Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(4/3)-(2/8/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(2/8/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/8/6/7)-(3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/6/7)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/7)-(3/4/2)-(5/4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(5/4/2/3)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/3)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/3)-(2/3/5)-(1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRETT'S WORLD Oct24 Sep20 Aug24 Jul24 Jul04 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00    
TROPHY ROOM Oct24 Sep20 Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 125 5.00    
DEE JAY Oct06 Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 Jun26 (lawrence lee)CORA D 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  GOING AT IT Nov13 Oct24 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 121 20.00    
ONE WAY FARRIOR Oct19 Sep20 May24 May05 Mar30 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
I KNOW MAP Oct30 Sep20 Aug30 Jun28 May31 (salvaggio m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 6.00    
GENGHIS Nov06 Oct17 Sep15 Aug16 Jul24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
PEN-2   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. ANTONELLI Nov04 Sep16 Apr21 Mar17 Feb09 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 121 1.80    
SCR  TUNE IN Jul24 Apr21 Mar07 Feb02 Dec22 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 121 10.00    
GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug31 Jul19 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 5.00 12% 7.10    
SHERIFF RONNIE Oct30 Oct11 Sep21 Aug11 Jul23 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 61% 0.60    
OUR PRIDE N JOY Oct15 Mar03 Feb11 Dec16 Nov23 (martin ramo)RAMOS O 121 12.00    
BEST DEFENSE Feb09 Jan18 Dec15 Nov02 Sep01 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.50    
 
PEN-3   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I ONCE STOOD ALONE Oct24 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.00    
POSITIVELY AWESOME Sep25 Sep01 Aug01 Jul11 Jun12 (kelly blake)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Nov05 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Sep11 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.50    
BIG BROWN SHOES Nov02 Oct14 Sep30 Aug28 Aug15 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 118 3.00    
LIVING WATER Oct24 Oct05 Sep18 Aug29 Aug07 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 4.50    
HARRY'S ONTHEBEACH Oct21 Oct08 Sep04 Aug10 Apr05 (flores)GONZALEZ JR 123 15.00 15% 5.80    
ELVIRUS Oct23 Oct11 Sep20 Aug30 Aug20 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
SAPONARA Nov01 Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
 
PEN-4   11/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUPERIN Oct24 Sep26 Aug03 Jul18 Jul03 (o'callahan carl)BEATO INOEL 118 3.50    
SOUPER ROYAL MOON Sep27 Aug28 Jul12 Jun19 May30 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00 17% 5.00    
BROOKLYN GUY Sep27 Sep07 Aug10 Jun29 Apr26 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
MIDNIGHT AMBITION Oct16 Oct03 Sep18 Aug13 Jul31 (rojas l)CORA D 118 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  TARSUS WARRIOR Nov07 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Aug05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.00    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Oct30 Aug22 Jul25 Jun19 Jun04 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 121 3.00    
SCR  GAMBLING TZAR Nov02 Sep28 Aug10 Jul05 May24 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 121 8.00    
 
PEN-5   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOKOPELLI GIRL Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 Jun16 May18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 10.00    
WEST ABBOTT Oct31 Oct20 Sep26 Aug30 Jul31 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 8% 12.30    
ADIOS MEISTER Oct10 Sep20 Aug15 Jul24   (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
PLUS SIZED COURAGE Nov22 Nov08 Oct09     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 6.00 11% 8.20    
SIRANI Nov13 Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 (soto- martinez)ADORNO ABNER 118 3.00 54% 0.90    
TOOTALOO KANGAROO Oct31 Oct17 Sep24 Aug26 Jul24 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.50    
HIDDEN CACHE Nov02 Sep10 Aug20 Jul24 Jun17 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
 
PEN-6   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHOTO HOP Oct19 Sep13 Aug24 Aug18 Jul11 (aguirre a)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
MIRACLE TRIP Nov11 Oct21 Sep15 Aug03 Jun22 (flores-coba fe)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
FREE DROP BACH Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Jun15 (dunham bernar)RIVERA D 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Nov07 Oct25 Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 3.00    
SKYHOOK Nov07 Jul26 May16 May01 Apr08 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Oct24 Oct02 Jul10 Jun18 May29 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.00    
 
PEN-7   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY OF LONDON Aug07 Jul19 Jun12 May17 Dec28 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
DIXIE MUSIC Nov14 Nov05 Oct23 Sep30 Sep11 (bravo-estrada)RIVERA D 125 6.00    
ROCK TUNE Nov06 Oct17 Oct03 Sep24 Sep11 (rogers michael)CORA D 122 3.00    
MISSUPTOWNTOODELOU Oct23 Sep18 Aug24 Jul22 Jun18 (arce josue)AGUILAR JEAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPPY DO DA DAY Oct23 Oct10 Sep22 Sep04 Aug14 (samaniego)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.00    
FLORALOATS Jun26 May29 Sep05 Aug22   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.