Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (11/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/8/9)-(11/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/8/9)-(11/8/9)-(11/8/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (11/8/9)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (11/8/9)-(1/2/4)-(3/2/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(3/2/10)-(1/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-3   WIN (3/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/10)-(3/2/10/7/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/10)-(3/2/10/7/12)-(3/2/10/7/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/10)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/10)-(1/6/2)-(1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(1/4)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/5/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/5/7/6)-(11/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(11/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/6)-(11/10/2)-(7/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (11/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/10/2)-(11/10/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/10/2)-(11/10/6/2)-(11/10/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/10/2)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-8   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   10/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET LIKE MIKE Sep20 Aug30 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (klesaris rober)TORREALBA JG 120 8.00    
SCR  GREAT KISSER Sep21 Sep12 Aug18 Jun07 May16 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
SCR  STREET TOUGH Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jan07 Dec08 (salzman )RODRIGUEZ L 109 30.00    
SCR  ART OF COURAGE Sep20 Sep05 Jul27 Jun29 May26 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00    
SCR  FLASH IS BACK Sep15 Aug16 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (mcfarlane bran)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00    
SCR  TALL ORDER Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Jun21 May05 (perri gina)ALVELO C 123 3.00    
RENNIE Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Feb04 Dec29 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
ONE WAY TRAFFIC Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jun21 May31 (keil caitlin)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00 28% 2.50    
FREESTANDING Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 May31 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINTENON Sep20 Sep01 Jul26 Jun20 May29 (carrascoj)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
11  INCINERATOR Aug30 Jul26 Jun01 Apr13 Mar17 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  CHUCK ADAMS Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
SCR  DUNPHY Sep17 Aug30 Aug17 Jul19 Jun30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
SCR  FORCE OF JUSTICE Sep16 Aug28 Jul29 Jul03 Jun08 (rojas mur)HERNANDEZ A 123 20.00    
 
LRL-2   10/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRES MARIA'S DREAM Sep18 Nov25 Oct12 Sep16 Aug06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 0.80 33% 2.00    
LOOKING FOR WATER Aug31 Aug10 Jul05 Apr27 Mar22 (tessor)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
SEAFARER Sep20 Aug31 Aug22 Jul26 Jun29 (juarez cali)CACHA-PADILLA B 116 20.00    
FLINNY TIN TIN Aug23 Jul19 Jun16 Jun01 Feb29 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
VOODOO PRIESTESS Aug25 Jul11 May16 Apr27 Apr07 (smith d)MENA E 119 8.00    
MINIME Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Jul13 Jun23 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 123 3.50    
 
LRL-3   10/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALIGN Sep29 Aug24       (schoenthal phi)PEREZ XAVIER 122 30.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of LISTEN IN by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
AMY'S MUSIC Sep15 Aug22       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NOBLE CHARLOTTE by INCLUDE)
NOLA BOSS Sep04 Aug13 Jul20 Jun30   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TULANIAN by TWIRLING CANDY)
STREET HOCKEY Jun23         (schoenthal )ROBLES O 117 30.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CHABESO by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GO TO BINGO Sep15 Aug31 Aug13 Jul25   (cooney )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TANGERINE MIMOSA by HANSEL)
SCR  SINETIC Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jul14   (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHARONS IN CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SLAM NOTION         (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of BALESTRA by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  STEWBALL         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SOKIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  KONGZI Aug24         (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of FOR FINERY by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  NIGHT PREACHER Aug25         (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00 15% 5.80    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of UNUSUALLY TALENTED by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  JUSTIFIABLE STAR Oct04         (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of STARLESS NIGHT by GRAND SLAM)
12  DARING VENTURE         (russell b)CARRASCO R 122 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CHOSEN VENTURE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
13  BUILT BY KHOZAN Aug25         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 122 20.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
 
LRL-4   10/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONEY Sep15         (eubanks annett)TORREALBA JG 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of JUNE ANN by ACCLAMATION)
MR. MENDELSLEW Sep14 Sep02       (mancilla ca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DYNASLEW by DYNAFORMER)
TOP BLOOD Sep15 Aug25       (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of CROWN IT by TAPIT)
RHYTHM 'N BLUES Sep14 Aug01       (cibelli jane)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MISS KATIE BUG by POINT OF ENTRY)
LOVE PACK Aug24         (motion g)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BOLD QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
DERZ SMART         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.40 31% 2.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SMART WIN by SMART STRIKE)
 
LRL-5   10/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Sep08 Aug23 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 123 6.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  BY THE SEY SHORE Aug31 Aug11 Jun29 Jun08 Nov05 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 126 8.00    
BIG HAMBONE Sep26 Sep02 Aug03 Jul27 Jul12 (dove j)LEWIS M 118 30.00    
WHITEKNUCKLEFLYER Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (capuano philli)BOYCE FOREST 116 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  BACKNTHEWOODS Sep15 Aug30 Aug11 Jul21 Mar24 (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 126 15.00    
SCR  BOSS IS A PAL Sep07 Aug12 Jul20 Jun30 May27 (stettinius )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
SCR  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN Aug29 Jul19 Jun30 May31 Nov19 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 8.00    
DARK AND FITZY Sep15 Dec24 Dec06 Nov04 Oct12 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
SCR  SWITZER Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.00    
SCR  B DETERMINED Sep11 Aug12 Jul19 Jun08 Nov05 (stettinius s)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN HORSE (ARG) Sep29 Aug07 Apr23 Apr08 Feb11 (corrales jose)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
 
LRL-6   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUP HUG Sep21 Aug11 Jul07 Jun15 May23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 58% 0.70    
1A  NIFTY Jul26 Jun07 Apr28 Mar08 Feb10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60    
SCR  LAFITTE'S FLEET Sep21 Jul19 Apr13 Mar10 Mar01 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 15.00    
JOHN HALL Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.00    
SUGA STEVE Sep28 Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 Jul19 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
AL LOVES JOSIE Aug23 Jul26 Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 10% 9.20    
DEE JAY Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 Jun26 May31 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAGIC SPIN Aug30 Jun30 Jun12 May17 Mar21 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 8% 10.90    
HE'S ORIENTATE Sep08 Aug23 Jun30 Jun15 Apr26 (heil na)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 30.00    
 
LRL-7   10/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMETHING WICKED Sep11 Jul18 Oct22     (motion g)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00    
DON'T TELL KELLY Aug31 Aug10 Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 (cox kenneth )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
NUWANDA Aug30 Aug02 Jun28 Jun08 May25 (juarez cali)CACHA-PADILLA B 123 30.00    
SCR  VICTORY BADGE Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 Jun25 Jun08 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 120 15.00    
SCR  MISS SAN GABRIEL Sep20 Aug14 Jul20 May26 Oct28 (weaver george)CRUZ ANGEL 123 1.80    
GOGO CHANEL Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 Apr26 Nov17 (dilodovico dam)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
SCR  LA PACHANGA Aug17 Jul27 Jun02 Apr27 May29 (mcgaughey c)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.00    
SCR  JUSTIFIED STRATEGY Sep13 Apr21 Mar10 Jan11   (servis john)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50    
SCR  CHA CHA TAP Sep11 Aug24 Jan31 Dec20 Nov24 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00    
10  TOO MANY KISSES Sep14 Mar16 Feb17 Oct29 Sep30 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00 29% 2.40    
11  OVERWISH Aug15 Jul21       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
12  URBAN STAR Sep21 Aug14 Jun28     (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
 
LRL-8   10/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIN PERMISO Sep15 Aug29 Aug15 Jul27 Jul06 (salazar ma)BERRUGATE KENEDY 119 15.00    
AMAZING JETT Sep20 Aug18 Jul19 Jun29 Jun21 (woodit jo)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
MY ENDEAVOR Sep20 Sep02 Mar17 Feb24 Feb03 (keefe t)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
VALORE Sep15 Aug16 Jul19 Jul07   (demario charle)HIRALDO JOHN 123 3.50    
IFEELBADFORYOUSON Aug18 Jul12       (feliciano ben )ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50    
SILENT ROAR Sep20 Aug18 Jul12 Jun09   (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 123 10.00    
VILALUZ Aug23 May04 Apr06 Mar22 Mar02 (corrales)AMADOR RUIZ 123 1.40 38% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.