Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/5/10/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/10/1/4)-(6/5/10/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/10/1/4)-(6/5/10/1/4)-(6/5/10/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/10/1/4)-(4/8/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/10/1/4)-(4/8/1/3)-(3/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/3)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/3)-(3/4)-(2/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/1/4)-(4/3/5/11/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/3/5/11/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/3/5/11/10)-(3/4/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/3/5/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/11/10)-(4/3/5/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/11/10)-(4/3/5/11/10)-(4/3/5/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/5/11/10)-(3/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/11/10)-(3/4/2/7)-(5/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(5/2/1)-(9/7/4/3/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(9/7/4/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(9/7/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-8   WIN (9/7/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/3/8)-(9/7/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/3/8)-(9/7/4/3/8)-(9/7/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/7)-(7/5/1/4/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-9   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(7/5/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SA-10   WIN (7/5/1/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/4/2)-(7/5/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/4/2)-(7/5/1/4/2)-(7/5/1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/01/2025 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JUANITO Jan05 Nov24 Oct14 Aug25 Aug03 (garcia vi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAD TO THE BONES Jan05 Nov24 Jan26 Dec02 Oct07 (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
MONGOLIAN ALTAI Jan05 Nov22 Oct11 Sep08 Aug23 (ganbat enebish)FREY KYLE 124 30.00    
SPEARFISH Dec28 Nov23 Oct26 Sep28 Aug31 (hess r)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
EL REY REY Dec28 Oct09 Sep11 Jul21 Jun13 (mullins jef)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 6.00 7% 12.40    
DEALERS SPECIAL Jan05 Nov29 Sep08 Aug11 Jun14 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
OOBUBBAKAKAYO Jan04 Nov24 Oct11 Aug22 Aug02 (barocio librad)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00    
HURRICANE WAY Dec13 Oct27 Sep29 Aug23 Jul25 (blacker danie)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00    
NAVAJO WARRIOR Oct31 Oct04 Sep01 Jul21 Jun07 (yakteen tim)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00    
10  BRAVE BLEND Jan05 Nov30 Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 4.00 7% 14.00    
 
SA-2   02/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOVINOPHOBIA Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Aug10 (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 20.00 14% 6.30    
CODY BOY Dec29 Nov22 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 124 4.50    
LITTLEBROTHERJOEY Jan05 Dec06 Sep22 Jun23 Jun03 (vallejo gena)OROZCO E 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OCASEK Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep15 (papaprodrom)TOMITA AKATSUKI 124 10.00 31% 2.30    
VORPAL Dec08 Aug01 May18 Apr05 Jan19 (sadler john)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00    
STAN FROM MALIBU Jan05 Nov30 Dec29 Sep09 Aug13 (gaines)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 1.20    
MR. BIG HEART Aug31 Aug04 May26 Mar15   (palma hecto)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 4.00    
I AM AMADEO Dec01 Nov03 Oct06 Sep14 Aug17 (ramos je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 10.00 19% 4.40    
 
SA-3   02/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Santa Monica Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHI (CHI) Jan04 Jun02       (baffer)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 1.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RICH BABY by SCAT DADDY)
HOPE ROAD Dec26 Nov02 Aug31 Aug04 Jun15 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MARLEY'S FREEDOM by BLAME)
KOPION Dec26 Apr06 Feb10 Jan07 Nov26 (mandella rich)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GALLOPING AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
SPLENDORA Dec26 Nov17 Oct20 Dec29   (baffert b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 5.00 7% 14.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MISS FREEZE by FROST GIANT)
 
SA-4   02/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Robert Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADAKET ROAD Dec26 Nov17       (baffert b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FROLIC'S DREAM by SMOKE GLACKEN)
CITIZEN BULL Nov01 Oct05 Sep08 Aug17   (baffert bob)GARCIA MARTIN 124 1.20 42% 1.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NO JOKE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
RODRIGUEZ (IRE) Jan04 Nov23       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.40    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CAYALA by CHEROKEE RUN)
CLOCK TOWER Dec01 Oct06 Aug29 Aug10 May24 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 10% 8.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
VALENTINES CANDY Dec15 Dec08 Nov16 Oct11 Sep22 (mendoza je)ORANTES R 120 30.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ANCIENT HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
SA-5   02/01/2025 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOURCE (GB) Dec28 Nov23 Jul31 Jul08 Jun12 (motion g)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
GREAT FORTY EIGHT Feb10 Dec09 Nov12 Oct14 Aug27 (yakteen tim)FRESU ANTONIO 122 20.00    
DULY NOTED Nov30 Nov09 Oct06 Dec26   (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 124 12.00 33% 2.00    
WORD PLAY (GB) Dec26 Nov29 Nov03     (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
CORNELIA FORT Oct12 Sep08 Aug18 Jul21 May25 (kruljac ian)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAMILEINMYSHOES Nov03 Oct06 Aug29 Jul28 Jun15 (mullins jef)HERRERA A 124 5.00    
MISS ROBERTS (GB) Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 Aug18 Jul27 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00    
SEPTEMBER MAGIC Dec26 Nov17 Oct06 Aug23 Aug09 (hanson rya)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 30.00    
NOT A SINNER (GB) Nov03 Oct06 Aug10 May27 Apr28 (callaghan simon)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
10  MYSTICISM Nov24 Oct07 Aug04     (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  VENGANZA Nov09 Sep02 Mar03 Feb03 Apr08 (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  MISS MONARCH BAY Nov26 Oct28 Oct07 Sep01 Nov12 (mccarthy mi)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00    
13  LOVIN' ON THE RUN Dec29 Nov29 Oct26 Sep28 Sep08 (gai)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00    
SCR  MISS MANDALAY (GB) Dec29 Nov23 Sep07 Jul27 Sep08 (hess b)BAZE C 122 12.00    
 
SA-6   02/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Megahertz Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGURIA Oct14 Sep15 Jul21 Jun24 May05 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of LERICI by WOODMAN)
BIG HUG Jan19 Dec12 Oct12 Oct05 Sep14 (brinkerhoff val)SMITH E 122 12.00 11% 7.70    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SAREEHA (IRE) Jan05 Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Aug23 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.00 43% 1.40    
  (by SHAMARDAL out of SARAHA by DANSILI (GB))
RASHMI Dec26 Nov17 Nov08 Oct05 Sep14 (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of PONYTAIL by LONHRO (AUS))
OMAHA GIRL Dec27 Nov02 Sep28 Aug11 Jul20 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 122 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MAHINA Dec27 Nov24 Oct12 Sep08 Jul21 (gallag)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
MUCHO MACHO GIRL Dec22 Nov14 Oct20 Sep13 Apr26 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
 
SA-7   02/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM HEART Dec16 May12 Mar14 Feb18 Jan29 (cerin vladim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 15.00 15% 5.90    
SLIDER Jan03 Dec01 Oct10 Jan06 Nov03 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
MANITOWISH Dec15 Dec01 Oct27 Sep21 Sep13 (valenz)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 10.00    
MOOSE MITCHELL Dec01 Nov09 Oct27 Aug24 May25 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00    
PILOT COMMANDER Dec26 Oct05 Sep07 Jan06 Nov11 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.60 32% 2.20    
SEE THROUGH IT Dec15 Sep29 Aug24 Jul27 Jul07 (vallejo genaro)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
 
SA-8   02/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Thunder Road Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABO SPIRIT Dec26 Nov30 Nov02 Sep28 Aug29 (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 124 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
AIR FORCE RED Dec28 Sep28 Aug29 Jul21 May27 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MESANA by MIZZEN MAST)
ZIO JO Nov30 Nov17 Oct05 Sep07 Aug15 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SENORITA CORREDORA by EL CORREDOR)
LAMMAS (GB) Dec26 Nov16 Oct13 Aug31 Jul07 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 12.00 19% 4.40    
  (by HEERAAT out of SPATE RISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ASTRONOMER Dec26 Nov30 Sep28 Aug31 Jul21 (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of QARAABA by SHAMARDAL)
WIZARD OF WESTWOOD Mar23 Feb17 Nov15 Sep03 Jul08 (mccarthy michael )FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
EL POTENTE Jan04 Nov17 Oct19 Jun08 Aug19 (blacke)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CHARMSIL by SILVER CHARM)
PACKS A WAHLOP Dec28 Nov17 Sep28 Aug29 Jul21 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CITY BY THE BAY by CITY ZIP)
SEAL TEAM (GB) Dec26 Nov30 Oct19 Nov04 Oct08 (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MRS MCDOUGAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SA-9   02/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEER BUZZ         (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 12.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of DISCREET DEE by DISCREET CAT)
FALCON WINGS Jan19 Dec08 Nov10 Oct18   (vega angel)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 30.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of GHOST OF A CHANCE by GHOSTZAPPER)
GREY AREA Jan01 Dec14       (morfin ser)ORANTES R 117 8.00 9% 10.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of THE GIANT IS LIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BERLIN WALL Jan01         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CAYMANBIRD by UNCLE MO)
THREE WIRE         (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of EDEN MIRELLE by CYCLOTRON)
LETMEIN Jan01 Nov24 Nov03     (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MR. BIG out of SAMBAMZAJAMMIN by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
ROMAN GRATIS Dec27         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STANFORD out of SHEZ COMING IN HOT by MORE THAN READY)
OUTWORKER         (yakteen tim)FRESU ANTONIO 122 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of IMPEACHED by PETESKI)
CHASING RYTER Jan01         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 122 3.50    
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of CINZIA by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
SA-10   02/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEPORT JOE Nov09 Jul07 Apr27 Apr05 Feb23 (haley glori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 15.00 6% 15.10    
CALM SEA Aug22 Jul25 Jun09 May19 Apr20 (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SKETCHY Oct31 Sep27 Sep01 Jul21 Jun13 (ellis ronald )VALDIVIA JR 122 20.00    
STAMP MY PASSPORT Dec28 Nov02 Apr06 Mar03 Feb03 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
T'CHALLA (GB) Oct06         (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
JEWELED SHILLELAGH Jan01 Nov02 Oct05 Sep01 Aug10 (mccarthy mi)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 3.50    
CIRO DI MARZIO Nov30         (ward a)SMITH E 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
HEART HEADED Dec26 Nov30 Oct31 Sep27 Sep07 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
AMERICAN GLORY (GB) Dec26 Oct31 Sep27 Sep01 Jul25 (powell leon)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
10  BLAMETHEGOODTIMES Nov30 Jan06 Dec09 Oct12 Jan14 (baltas richard)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
11  CALL SIGN SEVEN Dec26 Nov23 Oct27     (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.