Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (4/5/8/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/2/6)-(4/5/8/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/2/6)-(4/5/8/2/6)-(4/5/8/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/8/2/6)-(6/1/5/2/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/2/6)-(6/1/5/2/3)-(9/4/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/1/5/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/2/3)-(6/1/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/2/3)-(6/1/5/2/3)-(6/1/5/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/5/2/3)-(9/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/2/3)-(9/4/1)-(3/9/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (9/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/1)-(9/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/1)-(9/4/1/6)-(9/4/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/1)-(3/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/1)-(3/9/4/5)-(5/3/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/5)-(3/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/5)-(3/9/4/5)-(3/9/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/4/5)-(5/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/4/5)-(5/3/2/4)-(9/10/7/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/8/2/4)-(5/3/8/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/2/4)-(9/10/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/4)-(9/10/7/3/5)-(4/6/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (9/10/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/7/3/5)-(9/10/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/7/3/5)-(9/10/7/3/5)-(9/10/7/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/7/3/5)-(4/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/7/3/5)-(4/6/9/1)-(8/3/6/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/1)-(4/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/1)-(4/6/9/1)-(4/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/9/1)-(8/3/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-8   WIN (8/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/9)-(8/3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/9)-(8/3/6/9)-(8/3/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   10/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAYSKER Sep14 Aug17 Jul26 Jun24 May20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
HALF OURS N STORMY Aug03 Jul19 May15 Apr19 Feb03 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
WESLEYAN Aug27 Aug07 Jan25 Dec29 Dec19 (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 15.00    
COROT Jun09 May25 May09 Apr13 Feb23 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
LUCKY PROMISE Jun08 May10 Apr18 Mar09 Feb17 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
BAYOU BEAUX Aug23 Aug03 May08 Apr12 Feb07 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LODE OF BLARNEY Sep22 Sep08 Aug09 Jun21 Jun08 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
BROADWAY PETE Sep20 Sep06 Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
ADIOS CARLOS Sep26 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 Mar21 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 121 4.00    
10  OJITOS Sep25 Mar12 Feb07 Jan20 Jan04 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 124 20.00    
SCR  HEZA PRIORITY Aug28 Jul17 May27 Mar06 Feb22 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 6.00    
SCR  CRANKSHAFT Jul02 Jun18 May25 May07 Apr20 (martinez ral)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
 
DED-2   10/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORKED Sep09 Aug13 Jul24 May04 Apr13 (thompson k)RAMIREZ JR 117 5.00 20% 4.00    
BOBBY MERLOT Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 May09 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 8.00 5% 18.20    
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 May29 May10 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DYNAMIC SUN Aug14 Jul11 Jun14 Apr26 Apr13 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
TALK OF THE TOWN Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
LIVINGSTON Sep03 Jul17 Jun24 May21 May04 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  COUNTRY CUT Sep16 Aug28 Aug19 Jun18 Jun10 (roberson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
DOCE DE LA NOCHE Aug14 Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 May24 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00    
ROCKY BOY Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 (escobar alison)STOKES J 124 20.00    
10  MUCHO MACHO CAM Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul14 (love alan)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 20.00    
11  SAM'S PROMISE Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
SCR  BERRYVILLE BULLET Sep24 Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Jul18 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 15.00    
 
DED-3   10/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN CITY Sep03 Jul16       (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RINGBANG CITY by CARSON CITY)
WILLIAM'S LEGACY         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS MATZOBALL by SMOKE GLACKEN)
LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN Sep14 Jul25 Jul16 Jun12 May31 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
LORD HARMONY Aug24 Jan19 Dec27     (breaux samue)BARRERA J 122 8.00 25% 3.10    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SOFTLY SINGING by HOLY BULL)
TAKE IT TO COURT Aug20 Jul01 Jun08 May04   (garcia luis)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of I'LL TAKE IT ALL by INCLUDE)
CLASSY JUDY G Sep03         (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SHE ROLLS by FRIESAN FIRE)
KISSTER Jul25 Jul12 May31 May14 Mar25 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 124 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KISS A YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
SCR  SHE'S GOT A SECRET Aug22         (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 20.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of MY GAL CHARLENE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
COPPER CRUSH Sep14         (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by KLIMT out of NOTAYANKEEFAN by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
 
DED-4   10/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J L PAC MAN Jun27 Jun14 May25 May08 Mar10 (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
F T W SLAM Jun01 May09 Apr13 Mar10 Feb18 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 4.50    
ALVARADO CAT Jun20 May23 Mar23 Feb17 Dec31 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
ADIEU ACES Aug24 Aug03 May31 Apr13 Mar06 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Aug24 Aug03 Jun29 May09 May01 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
TRIPPLE D RULLER Aug24 Jun15 May25 May03 Apr13 (toups brent)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
SCR  BOULDERING Sep11 Aug23 Aug03 Jun13 May09 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
SCR  OUR DETERMINATION Aug24 Jun10 May15 Mar06   (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 118 10.00    
WISHERT Aug23 Jul09 Jun04 May14 Mar09 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
10  LOVELY SASSICAIA Aug17 Jun29 Jun08 May24 Apr20 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  BABY'S LAST DANCE Sep16 Sep04 Aug17 Jul25 Jun28 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00    
SCR  HE'S JUST LUCKY Aug24 Mar06 Feb17 Jan20   (landry r)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
 
DED-5   10/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BRAD Sep09 Aug21 Jul24 Jun25 May08 (venzor jai)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00    
MY STORY Sep23 Sep11 Aug13 Jul29 Jul04 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GAME AND GORMLEY Jul05 Jun13 May23 May10 Apr19 (castille carro)THORNTON G 122 2.00 14% 5.90    
PERFECT STRIKE Sep16 Aug19 Jul04 Jun10 May27 (mojica a)PEREZ CARLOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPPY TOGA Aug22 Aug02 Jun27 May11 Apr25 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
A TRUE TARGET Sep02 Aug19 Aug07 Jul09 Jun25 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
MOON TRIP Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 Jun20 May29 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 5.00    
R T'S D'ORO Aug22 May24 May11 Feb15 Jan25 (chevis a)STOKES J 124 6.00    
SEEKING A SOLDIER Sep23 Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
 
DED-6   10/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWIT HAPPENED Sep24 Aug14 Jun19     (dixon tim)POMPELL L 124 15.00    
SPARRA Sep11 Jul30 Jul13 Apr18 Mar29 (bryant george)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
OCEOLA Sep02 Jul30 Jul02 Jun08 May04 (schultz terry)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FULL OF GLORY Aug17 Jun28 May17 Apr24 Feb01 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
DEEP STATE Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 Jun17 May17 (cangemi dani)BARRERA J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
DARYL'S BOLT Sep15 Sep07 Aug11 Jul29 Jun29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 6.00    
EL DEAL ME ACES Jul30 Jun29 Jun08 May18 Mar06 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 117 5.00 7% 12.40    
A BRUSH OF LUCK Sep23 Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 Jul12 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
LO LO'S LAUGHTER Jun24 May29 May07 Feb23 Jan18 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
10  BRIARTOWN Sep14 Aug06 Jul16 Jun19 May15 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  TRABR'S CREED Sep03 Aug05 Jun26 Apr20 Apr04 (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00    
 
DED-7   10/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IL CAPITANO (GB) Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 Aug03 Jul04 (litfin veronica)STOKES J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MORO MAFIA Aug26 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May04 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
UP N GONE Aug16 Aug01 Jul04 Jun07 May15 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 4.50    
CLIFF DIVER Sep21 Sep07 Jul27 Jun23 Jun06 (rengstorf t)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
ORDER UP Aug23 Jul18 Jun29 May18 May02 (sanchez ju)RODRIGUEZ L 117 10.00    
MARKS PROMISE May18 Apr27 Jan25 Jan06 Dec08 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 6.00 32% 2.10    
JEFFROW Aug16 Aug01 Jul04 May31 Apr12 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 12.00    
SCR  READY TO PURRFORM Aug02 Jun04 May02 Mar02 Apr20 (noel dane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50    
NOPENOTTONIGHT Jul04 May22 Apr17 Mar22 Feb17 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 115 8.00 7% 13.60    
 
DED-8   10/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAP TO CONNECT Sep04 Aug05 Jul10 Jun19   (nixon w)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00    
MY DAD'S GUITAR Aug17 Jul04 Jun07 May16 Apr11 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
CANAL ST. CUPID Aug23 Jul06 May10 Apr19 Mar15 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 119 4.00 21% 3.90    
WAY TOO TOUGH Aug17 Jul04       (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 119 20.00    
SCR  CAJUN CRUISER Aug21 Jun28 Jun16 May26 May04 (husak j)STOKES J 122 2.50    
A G'S GEM Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jun13 Apr25 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
SILVER REDESDALE Sep17 Jun01 Apr18 Mar14 Feb22 (gonzalez victo)PEREZ CARLOS 117 12.00    
INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 May10 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
WATCH THE COAST Jun13 May29 May08 Apr17   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEONARDO CREED Sep14 Sep03 Aug20 Jul04 Jun16 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 117 20.00    
11  SUPER EKATI Sep26 Sep04 Jul06 May04 Apr05 (love alan)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.