Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (7/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/1)-(7/9/6/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/1)-(7/9/6/8/1)-(7/9/6/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/6/1)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/1)-(5/2/1)-(4/8/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(4/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(4/8/3/1)-(8/2/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-3   WIN (4/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/1)-(8/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/1)-(8/2/7/1)-(2/11/12/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
GP-4   WIN (8/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/1)-(2/11/12/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/1)-(2/11/12/4/1)-(3/6/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
GP-5   WIN (2/11/12/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/12/4/1)-(2/11/12/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/12/4/1)-(2/11/12/4/1)-(2/11/12/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/12/4/1)-(3/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/11/12/4/1)-(3/6/4/7)-(7/9/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/7)-(7/9/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/7)-(7/9/10/8)-(8/1/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
GP-7   WIN (7/9/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/10/8)-(7/9/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/10/8)-(7/9/10/8)-(7/9/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/10/8)-(8/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/10/8)-(8/1/6/4)-(10/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-8   WIN (8/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/6/4)-(10/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (10/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/8)-(10/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/4/8)-(10/4/8)-(10/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   12/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARLING LUNA Oct19 Sep07 Jul27 May18 Apr07 (palmer nicho)MORELOS E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAINTE CHAPELLE Nov24 Oct13 Aug25 Jul05 Nov17 (lewis lisa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
BAM BAM (BRZ) Nov13 Oct12 Sep20 Aug11 Jun28 (maker mich)HUSBANDS J 114 6.00    
I LOVE IRELAND Nov10 Oct13 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 (hurtak daniel)RUIZ JORGE 124 30.00    
MAKIA Nov24 Sep15 Jul21 Jun27 May18 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 121 4.50    
CAMDYN RACE         (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 124 15.00 20% 3.90    
CERCHI Nov24 Oct19 Apr07 Mar10 Feb09 (de cerda)REYES LEONEL 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
VINO FOR THE QUEEN Oct19 Sep27 Aug30 Jul26 Feb24 (palmer)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 4.00    
MATHURINE Mar07 Feb25       (pinchin jose)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
GP-2   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN ANTHEM Nov22 Nov09 Oct04 Aug30 Feb10 (smullen heat)MORELOS E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SPLURGE Nov08 Oct11 Sep06 Aug18 Jul21 (miller herbert)PEREZ EDGAR 123 10.00 11% 8.00    
IT'S ONLY WORDS Nov09 Aug11 Jun30 Jun08 Mar07 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80    
PATTY'S HAVING FUN Sep29 Aug30 Aug11 Jul07 May24 (coy ronald)RIOS M 120 5.00    
DEFENDED Sep20 Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 (gonzalez oscar)REYES LEONEL 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
LIGHTNING DUST Nov24 Nov09 Oct12 Aug23 Jul19 (o'connell k)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.50    
 
GP-3   12/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMOR GITANO Oct19 Sep29       (brathwaite rey)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPONGE TIME Nov03         (maragh aub)HUSBANDS J 111 10.00    
RIVER OF TIME         (spatz ronal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 20% 4.10    
WAR COMMANDER Nov17 Oct19       (barboza victo)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 33% 2.00    
MULLY'S MOON Nov10 Oct04       (hurtak daniel)ROJAS RENZO 118 10.00    
SCR  SOLO ME Nov10 Sep01       (garoffalo jo)MORELOS E 118 4.50    
RENEGE Nov17 Sep20 Aug23     (garoffalo jose)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00    
ROMERO         (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
GP-4   12/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSTHAVEBEENLOVE Nov23 Oct20 Sep27 Sep01 Aug17 (cordero enie)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S SO SEXY Sep27 Aug17 Jul14 May30 Apr05 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
JAYANA Oct20 Sep22 Aug17 Jul12 Jun01 (catanese joseph)PEREZ EDGAR 120 12.00    
SCR  CALL ME PENNY Oct09 Sep19 Aug30 Jul18 May25 (caramori ed)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 20.00    
OUR FORTUNE COOKIE Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 Sep22 Sep15 (dye steven)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 20.00    
EVANORA Oct20 Sep27 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 (barboza victo)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80    
PRINCESS BLAKELY Oct20 Sep15 Apr21 Mar13 Feb14 (gambolati cam)EGAN DAVID 123 15.00 15% 5.80    
EUPHIMA (ARG) Nov16 Sep21 Aug17 Jul11 Jun07 (klesaris s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
GP-5   12/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCMONEY Sep12 Aug29 Aug05 May18 Apr27 (winebaugh chery)PEREZ EDGAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
EVER DANGEROUS Oct10 Sep01 Jun09 Apr23 Mar15 (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Nov22 Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 Aug31 (quiroz angel)MORELOS E 121 20.00    
ROCK THE STARS Nov03 Apr26 Apr07 Mar07 Feb28 (dobles elizab)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE HERE Nov23 Nov03 Oct16 Sep08 Jul19 (nunn douglas)ROJAS RENZO 121 15.00    
BARRY THE BUILDER Sep21 Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun21 (arias d)BORACO DAVID 121 20.00    
MAILMAN MONEY Nov09 Oct13 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (breen j)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
MAXWELL ESQUIRE Nov08 Oct26 Oct05 Sep01 Aug17 (klesaris ste)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
SCR  MATTA Nov28 Oct24 Oct03 Aug16 Jul14 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 121 12.00    
10  OUR COUNTRY Nov02 Oct05 Sep19 Jul12 Sep14 (hennig mark)EGAN DAVID 121 10.00    
11  TREASURE KING Sep22 Jul21 Jun27 May24 Apr26 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
12  LIGHT FURY Nov03 Oct06 Aug01 Apr10 Mar22 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 10.00 11% 7.90    
 
GP-6   12/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARALLEL (ARG) Oct04 Aug24 Jun08 May19 Apr25 (david carlos)ZAYAS J 118 2.00    
WOW LUCKY Nov24 Oct25 Sep29 Aug24 May26 (lee f)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
RACHELS SONG Nov22 Nov02 Sep29 Aug16 May21 (d'angelo franc)BRAVO J 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
EMIRATES AFFAIR Nov19 Oct19 Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 (mosco robert)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00 5% 18.50    
AVATAL HERO Oct16 Sep28 Sep10 Jul18 Jun26 (preciado guada)REYES LEONEL 123 12.00    
ASHIMA Nov17 Oct20 Aug24 Apr24 Mar31 (santoro salvato)JARAMILLO E 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
SOUTHERN PALACE Oct12 Aug25 Jun28 Jun07   (joseph saf)VAN DRAYDEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-7   12/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOURAMYSTYLE Oct05 Sep14 Jul19 May23 Apr26 (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
SCR  ANTILLEAN Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Sep06 Jul13 (minott leon)NELSON TYRONE 122 20.00    
ORB ALPHA Nov17 Nov03 Sep27 Sep14 Aug24 (lutchman padara)JARAMILLO E 120 12.00    
SIXTEEN CIGARETTES Oct25 Oct04 Aug24 Aug03 May23 (castro ed)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 20.00    
LINE ASTRAY Nov17 Oct25 Aug25 Aug02 Jul14 (quiroz angel)MORELOS E 122 10.00    
SCR  ALLEGRINI Nov08 Oct18 Sep13 Jun17 May29 (orseno jose)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
AMAZING WOO Nov15 Sep27 Aug25 Aug17 Jul12 (narvaez carlos)PEREZ EDGAR 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
PERFORMANTE Dec04 Sep27 Sep06 Aug25 Aug16 (garcia pedr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 8% 11.20    
AUSTONIAN Mar07 Feb07 Dec16 Nov25 Oct20 (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
10  SMOKIN BOW Nov15 Oct25 Apr04 Feb14 Feb02 (klesaris stev)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
 
GP-8   12/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORCH IS PASSED Nov17 Oct04 Jul28 Jun21   (ramsey)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
DIOS WILL Oct27 Aug09       (lutchman padara)JARAMILLO E 118 3.50    
GHOSTLY ROSE Nov01 Sep28 Sep07 Aug03 Jun21 (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 120 2.50    
SWEET CHA CHA Dec01 Aug25       (mckanas leo)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
POSSUM Nov08 Oct07 Sep21 Sep10 Aug25 (preciado guad)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  SPICE BAG Aug30         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00 13% 6.80    
MAKOA Oct11 Sep20 Aug11     (palmer nicho)MORELOS E 118 5.00    
VENEZUELA IS GOLD Sep13 Aug11       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 5.00 33% 2.10    
 
GP-9   12/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN VALLEY Oct26 Sep14       (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SHENANDOAH VALLEY by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  LINDSAY SMILES Nov10 Oct13       (orseno josep)ZAYAS J 118 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of OASIS AT MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  CITY TAAH         (klesaris stev)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TIZABELLA by TIZNOW)
CAMPAIGN SECRET         (terranova )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of WHISPERED SECRETS by CONGRATS)
SCR  SOUPER AMUSING Nov10 Sep13 Jun16     (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 3.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WILD AND FUNNY by KITTEN'S JOY)
LADY RIVER LILY Sep01 Aug04 Jun21 Jun01   (seyler douglas )PEREZ EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MOSCOW RIVER by HARD SPUN)
SHESHIMAINTENANCE Nov28 Oct13       (d'angelo fr)EGAN DAVID 118 20.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of KLEODORA by TIZNOW)
ZAZA J         (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of FIVEJAYZ by CSABA)
LA CYBER         (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 118 12.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of ICY TALES by TALE OF EKATI)
10  DESIGNER BAG Oct26         (breen j)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CHARADE by COMIC STRIP)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.