Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - December 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(6/3/8/2)-(4/1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2)-(4/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/2)-(4/1/7/6)-(7/10/9/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/6)-(7/10/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/6)-(7/10/9/5/6)-(2/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/10/9/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/9/5/6)-(7/10/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/9/5/6)-(7/10/9/5/6)-(7/10/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/9/5/6)-(2/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/10/9/5/6)-(2/4/3)-(3/9/11/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/9/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/9/11/5)-(2/3/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/9/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/11/5)-(3/9/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/11/5)-(3/9/11/5)-(3/9/11/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/11/5)-(2/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/11/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(10/3/1/9/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/5)-(10/3/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-8   WIN (10/3/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/9/4)-(10/3/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/9/4)-(10/3/1/9/4)-(10/3/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   12/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK D'ORO Nov24         (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ROCKPORT BABE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SPURIOUS Dec07 Nov14 Oct04     (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of DONTMESSWITHJOANNE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
OPERA HOUSE A. D. Dec07         (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 119 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FELIX SLEW Nov09         (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of PRINCESS BERTRANDO by BERTRANDO)
THE GREAT OSCAR Nov27         (romero rafael)BRACHO A 119 6.00 28% 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNFULFILLED DREAM by MUNNINGS)
SCR  RED MILLER         (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 119 2.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of SCRIPTED by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
SARKIS         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TICKET TO SEATTLE by CAPOTE)
 
TAM-2   12/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONIC ROCK Dec14 Nov29 Oct26 Oct06 Sep22 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
PICCATA PRINCE Dec11 Nov30 Oct25 Sep28 Jul24 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
PARALEGAL Nov30 Oct25 Feb03 Aug05 Jul08 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
ETERNAL GLORY Dec22 May25 Jun04 Apr29 Mar31 (contessa c)FERRER C 124 12.00    
BIVOL Dec11 Nov20 Nov09 Sep27 Aug31 (kutt m)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00    
GOWOKEGOBROKE Dec14 Nov29 Oct18 Sep27 Sep06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 1.60 32% 2.20    
PRINCE OF HEARTS Dec14 Oct23 Sep28     (nunez maurici)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
STARSHIP SOPHIA         (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 10.00 19% 4.40    
 
TAM-3   12/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTAFIO Dec20 Dec13 Nov29 Oct30 Sep21 (delgado )GALLARDO A 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
BAJA DE ORO Dec13 Aug16       (munoz carlos)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00    
WILLFUL ROSE Dec07 Nov29       (kutt donn)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
MS KENDRICK B. Dec07         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
QUEEN KINZIE Dec13         (cascallare)URDANETA J 119 5.00    
MY FINE AQUILINE Dec11 Nov29 Sep26 Sep13   (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
IGNITING THE FLAME Dec13 Nov20 Jul12     (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 112 3.50 7% 14.30    
 
TAM-4   12/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLONS Dec11 Jun07 May26 May03 Mar30 (creel rick)ALONSO LUIS 121 6.00    
PURE MAGIC GIRL Dec04 Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 Aug22 (lopez mari)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.50    
CHILLING FACTOR Nov27 Aug31 Jul26 May19 Apr19 (fisher davi)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 10.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING SOUND Dec13 Oct06 Sep28 Aug23 Jul26 (roque elis)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 12.00    
BLUE VORTEX Dec21 Nov29 Sep28 Aug31 Aug17 (cahill f)HESS SARA 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHICA LINDA Dec13 Nov23 Oct28 Sep05 Aug21 (orantes yon)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
LADY O'BRIEN Dec01 Sep28 Jul21 Jul06 Jun08 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
THREE RUN BOLT Nov02 Sep01 Aug24 Jul27 May26 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
UP THE ODDS Nov13 Oct28 Oct02 Jun04 May14 (granitz ant)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  WEST COAST SONG Dec11 Oct10 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
TAM-5   12/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIENA BUCCHERO Apr21         (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 120 30.00    
MIUCCIA Oct19 Aug31 Jul13 Jun01 Apr14 (delgado gustav)CAMACHO SAMY 118 0.80 33% 2.10    
GALLOP D'HERMES Sep21 Sep01 Aug03 Jul19 Jun01 (zanelli dante)LEON SONNY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
YELLOW FEATHERS Dec04 Sep22 Aug28 Jul23 Jun11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
SPANISH DELIGHT Dec04 Oct19 Sep09 Jun02 May18 (wilson tony)FERRER C 120 5.00    
SEA ART Dec04 Oct16 Aug22 Jul11 Jun19 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
 
TAM-6   12/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WORD FOR WORD Dec04 Oct04 Sep14 Aug25 Jul27 (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 30.00    
SCR  MY GREAT ILLUSION Dec04 Aug15 Jun08 Apr24 Mar17 (crichton r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 3.50    
SMART STRIKER Sep04 Aug23 Aug11 May22 Apr26 (pompay ter)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 6.00 42% 1.40    
FAST N STEADY Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 Jun20 Jun08 (marrero nesto)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 30.00    
HARI Oct23 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Jul17 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALASDAIR Dec01 Oct26 Sep29 Sep01 Jul27 (ramse)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00    
SCR  SPANISH NOBLE Dec04 Oct05 Aug31 Aug11 Jul05 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 121 10.00    
CHASENTHEONE Dec04 Sep29 Aug17 Jul06 Jun08 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00    
RIGEL Dec07 Sep11 Aug12 May25 Apr21 (sancal m)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
10  LE GRIFFON Oct05 Sep14 Jul25 Jul03 May27 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 121 4.50    
11  MOTIVO Nov08 Sep22 Aug24 Jul13 May23 (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  MINTENON Dec04 Oct27 Sep20 Sep01 Jul26 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 121 30.00    
 
TAM-7   12/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY MOON Dec05 Nov16 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 (d'angelo jose)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
ZATIP Dec04 Oct10 Aug03 Jul13 Mar20 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
SMART JOKER Oct17 Sep25 Jul01 Jun10 Apr26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
UNIQUE PATH Dec14 Nov23 Sep25 Sep05 Aug17 (escobar marti)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 15.00    
INDULGE Dec11 Nov27 Nov15 Oct25 Sep20 (simone m)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUKAS PRINCE Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Jul21 Jun23 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 118 10.00 10% 9.00    
NEON DEION Nov27 Sep25 Sep11 Sep02 Aug07 (campbell j)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 10.00    
RUSSIAN HAMMER Dec11 Nov27 Oct19 Oct10 Sep20 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
 
TAM-8   12/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDTRACK Dec11 Nov20 Sep26 Sep13 Jul28 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PARTY GOER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BREEZEY BELLA Aug05         (yates michael)LEON SONNY 122 12.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of BELLA CAPRI Z by STRONG HOPE)
PRINCESS BRITNI Jan26 Dec23 Oct23     (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by GIRVIN out of BLUESVILLE by BRING THE HEAT)
LADY MARLEEN Nov20 Oct11 Aug25 Aug09 Jul06 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
SCR  KHOZAN SPECIAL         (vazquez ed)URDANETA J 122 20.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SPECIALCNSYDRATION by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  PRECISELY Oct31 Aug22 Jun11     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HIGH TECH by DATA LINK)
MILA GLORY         (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of WALKING IN NASSAU by PUT IT BACK)
INCLUDE THE MUNNY Aug28 Aug09 Jun19 May16 Apr22 (garde)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of INCLUDE THE AUSSIE by INCLUDE)
CAT FIVE ANNIE         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of FIVE STAR ANNIE by FIVE STAR DAY)
10  LA GIRVINA Feb23 Jan11 Dec15 Sep15 Aug18 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  MOMMA MISCHIEF         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MADRE DITUTTICAPI by STREET BOSS)
SCR  CAWAMA Dec18         (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MY BABY LIA by SKY MESA)
SCR  NOUVEAU RICHE Nov03 Oct23 Oct13 Aug18 Jul21 (cascallares nes)BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of PHENOMENAL GEM by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.