Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/7/5)-(8/4/5/1/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(8/4/5/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(8/4/5/1/7)-(9/10/5/6/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-4   WIN (8/4/5/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1/7)-(8/4/5/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1/7)-(8/4/5/1/7)-(8/4/5/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/5/1/7)-(9/10/5/6/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/1/7)-(9/10/5/6/3)-(5/6/7/9/1) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-5   WIN (9/10/5/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/6/3)-(9/10/5/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/6/3)-(9/10/5/6/3)-(9/10/5/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/5/6/3)-(5/6/7/9/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/10/5/6/3)-(5/6/7/9/1)-(9/10/8/2/5) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-6   WIN (5/6/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/9/1)-(5/6/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/9/1)-(5/6/7/9/1)-(5/6/7/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/9/1)-(9/10/8/2/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/9/1)-(9/10/8/2/5)-(4/5/7/6/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (9/10/8/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/2/5)-(9/10/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/2/5)-(9/10/8/2/5)-(9/10/8/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/8/2/5)-(4/5/7/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/5/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/6/2)-(4/5/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/6/2)-(4/5/7/6/2)-(4/5/7/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLUBHOUSE DRAMA Mar04 Feb04 Jan13     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00    
2  WHOLE LOTTA GOLD Sep06         (scott larry)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
3  ROCKBAR Dec19         (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 3.50 ★    
4  MOCKTAILS ANYONE Dec19 Nov29 Sep01 Jul07 Jun09 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  UNARMED Dec19         (campo stac)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
6  TOP REVIEW May02 Mar28       (owens ko)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
TUP-3   01/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANHATTAN CHERRY Dec28 Nov30 Jul07 Jun16 Apr03 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
SCR  LOANA Dec12 Nov04 Sep08 Aug10 Jun30 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
3  MARINAS TINA (IRE) Nov26 Nov08 Oct06 Aug30 Aug02 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
4  FLAME MCGOON Dec27 Sep05 Oct22 Sep08 Aug06 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 4.50    
5  STREET SHADOW Dec31 Apr24 Apr03 Mar11 Nov24 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  UNA PALABRA Dec16 Nov26 Sep27 Aug24 Jul05 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
7  MAGIC CHROME Dec31 Nov09 Oct20 Oct06 Aug24 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
TUP-4   01/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEER BEGONE Dec23 Dec10 Nov27 Nov11 Oct13 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANOTHERBOTTLE Dec10 Nov02 Sep16 Sep04 Jun29 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00    
3  SHADYFIED Dec26 Sep07 Sep01 Jul21 Jul13 (scott jr)HARVEY B 122 15.00    
4  QUINTECENTS Nov14 Oct04 Sep20 Aug25 Jun14 (betts nancy)CRUZ M 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
5  LASMUIGH (GB) Jan08 Nov24 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 (van debb)REYES R 122 8.00 12% 7.20    
6  AUTISM WARRIOR Dec26 Dec09 Nov19 Oct13 Sep29 (christian)JENSEN P 122 20.00    
7  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Dec23 Dec09 Nov11 Oct13 Oct06 (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROCKET RIBBON Dec13 Nov24 Nov01 Oct19 Feb16 (baze rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 47% 1.10    
9  B D R BAXTER Dec26 Nov01 Sep15 Apr30   (leon alex)IRONEYES R 122 20.00    
 
TUP-5   01/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RALLIFIED Dec03 Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 (van debb)REYES R 124 15.00    
2  ATTAIN Dec23 Nov29 Oct13 Sep22 Jul05 (betts )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
3  ENTICED BY LOV Dec03 Nov16 Sep29 Sep02 Aug18 (leon alexis)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  LETSGOTOTHEBAR Dec23 May31 Apr12 Mar29   (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
5  SON O' SANPETE Dec23 Nov21 Nov02 Sep01 Aug08 (kenney ryan)CRUZ M 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
6  CROWN PROSECUTOR Jan02 Sep06 Jul04 Jun01 May02 (campo sta)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CRAZY STORM Nov30 Nov02 Oct12 Sep08 Aug25 (van d)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50    
8  PAISLEES PROMISE Dec28 Nov14 Oct12 Sep22 Aug04 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
9  ROCKY TOP MISCHIEF Jul03 Feb24       (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
10  BIG MOONIE Dec28 Dec03 Nov14 Oct16 Sep02 (villama)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-6   01/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHELSEA DAGGER Dec19 Nov27 Nov17 Nov06 Oct17 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KO SAMUI (IRE) Jan02 Nov11 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
3  SIDE STREET DAVE Jan02 Dec10 Aug19 Aug05 Jun25 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00    
4  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Dec10 Apr24 Apr03 Mar19 Oct11 (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
5  BENDETTIJOE Dec26 Dec11 Nov25 Nov11 Sep26 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  PICAHOUSE Jan07 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov11 (villama)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
7  THE GOLDEN EGG Dec19 Nov27 Nov11 Sep07 Aug31 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
8  SENSEMAKER Jan06 Dec16 Nov26 Sep01 Jul27 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
9  SOCAL RED Jan08 Dec19 Nov30 Oct13 Sep30 (gibson howard )REYES R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  BEL RAGAZZO Jan02 Dec16 Nov26 Nov14 Jul14 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   01/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN ANDRES Dec17 Nov27 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 (perkinson c)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 12.00    
2  BIRTH OF COOL Dec31 Sep13 Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 (silva pabl)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
3  NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Dec30 Nov22 Oct26 Aug17 Aug09 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00    
4  ELEGANT BOY Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
5  LEVON Dec23 Nov21 Oct18 Sep13 Dec26 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RESULTANT Dec26 Mar23 Feb16 Jan14 Nov06 (barraza ra)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  THIRD WHEEL Dec03 Nov25 Nov13 Oct05 Sep01 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
8  FLEETRIDGE Dec23 Dec10 Jan12 Dec09 Nov15 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
9  COTTONWOOD Dec18 Nov19 Oct19 Oct02 Sep11 (gibson f)CRUZ M 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
10  HOUSE OF LORDS Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 Sep21 Aug08 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  HEAT N REHEAT Dec18 Nov10 Oct04 Sep21 Jul21 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00    
 
TUP-8   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Dec31 Dec17 Apr22 Apr15 Mar26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
2  FREEZE 'EM Dec26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May04 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LETTHELIQUORTALK Dec15 Nov03 Oct20 Sep14 Aug17 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00    
4  CAUTION CARDINAL May02 Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 Jan05 (story chad)MAWING A 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  SIR OTTO Dec26 Nov30 Nov08 Jul14 Jun23 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 122 10.00 25% 3.00    
6  HIT SCENE Dec26 Apr19 Mar15 Mar02 Jan26 (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 5.00 6% 16.20    
7  IT'S TURBO Dec26 Dec05 Sep07 Aug17 Jul21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 13% 7.00    
8  ALPINE SERMON Dec06 Nov01 Sep21 Aug17 Jul27 (story chad)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
9  FAST CHAZ Dec31 Dec11 Nov29 Oct05 Sep02 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.