Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - November 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(3/1/7)-(7/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(7/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(7/3/1/4)-(6/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/4)-(6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/3/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(6/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(6/3/9/4)-(2/9/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/4)-(6/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/4)-(6/3/9/4)-(6/3/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/9/4)-(2/9/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/9/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/8/10)-(2/9/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/8/10)-(2/9/5/8/10)-(2/9/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENNIGAN Nov14 Sep19 Sep07 Aug08   (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  M K BIRTHDAY Nov14 Sep01 Aug04     (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 121 6.00    
3  WINSITWELL Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 (evans justin)TOHILL S 121 1.60    
4  ATTAIN Oct13 Sep22 Jul05 Jun15   (betts nancy)MARTIN A 121 4.50    
5  LISA'S DOCTOR S Nov14 Sep20 Jul25 Jul07 Jun09 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00 22% 3.50    
6  CLASSIC ALPHIE Nov11 Oct04 Sep21 Aug15 Jul21 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 7% 13.90    
 
TUP-4   11/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSIBLE LUTE Nov19 Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 Jul21 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  MUMBLES BROCKMAN Aug09 Jun22 May25 May11 Mar10 (homer jason)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
3  ALMOND FUDGE Sep16 Aug14 Jul14 Jun19 Jun01 (lawrence he)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  KYTHIRA Sep08 Aug08 Apr07 Aug12 Jun16 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 3.00    
5  CALIFORNIA DIVA Nov12 Sep19 Sep01 Apr30 Apr16 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
6  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 121 12.00    
7  GROOVY GRAY GAL Nov12 Oct05 Jul20 Jun22   (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   11/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NELLIE THURSDAY Nov20 Aug31 Aug11 Jul28   (schnell don)TOHILL S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIGHLY DESIRABLE (IRE) Jun16 May05       (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00    
3  CLASSY LASS         (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 6% 16.40    
4  KOOL KADILLAC Sep13 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAGENS BAY Nov02 Oct09 Sep11 Aug22 Jul07 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 121 5.00    
6  SHE'S MUY MUY Sep22 Aug09 May18 Mar04 Jan28 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 124 4.00    
7  MOCKTAILS ANYONE Sep01 Jul07 Jun09 May19 Aug06 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 70% 0.40    
SCR  LOOKOUT PASS Nov01 Oct05 Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 (silva jos)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00    
 
TUP-6   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PURRFECT MOON Nov12 Sep14 Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
2  UNIFIED A. P. Nov14 Oct12 Sep15 Sep08 Aug08 (freeman ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 2.50    
3  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Nov12 Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 Aug04 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
4  BIG JOLT Nov14 Sep15 Sep06 Aug16 Aug04 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 10.00 8% 12.30    
5  EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Nov12 Oct12 Sep08 Sep01 Aug24 (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
6  STARLET COLE Nov12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 Jul13 (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  INFINITE LOVE Nov12 Sep15 Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-7   11/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACER REX Oct02 Oct22 Sep16 Apr01 Mar11 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 3.50    
2  MOBLEY Sep14         (carlson d)JENSEN P 124 8.00    
3  MONGOLIAN NINJA Apr23 Apr08 Nov04 Oct22 Sep30 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 20% 4.00    
4  CRUEL ENDEAVOR Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 Feb15   (nelson amy)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOE DID IT Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 Mar13 Feb19 (o'brien d)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
6  HATAGASAL Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun14 May02 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SILVER SECRET         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
8  TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Nov10 Oct19 Sep21 Sep15 Sep02 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 2.50    
9  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Oct07 Sep24 Mar04 Feb19 Jan21 (silva jos)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
TUP-8   11/29/2024 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MAN THE MYTH Nov20 Sep28 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 (woolley be)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
2  UNCHARTED Nov11 Oct13 Jul04 Jun15 Apr07 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
3  DINERO DE LA CASA Jun23 Jun02 May12 Mar22 Feb25 (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 5.00    
4  KEEP IT COMING Nov11 Oct06 Sep05 Aug04 Jun30 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
5  FAST CHAZ Oct05 Sep02 Aug15 Jul20 May05 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Nov21 Nov11 Sep24 Sep18 Sep11 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00    
7  SPEAKING LOUD Sep25 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun02 (st)DA FAUSTO 121 12.00    
8  KLINKERBRICK Nov20 Oct14 Sep22 Sep14 Aug31 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 10% 8.70    
9  RUN BRYCE RUN Nov11 Sep14 Jul26 Jun23 May11 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
10  BUY THE RUMOR Nov11 Sep01 Aug03 Aug28 Aug03 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIREFIGHT Sep28 Sep07 Aug10     (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.