Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - November 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (5/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/4)-(2/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/4)-(2/5/4/1)-(4/5/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/9/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/9/4/1)-(2/5/9/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/4/1)-(4/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/1)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/3)-(4/5)-(6/2/11/3/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/2/11/3/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(6/2/11/3/7)-(6/8/3/7/1) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/2/11/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/11/3/7)-(6/2/11/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/11/3/7)-(6/2/11/3/7)-(6/2/11/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/11/3/7)-(6/8/3/7/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/2/11/3/7)-(6/8/3/7/1)-(9/3/4/10/1) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LRL-6   WIN (6/8/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/3/7/1)-(9/3/4/10/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/7/1)-(9/3/4/10/1)-(1/5/7/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-7   WIN (9/3/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/10/1)-(9/3/4/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/10/1)-(9/3/4/10/1)-(9/3/4/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/4/10/1)-(1/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/10/1)-(1/5/7/3)-(2/7/10/4/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(2/7/10/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/7/10/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/4/3)-(2/7/10/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/4/3)-(2/7/10/4/3)-(2/7/10/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HATEFUL Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep22 Sep13 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 117 12.00    
HOT DANCE Nov02 Oct17 Sep22 Sep13 Jul13 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 121 2.00 12% 7.10    
KITTY'S PRETTY Oct24 Sep21 Sep04 Aug10 Aug13 (gonzalez claud)CEDENO CAROL 117 8.00 11% 8.00    
MADDIE TEN Jul05 Jun01 May26 May04 Apr20 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 10.00 7% 13.00    
TRUE SUNSHINE Sep29 Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 Apr28 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
SHAKE IT BABY Oct24 Sep29 Aug30 Dec23 Nov25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
SPOILS OF WAR Nov02 Oct13 Feb10 Dec31 Nov26 (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
SCR  LILLY LIGHTNING Nov02 Apr19 Mar10 Jan12 Nov17 (kjelstrup)CARRASCO R 121 30.00    
YUMYUM EAT EM UP Nov15 Nov08 Oct04 Sep21 Sep15 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00    
 
LRL-2   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBWAY SUSIE Oct24 Jul14 Jun28 Jun08 May19 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
PEPPERMINT CLASS Oct13 Sep27 Jul05 Apr14 Mar09 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
MAXIMO MADNESS Oct27 Sep27 Sep11 Jul18 Jun20 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Nov01 Oct26 Sep05 Aug13 Jul18 (saville niall)BOYCE FOREST 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
I'M A CUTIE PIE Nov10 Oct17 Sep29 Sep07 Aug09 (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
GUN RUNNIN' GAL Nov13 Oct25 Sep02 Aug19 Jul27 (gonzalez claud)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
BEASTIE GIRL Nov01 Oct16 Sep06 May25 May03 (werneth r)BETANCOURT R 119 30.00    
SADIE THE GOAT Oct09 Sep15 Aug31 Jun15 May18 (serey j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 4.50    
VIENNESE WALTZ Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 Aug18 Jul20 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00    
 
LRL-3   11/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIT WITNESS         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
GOTTAHOPPERTUNITY Oct26         (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 4.50    
PEGSTER Nov10 Oct09       (hodsdon danielle)ACOSTA D 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
GEM RUNNER Oct26 Sep13 Aug23     (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
BUCKIN' RIGHT         (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 20.00 10% 9.20    
WALL STREET MAGIC Oct26         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
NEW CENTSATION         (trombetta mic)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00 10% 9.20    
LUMINOUS SECRET         (schoenthal phil)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
DOUBLE AIRO Nov10         (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 122 8.00    
 
LRL-4   11/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Willa On Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY STATED Sep29 Feb10 Jan14 Dec17 Nov20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 3.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SHARP AND SASSY by SHARP FROSTY)
MALIBU BEAUTY Nov09 Sep19 Aug18 Aug04 Jul24 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 124 1.60    
  (by BUFFUM out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
MS. BUCCHERO Sep14 Jul28 Jun21 May13 Dec17 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of GIVE GLORY TO GOD by MUTAKDDIM)
BOURBON BON BAY Oct12 Aug29 Jul18 Nov23 Sep07 (allard edward )TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SHEZA DISH by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
MATTITUDE Nov02 Oct12 Sep27 Aug24 Jul18 (magana j)NO RIDER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of GIRLS GOT RHYTHUM by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR  WINKIWINKI Oct16 Aug22 Aug03 Jun21 Apr12 (alvarado di)ROBLES O 120 20.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of WINK AT THE BOYS by GRAEME HALL)
 
LRL-5   11/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST SECOND LOUIE Oct19 Sep13 Aug18 Jul18 Jul07 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 126 8.00    
SCR  PAPA FUNNY Nov01 Sep21 Jul25 Dec06 Oct26 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 8.00    
THE HEIGHTS Sep08 Jul27 Jul21 Jul04 Jun16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.00 11% 7.80    
CORONATION TIME Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 Aug24 Jul28 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PORTIS Nov10 Nov01 Oct04 Sep21 Sep14 (serey j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 5.00    
SCR  WIRED IN Nov01 Oct11 Aug29 Jul13 Jun14 (white alex)SANCHEZ J 126 10.00    
EVERY FOUR YEARS Nov10 Oct18 May17 May04 Apr13 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
FROSTY THE GIANT Oct17 Sep27 Aug25 Aug03 Jun08 (feliciano b)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
BETTER WATCH IT Oct18 Sep29 Aug29 Jul28 Mar29 (meyers madis)LEWIS M 124 30.00    
BALI ROLLING TIDE Nov01 Sep28 Sep14 Aug13 Jul25 (werneth r)BETANCOURT R 126 8.00    
SCR  RIGHT QUICK Nov03 Oct17 Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 (graham robin )FUENTES ERICK 115 30.00    
11  STATELY ORDER Nov10 Oct29 Sep16 Aug10 Jul31 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6% 16.80    
 
LRL-6   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT ROAR Nov10 Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 Aug18 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LONG ASTRIDE Nov10 Oct04 Sep08 Aug10 Aug03 (serey jr)MENA E 120 20.00    
GIFT EXCHANGE Oct31 Oct11 Aug17 Jul21 Jun09 (trombetta mic)FUENTES ERICK 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
IFEELBADFORYOUSON Oct20 Oct06 Aug18 Jul12   (felicia)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 12.00    
I WANNA ROCK Nov10 Oct26 Oct09 Sep13 Aug01 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ L 115 30.00    
RETURN FIRE Nov10 Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 Aug13 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 1.60 64% 0.60    
FIRE AND KNIVES Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Jun21 May26 (merryman edwin)BOYCE FOREST 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD ASPEN Oct31 Sep21 Jun27 May30 May04 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
LUCKED IN Nov16 Nov01       (voss katharine)TORREALBA JG 126 30.00    
10  VALORE Nov09 Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 Aug16 (demario charle)ROSADO JOHAN 120 20.00    
11  READY AND ABLE Nov03 Aug16       (werneth r)BETANCOURT R 120 20.00    
12  ANDRAS Nov10 Oct10 Sep20     (dilodovico da)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 15.00    
SCR  HUNDRED PROOF Nov16 Mar09 Feb04 Dec30   (klesaris ro)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 30.00    
SCR  PINE ALLEY Nov16 Oct10 May19 Mar19 Mar03 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR NAME Oct17 Sep01 Aug17     (lee joseph)SANCHEZ J 120 12.00    
 
LRL-7   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYE DIGGITYDOG Oct27 Sep20 Aug23 Jul13 Jun04 (mcmahon hugh )KARAMANOS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUFFNER Nov07 Oct19 Mar02 Feb16 Feb03 (mckenzie dani)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 20.00    
POINT PELEE Oct17 Aug29 Aug16 Jul05 Jun12 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
DREAM RIVER Oct19 Sep29 Sep13 Sep01 Aug23 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SILVERBULLETTWENTY Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Oct05 Sep14 (davis s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 8.00    
NANCY MADE MY DAY Nov02 Aug23 Jul20 Apr07 Mar22 (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 121 2.50    
BOX N BEN Nov17 Sep13 Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 (magana jose)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 12.00    
RASCALLY REBEL Nov10 Oct27 Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 (serey m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 12.00    
ART OF COURAGE Oct27 Sep20 Sep05 Jul27 Jun29 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 57% 0.80    
10  BORLETTI (IRE) Nov15 Oct10 Aug14 Jun23 May11 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   11/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Richard Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER TAX Nov03 Jun22 Apr20 Mar23 Feb10 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 124 1.40 29% 2.50    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of WILHELMINA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
ARMANDO R Oct18 Sep13 Aug02 Jul05 Jun08 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 120 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of ALPACA FINA by BIG BROWN)
AIN'T DA BEER COLD Oct12 Sep14 Aug23 Jul28 Jun14 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREEDOM CHILD out of DISTINCT AFFAIR by WITH DISTINCTION)
CATALEYA STRIKE Oct13 Sep27 Aug11 Jul13 Jun26 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 118 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of EIFFEL TOWER by SMART STRIKE)
MAGIC MICHAEL Oct19 Sep21 Aug27 Jul26 Jul07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by DRAMEDY out of BEAR ALL by KITALPHA)
MOSLER TIME Oct12 Sep07 Jul21 Jun09 May09 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by MOSLER out of CURLINS QUEEN by CURLIN)
ELEPHANTS EAR Sep21 Jul19 Jun30 Jun09 May04 (tessor)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00 6% 16.40    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SUNBURY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
LRL-9   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARLEY'S GHOST Nov17 Oct20 Sep15 Aug30 Jul12 (corrales jose)FUENTES ERICK 116 1.80    
TAM CHAR Nov15 Oct25 Nov02 Oct14 Sep09 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
MATOULA Oct12 Oct02 Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Nov08 Oct25 Sep29 Sep08 Aug30 (leaf robert)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
CORA'S CHOICE Nov09 Oct31 Oct04 Aug17 May05 (walters)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
FORGOTTEN GIFT Oct20 Oct12 Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 123 6.00    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Oct18 Sep29 Sep13 Aug02 Jul20 (frock charles)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
OUT OF LUCK Nov08 Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug28 (smith d)ALVELO C 123 15.00    
MOLLY OF STRATFORD Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Oct04 Sep22 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00    
10  FAINOR'S FILETS Jun09 May09 Apr13 Mar09 Feb25 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  NAMI Nov08 Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 Aug31 (sanchez-s)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.