Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-1   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTD-3   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/4)-(1/6/2)-(7/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-5   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTD-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-7   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(5/6/1/10/7)-(3/11/1/6/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CTD-8   WIN (5/6/1/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/10/7)-(5/6/1/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/10/7)-(5/6/1/10/7)-(5/6/1/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/1/10/7)-(3/11/1/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CTD-9   WIN (3/11/1/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/1/6/8)-(3/11/1/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/1/6/8)-(3/11/1/6/8)-(3/11/1/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTD-1   10/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL ZAPPER Oct12 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOONSHINE NOW Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jul01 Jun08 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50    
GIACOMETTI Sep08 Aug21 Jul08 Jun05 Dec06 (smith darcy)BUGEAUD L 125 20.00 24% 3.20    
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 Aug10 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.20 26% 2.80    
RUNNINFORCOVER Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug10 Aug02 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 1.80    
 
CTD-2   10/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO MAMA Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 9% 10.50    
SASSY CINDERELLA Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50    
SCR  GO WITT GO Sep22 Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 (smith darcy)BUGEAUD L 125 30.00    
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Sep23 Sep03 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.00 50% 1.00    
BAKFIRE BABY Sep28 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00    
 
CTD-3   10/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWNING ISLAND Oct06 Sep21 Aug28 Jul01 Jun14 (heggie rod)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.60 21% 3.70    
JOKER MATT Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug24 (brown r)PARRIS SACHIN 115 2.50 35% 1.90    
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Oct12 Sep28 Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 125 20.00    
C C'S KITTEN Oct12 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 125 8.00 6% 14.90    
BEAUGATTI Oct13 Sep28 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 (tingle ken)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 20.00    
BORROWED EQUITY Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 (wyness james)POON ANDREW 125 4.00 15% 5.80    
MONEY MUNCHER Oct12 Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
 
CTD-4   10/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITIAN Oct06 Sep07       (kingston )ZENTENO JR 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by HONOR CODE out of THE WINGED VENUS by ROCK HARD TEN)
ALBERTA BERBON May25 May04 Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 11% 8.10    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
DETERMINED FREEDOM Jan07         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of STYLE AND GRACE by CURLIN)
SCR  WORKIN FOR THE MAN Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SEEK TO DANCE by GONE WEST)
ISABELLE ANNE Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 Feb09 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 119 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CICADA'S SONG by TWIRLING CANDY)
PASSAGE Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 Jul31 (anderson gon)NATERA KEIHTON 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BLAME out of LONG VIEW by GALILEO)
 
CTD-5   10/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMARKABLE ELI Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 Aug09 Jul24 (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 125 1.60 35% 1.90    
LEGAL ASSASSIN Oct12 Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 (heggie rod)CHOW CHAVION 122 6.00    
BOBS BUDDY Oct12 Sep22 Oct22 Oct14 Sep17 (ward anderson)PARRIS SACHIN 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
NO MOR DISCO Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (davis tes)ZENTENO JR 125 50.00    
THINKIN BACK Oct13 Sep22 Sep06 Aug02   (wyness james)POON ANDREW 122 8.00    
IMPERIAL GO BOY Oct12 Sep29 Sep21 Sep14 Sep01 (robson travis)ROCHA O 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
LAHUN Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.40 36% 1.80    
 
CTD-6   10/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Birdcatcher Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLMDEL HORNET Oct12         (smith )STEADMAN LEON 121 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WINNING SCOOP by BERNARDINI)
HOLIDAY'S AGAIN Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 Jul17 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by O'PRADO AGAIN out of HOLIDAY MAKER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
KITTY HOUSE Oct12 Sep13 Aug23 Aug10 Jul17 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  SMOKE DADDY Sep14 Aug31       (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 124 1.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISS ALTAMIRA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
WRIT IN STONE Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10   (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 124 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CONQUEST REBEL by DIXIE UNION)
MR MIEZIE Oct05 Sep13 Aug03 Jul17   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 4.50 34% 2.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
 
CTD-7   10/26/2024 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Freedom Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASAS PRINCESS Sep14 Aug23 Aug10     (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CANAVERAL LEADER by CAPE CANAVERAL)
THEY CALL ME TOM Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 Jul17   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.00 9% 10.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
OKI Oct12 Sep13 Aug10 Jul17   (heggie rod)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of DOCTOR BRITT by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
LOVINGTIME Oct12         (tingle ken)PARRIS SACHIN 120 50.00    
  (by ROJANO TIME out of TEEAMARIA by TEEMAN)
NO MORE LIES Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 Aug10   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 1.00 52% 0.90    
  (by FED BIZ out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
TANGO FOR THE SOUL Oct12 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10   (robertson je)HUGHES RASHEED 120 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
POCKETFULOFDREAMS Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 Aug10 Jul17 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SCARLET FIRE by SUPER SAVER)
 
CTD-8   10/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H K MELODY Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 6% 17.10    
DOC COPE Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 Oct08 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.00    
TRAPEZE Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 Aug10 Jul26 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00    
SNAP COUNT Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Oct21 Sep23 (petrowski jo)HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.00    
MENDELJOHN (IRE) Oct06 Sep21 Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
SILVERFOOT Oct12 Sep21 Sep14 Aug23 Jul26 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
KISS ME HELLO Oct13 Sep22 Aug31 Aug09 Jun28 (kingston robe)PARRIS SACHIN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
MY BOY CHRISTIAN Oct13 Sep28 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 (ward ander)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 30.00    
SCR  BIG IRISH Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 (mead colten)LUNAN RICHARD 125 15.00    
10  LAST OF WAR Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 (heggie rod)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-9   10/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST COAST HARBOR Oct13 May19 May02 Apr20 Mar07 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
UBBADEETS Oct06 Sep21 Aug03 Jul13 Oct08 (smith darcy)BUGEAUD L 125 50.00    
B C CHU CHU Oct13 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 (snow mel)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.40 65% 0.50    
WICKED WIZZY Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 30.00    
FLIRTATION CARD Oct12 Sep28 Aug02     (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00    
STARMA Oct06 Sep22 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 (smith )STEADMAN LEON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
BURNING UP Oct06 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 (hiesinger)ZENTENO JR 122 3.50    
MIAMI SOUVENIRS Oct14 Oct06 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 (mead colten)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
KARDINAL ROSE Oct12 Sep29 Aug26 Jul05 Jun22 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 15.00    
10  BLUE TANGO (GB) Oct13 Sep23 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 112 12.00    
11  MILITARY SASS Oct12 Oct06 Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 5% 18.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.