Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/1)-(3/9/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/1)-(3/9/5/1)-(3/9/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/5/1)-(3/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/1)-(3/6/5/2)-(8/5/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/2)-(8/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/2)-(8/5/4/1)-(9/3/6/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/1)-(8/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/1)-(8/5/4/1)-(8/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/1)-(9/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/1)-(9/3/6/8)-(7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (9/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/6/8)-(9/3/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/6/8)-(9/3/7/6/8)-(9/3/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/6/8)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/6/8)-(7/6/1)-(5/2/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/8/5/1)-(7/6/8/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(5/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(5/2/8/7)-(1/5/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/7)-(1/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/7)-(1/5/3/7)-(6/1/7/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/7)-(6/1/7/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/7)-(6/1/7/5/10)-(6/2/9/4/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (6/1/7/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/5/10)-(6/1/7/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/5/10)-(6/1/7/5/10)-(6/1/7/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/7/5/10)-(6/2/9/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/5/10)-(6/2/9/4/3)-(5/2/6/3/9) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-9   WIN (6/2/9/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/4/3)-(6/2/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/4/3)-(6/2/9/4/3)-(6/2/9/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/9/4/3)-(5/2/6/3/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-10   WIN (5/2/6/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/3/9)-(5/2/6/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/3/9)-(5/2/6/3/9)-(5/2/6/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/01/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY EFFORT Feb05 Jan03 Dec07 Oct12 Sep25 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  JENN SWEET JENN Feb05 Jan19 Jan03 Sep09 Aug14 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
3  RAN THE RED Feb12 Jan03 Nov29 Sep21   (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.40 53% 0.90    
4  MACA ABARRIO Jan24 Nov23       (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00    
5  THUNDER PRINCESS Feb16 Jan24 Jan05 Nov14 Oct03 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUBLIME MISSION Jan24 Jan01 Dec01     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 30.00    
7  LIZ DREAMIN Feb12 Jan19 Nov23 Aug30 Aug16 (barrett gr)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
8  BLUE OPAL Feb09 Feb01 Jan17     (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 112 4.00    
9  MOM'S HAD ENOUGH         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
TAM-2   03/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUMOR SENSE Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Dec21 Nov20 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50    
2  VAL'S GAL Feb12 Dec13 Nov20 Nov01 Oct04 (barrett gr)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOLD BABY Jan08 Nov20 Sep19 Aug31 Nov18 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.40 60% 0.70    
4  HEAVENS EXPRESS Jan15 Jan01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 (guciardo kathy)LEON SONNY 120 5.00    
5  POLA OF TROUBLE Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Dec22 Dec04 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  VINO VELOCE Feb23 Feb05 Jan24 Jan05 Dec21 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 120 8.00 5% 17.70    
7  NUMERIC Feb12 Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 Dec04 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00    
8  THANK THE ACADEMY Feb14 Jan22 Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
 
TAM-3   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH JUSTICE Feb12 Oct31 Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 (agostini a)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOLIDAY JAZZ Feb14 Feb02 Jan15 Nov06 Sep24 (breed ron)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 12.00    
3  DELIZIOSA Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 Dec13 Oct13 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.00    
4  BULLET ON TAP Aug18 Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 Apr30 (charlton r)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 10.00 10% 8.60    
5  KEEP ON ROCKIN Feb12 Feb02 Jan12 Jan01 Dec13 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  AFTER A FEW Feb15 Jan24 Jan08 Dec20 Nov02 (smith ro)CASTANON L 118 3.50    
7  TOP LOOK Feb12 Jan19 Jan01 Dec18 Nov27 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00    
8  LADY QUINN Feb07 Jan08 Dec21 Nov11 Sep10 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
TAM-4   03/01/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOVEMBER Feb07 Dec27 Apr19 Mar03 Feb11 (barron rory)MARIN SAMUEL 125 6.00    
2  AIR FORCE ROYALTY Jan18 Dec29 Dec05 Nov01 Oct06 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 125 6.00    
3  GRAND PARK VIEW Feb14 Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 Nov30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  KADAR INDY Feb05 Jan12 Feb02 Jan07 Dec23 (cascallares nestor)BUSH V 125 30.00    
5  MY LITTLE CAIBO Feb09 Jan10 Dec07     (agostini a)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
6  STEAM POWERED Dec27 Dec07 Sep23 Aug31   (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR. SWEETS Feb07 Jan08       (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00 ★    
8  HE'S A WILD CHILD Feb12 Feb03 Dec04 Nov26 Nov05 (lopez ra)LEON A 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  STANLEY CAT Jan31 Jan10 Dec27     (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 125 2.50 54% 0.80    
10  JR SERGIO Jan29 Jan15 Dec07 Nov30 Nov03 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 112 10.00    
SCR  HIGH PRINCE Feb07 Jan18 Dec29 Dec08 Nov01 (barboza j)LEON SONNY 125 2.00    
 
TAM-5   03/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUT NOW AM FOUND Feb15 Feb02 Jan04 Aug31 Aug03 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOTLINE BLINK Jan29 Dec24 Oct15 Oct05 Sep08 (parra )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00    
3  HYPER VENOM Feb16 Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Nov27 (manchan bertra)GIL CIPRIANO 120 6.00    
4  COW CREEK KID Sep30 Aug22 Jul29     (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 30.00    
5  NO TELLING Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Sep15   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 ★    
6  OUT ON PAROLE Jan29 Jan05       (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  SEAWISE         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  SECRET POWER Feb01 Jan12       (cascallares ne)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 ★    
9  GUNNER Feb07         (deaton william)CASTANON L 120 20.00    
10  MR. MAC MIDNIGHT Jan29 Jan04 Dec20 Sep30   (hamm timothy)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 30.00    
SCR  KING PLUTUS Feb15 Jan10 Nov30     (amaya gustavo)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
SCR  CITY TIME Dec22 Nov27 Oct11 Aug22 Jul27 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
 
TAM-6   03/01/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRAGE Dec14 Oct26       (brown ch)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WHIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  LAST MAN STANDING         (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by MCKINZIE out of ENCHANTING LISA by WAR CHANT)
SCR  MR. ROBINSON         (mott i)CENTENO E 120 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  PEAK PERFORMER Jan25 Nov09       (mcgau)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of FLY SO HIGH by MALIBU MOON)
5  VALENTINIAN         (pletcher todd )MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RACHEL'S VALENTINA by BERNARDINI)
6  WILD CONQUEROR Jan11         (cox h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SASS AND CLASS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  NEOTERIC Jan25 Jan08 Oct10 Sep28   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of FAZED by IN SUMMATION)
8  PERSISTEN Feb08         (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 120 12.00 17% 4.90    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DIAMOND MAKER by MINESHAFT)
 
TAM-7   03/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELASTBULLETSMINE Jan31 Jan10 Feb14 Jan14 Dec14 (vinson g)FERRER C 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  RUNAWAY DIVA Feb08 Jan10 Sep22 Aug15 Jul27 (hemingway miche)CENTENO E 119 3.50    
3  LALOBA FEROZ Jan18 Jan03 Nov23 Sep08 Aug11 (cascallares nesto)HESS SARA 112 4.00 15% 5.70    
4  RETIRED KATHY Feb08 Sep28 Aug31 Aug10 Jul25 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 5.00    
5  LETS GO KOKO Oct18 Sep15 Aug24 Jul20 Jun28 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
6  SWEET LAURA Feb08 Jan10 Dec04 Oct08 Sep20 (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
7  ITSALLABOUTMEBABY Jan31 Sep10 Jun18     (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUNY YINA (FR) Nov14         (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00    
 
TAM-8   03/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOKE UP IN LOVE Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec11 Nov20 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  BREADMAN Jan29 Jan18 Dec06 Nov16 Oct09 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 20.00    
3  LIEUTENANT STAN Jan22 Dec28 Dec11 Nov29 Oct04 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 4.50    
4  NORFIE Feb22 Jan29 Jan18 Dec22 Aug30 (richards renaldo)HESS SARA 111 15.00    
5  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Feb21 Jan24 Jan12 Dec27 Oct21 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  STYLE ME ROYAL Feb12 Jan22 Jan10 Dec20 Nov23 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
7  BIG FIG Jan05 Dec24 Nov29 Nov04 Oct30 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  KING RAMOS Jan19 Jan03 Dec20 Jul27 Jul12 (avila c)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
9  JABRAN Feb21 Jan10 Jun21 May09 Apr26 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50    
10  AZURE SKY Feb15 Jan31 Dec28 Sep27 Sep05 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   03/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEN BUCKS A GLASS Feb15 Jan29 Jan05 Sep23 Aug31 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
2  CHANNELSIDE Feb01 Jan03       (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
3  TREBLE MAKER Feb12         (contessa ga)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPURIOUS Jan24 Jan15 Dec29 Dec07 Nov14 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEW YORK FOG Feb15 Jan15 Dec21 Nov27 Oct04 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
6  COUNTRY SLEW Sep22 Aug23 Aug09     (laurin roger)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
7  VIRGIN ISLAND NICE Feb02         (donaldson )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00    
8  DEVIL OF RAMADI Feb16 Jan29 Jan04 Dec18 Nov30 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 30.00    
9  GAP TO GAP Feb15 Dec22 Nov30 Oct11 Sep07 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
10  LITTLE PATITO Feb19 Feb02       (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 120 30.00    
SCR  GLOBAL GIANT (GB) Feb15         (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 10.00    
SCR  CENTEYA Feb16 Dec28 Oct04     (rodriguez da)BATISTA A 115 8.00    
SCR  MISTER BABY Feb07 Dec19 Oct20 Aug24   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
 
TAM-10   03/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAYINYOURLANE Feb05 Jan08 Dec14 Oct16 Sep24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
2  IMMENSE FAITH Feb09 Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Oct26 (yanez reynaldo)GIL CIPRIANO 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  JONNY B GONEY Jan24 Sep12 Sep02 Aug11 Jul03 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  D DAY REUNION Feb17 Dec14 Oct30 Oct08 Sep19 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50    
5  ADIOS BUCCANEER Feb09 Jan17 Jan05 Dec18 Nov23 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Feb05 Jan04 Dec18 Apr19 Mar16 (delgado jo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 12.00 7% 13.70    
7  SMOOTH PLAYER Feb15 Feb01 Dec21 Dec06 Oct07 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
8  TUSCAN RULER Jan25 Dec04 Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00    
9  WHISKEY OR WINE Feb05 Jan19 Jan03 Oct16 Sep24 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAX SWAGGER Feb23 Feb02 Dec14 Oct18 Sep28 (rose orlando)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
11  ART HANDLER Feb23 Feb09 Dec27 Nov23 Oct18 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 119 20.00    
SCR  PHRASEOLOGISM Feb09 May01 Mar01 Jan21 Jan06 (lilly p)HESS SARA 112 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.