Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(7/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(7/6/1)-(8/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(8/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(8/3/4)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(6/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4)-(6/1/3)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/6/4)-(7/4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(7/4/2/5)-(6/3/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(6/3/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/5)-(6/3/5/2)-(2/6/10/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/2)-(2/6/10/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/6/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/10/8)-(2/6/10/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/6/10/8)-(2/6/10/8)-(2/6/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOUR BRIDGE Sep23 Aug26 Jul28 Dec16 Oct26 (hetrick )GALLARDO A 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
MR. IMPATIENT Oct10 Sep26 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
SCR  SOUTH OF BIRMINHAM Oct09 Sep16 Aug22 May31   (delong ben)BAYS BROOKE 114 10.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of GOLDEN PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
NOT RIGHT NOW Oct03         (hamm timothy)AYALA J 121 4.50    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of P J'S ENIGMA by JUMP START)
BUSK Oct03         (bourke j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PUSKITA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
HOYLAKE Sep23 Aug19 Jul23 Jun18 Mar23 (hetrick krist)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SWEET SWINGIN by STREET SENSE)
 
PID-2   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALIANT VICTORIA Oct07 Sep26 Sep10 Aug27 Jul31 (gonzalez alda)WALKER M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHEELINGNDEALING Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 Jul29 Jul04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
BELLE BREZING Sep15 Sep04 Aug14 Jun23 Jun16 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 4.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE BARONESS Oct09 Sep24 Sep16 Aug21 Aug12 (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Jul04 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
HALF BIRTHDAY Sep10 Sep04 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
MOTITO Sep26 Sep11 Aug19 Jul15 Jun19 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
SOLAIR Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 3.50    
 
PID-3   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILL BOSS Oct04 Jul23       (schoenthal phi)ALLEN D 120 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of HOLIDAY CHILLS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
DANCING ON AIR Jul09 Jun19 Jun05     (uhacz wendy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
THIS LAUGHS ON YOU         (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of MYMYMYBOOGIESHOES by PURE PRECISION)
CHUBS ROCKET         (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEY CHUB out of LOCKETS ROCKET by FLAT OUT)
SCR  WARRIOR'S HUMOR Oct07         (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 120 4.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of BLUSHING HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  WARRIOR'S COBBLER Sep10         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 4.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PEACH ALLEY by JUMP START)
SCR  PUNKY'S ENCOUNTER         (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 12.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of SAINT JACKIE by YOUR EMINENCE)
PALACE REVOLT Oct07 Sep10       (hamm timothy)AYALA J 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SETUBAL by THE FACTOR)
 
PID-4   10/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESIST THE DEVIL Oct07 Sep18 Sep02 Aug19 Jul24 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
CLEMSON TIGER Oct08 Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 12.00    
GENERAL WINSTON Oct14 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul31 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 9% 10.40    
TONY SMALL Sep23 Sep11 Aug21 Aug13 Jul23 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 6.00    
FIELDER Sep23 Sep03 Jul09 Jun24 Jun12 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
COURT AND SPARK Oct08 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
HOUSEBUILDER Oct07 Sep26 Aug25 Aug12 Jul30 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 5.00    
 
PID-5   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ATWORK         (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of DANCINGINTHESTREET by CAHILL ROAD)
TURK AND WENDY Sep05         (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SCOOP OF GOLD by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  VALIANT MELODY Oct01 Aug31       (figueroa rol)AYALA J 120 20.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of MISTY MELODY by PENTELICUS)
MYWIFEHASAGUN         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of SNOW FAIR by SNOW RIDGE)
ADIOS KID Sep16         (delong ben)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
  (by PATAKY KID out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  LOVE PACK Oct06 Aug24       (motion graham)MARTINEZ W 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BOLD QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
HIGHTAIL FOX Oct08 Sep20 Aug28     (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 5.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of FOXSTER by OXBOW)
SCR  BAYTOWN STORM Oct02 Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 May19 (mcentee paul)BAYS BROOKE 110 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CHARMING SHE IS by JOHAR)
SCR  NICOLE'S WILL Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 Jul24   (stokes l)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of NICOLE H by MR. GREELEY)
10  BAYTOWN BUMP Apr25         (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SECRET UNION by PRIVATE TERMS)
 
PID-6   10/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK UNITY Oct10 Aug30 Jul20 Jun30 May24 (garner t)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
LIGHT CRUISER Oct03 Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Aug23 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
KHOZANDO Sep18 Sep03 Aug28 Aug19 Jul22 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00    
CRAZY KATER Sep30 Sep10 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
YARDMAN Oct01 Sep20 Sep02 Aug06 Jul22 (musarro )GALLARDO A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRIPLE START Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Jun15 Jun01 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 6.00    
HEY PADRE Oct01 Sep17 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
PID-7   10/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMODORE BARRY Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (cooper thomas)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
DUDLEY Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 (schaber debbi)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNSOCIABLE Apr25 Mar22 Feb23 Feb04 Dec16 (kelly bl)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Oct07 Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 (markgraf david)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00    
LEGIO Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 Aug20 Aug14 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S A GOOD DANCER Oct09 Sep20 Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
CAPTAIN MAD JACK Oct02 Sep24 Aug20 Aug06 Jul17 (radosevi)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00    
PORSUPUESTO Oct10 Aug30 Aug24 Jul23 Jul09 (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 115 20.00    
 
PID-8   10/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHADY BOY Oct14 Sep26 Sep11 Feb07 Dec16 (fennessy john)ALLEN D 124 20.00    
HURRICANE DUDE Oct09 Sep11 Aug05 Jul01   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  OVERTIME CHARLIE Oct09 Sep26 Aug21 Jul29 Jul17 (markgra)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 15.00    
DERBY CHILD Oct02 Sep02 Jul31 Jul02 Oct30 (goodwin gabrie)LOPEZ DERECK 114 8.00    
TORREFACTOR Sep25 Sep11 Sep03 Mar14 Mar03 (amaya joan)CARPIO JAIMEN 121 15.00    
OLD FASHIONED GIRL Oct10 Sep17 Aug27 Aug02 Jul11 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Oct03 Aug28 Jul28 Jul06 Jun20 (shuman m)GALLARDO A 124 5.00    
HOPPERTULLIO Oct14 Sep25 Sep09 Jul11 Jun26 (valdez moise)AYALA J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DISCREET BNB Oct12 Jun28 Jun06 Apr20   (kelly blake)MARTINEZ W 121 12.00    
SCR  BROMISTA Oct09 Sep24 Sep03 Aug26 Aug14 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 3.50 8% 11.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.