Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - December 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (6/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/8)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/8)-(5/4/2)-(3/6/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/6/5/1)-(2/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(2/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/1)-(2/1/6/3)-(4/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/3)-(4/2/5)-(6/2/1/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/2/1/8/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/2/1/8/10)-(7/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/2/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/8/10)-(6/2/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/8/10)-(6/2/1/8/10)-(6/2/1/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/1/8/10)-(7/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/8/10)-(7/4/3/2)-(5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIBBONSINHERHAIR Oct26 Oct17 Oct02 Sep12 Jun16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
2  PHOTO FINISH Nov28 Nov02 Sep29 Aug10 Jul27 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 125 4.50 25% 2.90    
3  MAXIMO MADNESS Nov29 Oct27 Sep27 Sep11 Jul18 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
4  WONDER GIRL Nov28 Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep07 (singh somraj)CEDENO CAROL 123 30.00    
5  LOVE TO EAT Nov28 Nov02 Oct17 Sep22 Aug11 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 125 8.00 6% 16.10    
6  I'M A CUTIE PIE Nov29 Nov10 Oct17 Sep29 Sep07 (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  C C ROYAL Nov15 Oct19 Sep29 Sep07 May18 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 3.50    
8  CONQUEST DANCER Nov02 Oct17 Oct01 Aug31 Aug19 (frock c)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-2   12/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT-12:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THOROLD MISS Aug25         (smith hamil)ROBLES O 113 4.00    
2  BELLA CREED Dec07 Nov08 Oct16 Oct09   (nambo cesar)LUGO JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN GIRL LENA Nov28 Nov08       (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
4  MINDFUL ANGEL Oct26 Sep13 Aug30 Jul13   (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
5  RIDE TO REMEMBER Nov28 Nov10       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  SHE DON'T TELL         (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
7  KUKU Nov29 Nov07 Oct20 Oct11 Sep08 (chapman k)LEON A 122 2.50    
 
LRL-3   12/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUDGE BOY PALACE Nov16 Oct25 Sep27 Aug18 Jun01 (nambo cesar)LUGO JR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY MAMBA Nov30 Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 Sep07 (serey m)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
3  MAGIC SPIN Oct06 Aug30 Jun30 Jun12 May17 (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.60 56% 0.80    
4  IRISH WARLOCK Nov16 Oct12 Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 4.00    
5  WHISKEY AND YOU Nov28 Oct10 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 (peacock r)CARRASCO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GROUP HUG Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 Sep21 Aug11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.80 20% 4.00    
7  HE'S ORIENTATE Nov30 Oct25 Oct06 Sep08 Aug23 (heil nan)RODRIGUEZ L 116 12.00    
 
LRL-4   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATTITUDE Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep27 Aug24 (magana j)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  BRZINA Dec06 Oct16 Sep21 Jul13 Jun21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  EMPRESS DEONA Nov05 Oct20 Sep07 Jul18 Jun20 (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  NO EASY ANSWER Dec06 Oct25 Sep08 Aug14 Jul29 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 123 20.00    
5  BOUND BY DESTINY Sep15 Aug22 Jul24 Jul12 Jun12 (mcmahon w)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
6  ROYAL WHISPER Nov02 Aug22 Jul20 Jun02 May16 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 10.00 12% 7.40    
7  DEEDS OF LOVE Nov15 Oct20 Sep29 Aug22 Jul20 (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00    
 
LRL-5   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TINY LAKE Nov15         (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
2  FAROOQ         (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CONGAREE PRINCESS by CONGAREE)
3  SMUGGLER'S GOLD Nov16 Oct17 Aug25 Jul26 Jul04 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ROMNEY MARSH by MIDSHIPMAN)
4  ALIAS Sep14         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.20 36% 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ANONYMITY by TAPIT)
5  PAY BILLY Oct26 Oct12 Aug07     (gorham michael )MENA E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
6  BUILT BY KHOZAN Oct06 Aug25       (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
7  CHANGE MY WORLD Nov16         (eppler mary)ROBLES O 117 4.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of WOOD NOT by KISSIN KRIS)
 
LRL-6   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET SET Nov19 Oct22 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  JUST CALL RAY Dec06 Oct13 Sep23 Aug24 Jul12 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
2  MINDTAP Mar30 Feb17 Jan06 Dec05 Oct14 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  GOODBYE NOTE Nov28 Nov03 Oct12 Sep22 Aug23 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 12.00    
4  MAGIC MULE Nov30 Nov03 Mar24 Jan13 Dec16 (hohlbein kerr)FUENTES ERICK 116 30.00    
5  YOUR ANALYSIS Nov28 Oct13 Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50    
6  NO ONE TO BLAME Oct18 Oct03 Nov02 Oct06 Sep01 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 6.00 32% 2.10    
7  HAY CHIEF Nov02 Oct18 Sep28 Aug31 Jul20 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
8  CURLIN'S MALIBU Nov28 Nov06 Sep14 Aug23 Jul21 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  MANOR HOUSE Nov28 Oct13 Sep21 May27 Apr11 (tessor)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 4.50    
10  UNION FLEET Nov28 Oct24 Sep15 Sep06 Jun30 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTREPID'S LEGACY Nov30 Oct19 Sep25 Aug03 Jul13 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50    
2  GREAT HEAVENS Nov30 Jun21 May18 Apr05 Mar09 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CATTIVO RAGAZZO Nov30 Nov10 Sep20 Aug17 Jul31 (capuano g)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  S S SINATRA Nov30 Oct13 Sep21 Aug22 Aug03 (hohlbein kerr)FUENTES ERICK 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
5  MISTER MITCH Aug10 Jul12 Jun02 Aug06 Sep17 (bourne william)PEREZ XAVIER 123 20.00    
6  KING'S RIVER Nov15 Aug29 Jul28 Jun28 Jun02 (albert li)CARRASCO R 122 8.00    
7  FULL IRISH Nov15 Oct05 Feb23 Jan14 Dec17 (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
LRL-8   12/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER MUNNINGS Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Jul19 Mar27 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 2.00    
2  PORTIS Nov29 Nov10 Nov01 Oct04 Sep21 (serey m)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  VILALUZ Nov28 Nov01 Oct20 Oct06 Aug23 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 125 10.00    
4  RETURN FIRE Nov29 Nov10 Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SECRET TREASURE Oct21 Oct08 Sep03 Aug20 Jul31 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00 71% 0.40    
6  CURLIN GUNNER Nov25 Oct20 Sep25 Aug12 Jul05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.