 Dec05 (leon alexis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
10  SILVER DASH Feb19 Sep25 Sep02 Jul28 Jul13 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
TUP-8   03/20/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC TIP Feb17 Feb06 Jan06 Dec26 Nov13 (martinez e)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
R B'S TIGER Feb27 Feb05 Jan25 Dec13 Nov29 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
DANGERELLA Feb27 Feb05 Jan22 Nov17 Nov01 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
LEIPZIG Mar10 Feb24 Feb05 Dec09 Nov19 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
CHAINSAW CITY Mar10 Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Nov25 (silva juan )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
SPICY RIDE Feb27 Feb11 Jan18 Jun02 Apr26 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRACK QUEEN Sep04 Aug19 May29 May08 Dec29 (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
SCR  RANDOS LADY Feb27 Feb13 Dec06 Oct20 Jan01 (story chad)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
SCR  LOOKOUT PASS Mar05 Feb05 Jan21 Dec28 Dec18 (lavanway)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 20.00    
10  MAGENS BAY Feb27 Feb12 Jan07 Dec19 Nov29 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 124 5.00 41% 1.40    
11  MARK OF VICTORY Feb27 Feb12 Jan25 Jan07 Dec09 (lund v)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00    
12  NELLIE THURSDAY Feb27 Feb06 Jan19 Dec19 Nov29 (schnell don)KRIGGER K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-9   03/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPAGHETTI TREE Mar06 Feb17 Feb03 Dec20 Dec07 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00    
BE AWARE Feb03 Dec04 Nov13     (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
ELEGANT BELLA Mar07 Dec07       (tamayo isidro)REYES R 121 20.00    
GORMLEY'S KITTEN Mar03 Jan23       (freeman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
REVOCATA Mar03 Jan27 Nov18 Nov05 Oct23 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 20.00    
LADY SCAT         (gleason m)BARNES JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BETTY RYANO         (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00    
FARMERS DAUGHTER Mar03 Dec07       (alvarez sergio)GARCIA F 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
HEARTS FANTASY Mar03 Jan23 Dec06 Nov15 Oct19 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.50 5% 19.00    
10  HARBOR STRIKE Feb13 Jan23 Dec15     (dennis cl)JENSEN P 121 20.00    
11  SLEW CITY TIZ Feb06 Jan28 Jan06 Dec18 Nov17 (leon alexis)KRIGGER K 121 20.00    
12  KREWE D'ETAT Feb17 Jan23 Jul27     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.