Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Erie
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(2/8/5/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-6   WIN (2/8/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/6/7)-(2/8/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/6/7)-(2/8/5/6/7)-(2/8/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/5/6/7)-(3/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-7   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/4/1/5)-(3/2/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FE-1   10/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE MY DREAMS Sep02 Jun25 Apr20 Mar30 Mar01 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 122 12.00    
ORBITING THE SKY Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul07 May21 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
MIMI'S HOLIDAY Sep24 Sep17 Aug27 Jul22 Jul07 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
HOT OMELET Sep23 Aug22 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 (robillard jos)KERR CHEYENNE 119 1.40 25% 3.00    
LITTLE FIRE Sep24 Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00    
 
FE-2   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUD IM NOT YAWNING         (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
NINO DE MAMA Sep24         (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Oct01 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jun21 (golden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.50    
SILENT SUMMIT Sep24 Sep10 Jul30 Jul07 Jun16 (agostino roy )ZENTENO EDGAR 118 4.00    
BEST AND FINAL Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 2.50    
SING DIXIE Sep24 Aug27 Aug20 Aug02 Jul12 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
FE-3   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAVA POWER Sep12 Aug27 Aug05 Jul22 Jul12 (newland george)SALLES LEO 120 12.00    
SAILINGTHEISLANDS Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul05 (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
PERFECT LA COMBEE         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
FOREST FLASH Oct01 Sep02 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 118 4.00    
DRILLHALL Sep17 Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 (husbands ant)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 2.50    
BEST IN CLASS Aug27 Aug05 Jul19     (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   10/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY PERFECTION Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 (spada lauren)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
SILENT PRINCESS Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul07 (rabste)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 20.00    
ZODIAC BEACH Sep26 Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul04 (hall philip)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 4.00    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Sep24 Sep16 Aug27 Aug20 Jul30 (newland geor)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
DYNA'S FLATTER Sep26 Sep05 Jun06 May10 Sep03 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
TAPROOM Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jul25 Jul04 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
FE-5   10/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS SINGH ANGEL Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul15 (cohen michae)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00    
PRINCESS MAYFAIR Sep17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun01 May11 (chircop steven)RAMSAMMY E 120 1.60    
CHERRY GARDENS Sep16 Aug20 Jul21 Jun25 Jun13 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
TACHYON SPEED Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 (leblanc warre)KERR CHEYENNE 117 3.00 26% 2.80    
FEROCIOUS QUEEN Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00    
AMONG THE ROSES Sep17 Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 Jun16 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   10/07/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANETKA Sep17 Sep06 Aug08 Jul21 Jul05 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 15.00    
BOSTON BAY Sep30 Sep17 Aug27 Aug16 Aug09 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Sep30 Sep10 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 (cohen michae)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 20.00    
BEER MOSA Sep30 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
PRINCE FOR A DAY Sep10 Jul21 Jul07 Oct27 Sep25 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
SPANISH SERENADE Sep24 Sep10 Aug18 Jul30 Jul12 (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00 9% 9.70    
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Dec15 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
JOEYBONES Sep24 Sep17 Aug27 Aug16 Aug05 (carter angelle)RAMSAMMY E 120 3.00 18% 4.40    
MISS D'S PRIDE Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul21 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00    
 
FE-7   10/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH CALEY (IRE) Aug28 Jul27 Jun19 May25 May03 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERCRAFTSMAN out of MA CHERIE by VERRAZANO)
BEYOND OSCAR Sep16 Aug20 Aug06 Jul13 Sep02 (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BEYOND THE WAVES by OCEAN CREST)
SUPER HONEY TIMBER Sep16 Aug26       (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.80 58% 0.70    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of SUPER HONEY by SUPER SAVER)
SHES A DARLING Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of TRUE DARLING by YES IT'S TRUE)
EVA'S RECORD Sep16 Sep05 Nov04 Oct12 Sep28 (powell a)KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of WORLD IN SILENCE by UNKNOWN)
SIX FOR A NINE Sep26 Sep12 Aug31 Jul25 Jul11 (coryat john )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SLATED by UNION RAGS)
ALL FOR HONOR Sep20 Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 (polsinelli domi)JADOO STEVE 122 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISS LOVELY by SMART STRIKE)
FIREBOLT Sep26 Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 May31 (polsinelli)FRANCIS G 120 6.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of GAJA by IROQUOIS PARK)
LUCKY LOUISE Aug26 Aug13 Jul02     (davis richard)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LUCKBEALADY NOW by UNKNOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.