Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(9/7/1/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(9/7/1/3/2)-(2/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-4   WIN (9/7/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/3/2)-(9/7/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/3/2)-(9/7/1/3/2)-(9/7/1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/1/3/2)-(2/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/3/2)-(2/7)-(8/5/7/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(8/5/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(8/5/7/6)-(7/1/4/8/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/6)-(7/1/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/6)-(7/1/4/8/2)-(1/2/10/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/1/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/8/2)-(7/1/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/8/2)-(7/1/4/8/2)-(7/1/4/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/4/8/2)-(1/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/4)-(1/2/10/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/4)-(1/2/10/9/4)-(1/2/10/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEZADOOZIE Jan02 Dec16 Sep24 Sep17 Sep03 (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
2  SILVERBULLITBADGER Dec02 Nov13 Sep12 Aug25 Aug04 (lewis kevin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
3  CODE FIVE Dec16 Apr14 Mar14 Feb23 Dec10 (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 1.00 66% 0.50    
4  ARIZONA JEREMY Dec30 Dec16 May02 Apr15 Mar21 (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRANDYN Dec02 Nov13 Oct16 Sep29 Sep08 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00    
6  PHOENICIAN GHOST Dec30 Sep07 Aug09 Jun14 May18 (campo sta)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
 
TUP-4   01/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINK AND A WINK Dec23 Dec05 Sep14 Sep01 May12 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
2  CANDIED JOULE Dec28 Dec10 Aug18 Aug04 Jul20 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHE SAID MY WAY Nov26 Aug24 Jul21 Jun09 May26 (salinas l)JENSEN P 122 15.00 8% 10.80    
4  WARRIOR LADY Dec05 Nov14 Sep29 Aug08 Jul05 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 122 5.00    
5  DELUSIONAL DREAM Dec05 Nov14 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 (woolley l)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
6  FOREST ACCLAMATION Dec23 Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 Aug23 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.00    
7  INFINITE LOVE Jan02 Dec11 Nov29 Nov12 Sep15 (silva-mart)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 17% 4.70    
8  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Sep15 Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 Jun30 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00    
9  FINNLEY'S KITTEN Dec23 Dec05 Nov19 Jun29 May26 (kereluk)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
TUP-5   01/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CURLIN Jan02 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct11 (silva jos)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00    
2  DAGGER RANCH Dec11 Nov20 Oct13 Jul20 Aug05 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
3  SPEAKING LOUD Dec26 Nov29 Sep25 Aug17 Jul27 (st)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00    
4  G G GILLEY Dec08 Nov03 Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
5  YELLOW JACKET Dec26 Jan27 Dec01 Nov14 Oct24 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
6  EL ENCANTO Sep28 Aug25 Dec31 Nov13 Oct21 (lund valorie)REYES R 124 5.00 ★    
7  GONZAGA Dec16 Dec03 Oct07     (homer )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
TUP-6   01/14/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT ME Dec04 Nov14 Apr22 Apr11 Mar25 (figueroa )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
2  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 Oct13 Sep25 (villama)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
3  TRIBUNAL LOVE Dec04 Nov14 Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 (baze robert)REYES R 124 6.00    
SCR  BEER BEGONE Dec23 Dec10 Nov27 Nov11 Oct13 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
5  CHASING THE VISION Sep24 Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 May14 (belvoir van)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 3.00 11% 7.80    
6  HERMISTON Dec26 Dec02 Nov02 Oct18 Oct06 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR. SHORTY Dec31 Nov30 Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 (christian )AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 8% 12.20    
8  BOSS OF THEMOSS Dec04 Nov25 Jul20 Jun30 Jun07 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 1.40 54% 0.80    
9  DR. TROUTMAN Dec27 Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLINKERBRICK Dec12 Nov29 Nov20 Oct14 Sep22 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 17% 5.00    
2  AVELLINASA Dec12 Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 (silva-martinez)REYES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PURE CANE SUGAR Dec26 Jul26 Jul03 Jun21 Jun07 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
4  DINERO DE LA CASA Dec11 Nov29 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00 13% 7.00    
5  THE MAN THE MYTH Dec26 Nov29 Nov20 Sep28 Aug29 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
6  SUPERSONIC ME Oct29 Aug28 Aug10 Jul03 Jun05 (rosales jorge)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
7  KHANTARO D'ORO Jan20 Jan07 Nov26 Nov05   (o'neill doug)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 29% 2.40    
8  CALORESE Dec26 Dec11 Aug31 Aug24 Jul26 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 124 12.00 8% 10.90    
9  FONTES Dec23 Nov15 Oct24 Oct02 Sep18 (baze earl)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
10  GRAZED BY LOVE Dec12 Aug31 Aug02 Jul06   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   01/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW EVERY MORNING Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 Oct06 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50 68% 0.50    
2  SUNRISE JOURNEY Nov15 Sep20 Aug16 Aug04 Jul07 (u)ROJAS EDUARD 124 4.00 7% 14.20    
3  CORN POP Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Oct14 Oct04 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
4  DELTA DELTA Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Oct13 Oct07 (gibson f)MOJICA O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BARE BACK JACK Dec26 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
6  VICENTE'S SHADOW Nov30 Nov20 Oct19 Aug25 Jul07 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
7  THIRSTY THURSDAY Dec26 Dec03 Nov11 Sep29 Sep21 (marin martin)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
8  OUR BOLD PRINCE Dec30 Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 Jul21 (anderson )VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
9  BEDROCK (GB) Dec26 Dec09 Sep23 Sep16 Aug08 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 ★    
10  ISLE OF SKYE Dec27 Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 (o'hagan colleen)MAWING A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  GROOVY HUEY Dec26 Nov26 Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 (kemper kasey)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.