Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(2/5)-(3/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/2/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/2/4/1)-(1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-3   WIN (3/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/1)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/1)-(1/2/5)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/3/4)-(1/8/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/8/3/2)-(4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-6   WIN (1/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/2)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-7   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETHEART MOON         (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SO EMOTIONAL         (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 119 5.00    
POWER DRIVER         (allard ed)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00    
FEEL THE BOLT Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13   (bailon nesv)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 12.00    
IT'S ALL RED Aug10         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  HEYLOOKMEOVER Sep19         (robertson)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
SPARKLING RUBY Sep14         (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
 
DEL-2   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTERMIND Sep14 Aug30 Jun01 May10 Apr19 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 119 3.00    
SPECTRIER Sep20 Sep07 Aug28 Aug17 Jul25 (husak j)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  I AM THAT I AM Sep20 Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 Jun14 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 119 10.00    
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE Sep20 Aug17 Jun26 May30 Feb22 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Sep20 Aug29 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 (ramirez jos)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 8.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  MINEOLA MIKE Sep11 Aug28 Jul25 May04 Mar22 (pecoraro an)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 8.00    
SCR  SAGRADA RAY Sep28 Sep05 Aug03 Jul19 Jun20 (capuano gar)ROBLES O 114 2.00    
 
DEL-3   10/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANGA PARBAT (GB) Sep18 Aug31 Aug15 Jul11 Jun20 (saville niall)RAMOS JATNIEL 136 8.00 7% 12.90    
SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Sep16 Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 May13 (ferraro anth)SOLIS EDWARD 133 8.00 15% 5.50    
ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Aug28 Jul28 Jul06 Jun20 May24 (shuman mark)VARGAS E 136 3.00 21% 3.70    
RETURN FIRE Sep18 Aug31 Aug13 Jul07 Jun20 (sanchez-sa)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 133 6.00 13% 6.50    
SHIP MASTER Sep25 Aug31 Jul11 Jun15 Oct13 (salaza)LEIVA EDUARDO 136 15.00    
SCR  MIZTERGRANDCENTRAL Aug29 Aug03 Jul07 Jun07 Dec31 (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 133 5.00    
DUBAI AND BACK (IRE) Sep06 Aug29 May17 Apr20 Feb24 (kingsley ar)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 136 12.00    
STARFORCE Sep25 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 (hendriks rich)CUNDITH SARAH 136 15.00    
SCR  BUCK RUN Aug14 Jul11       (gillam jeremy)SALAZAR ROBIN 136 20.00    
10  OXFORD UNION Sep20 Aug18 Jul06 Jun21 May19 (robb j)WOODSON MICHAEL 136 4.00    
SCR  TABLOID Aug20 Jul15 Jul02 Sep23 Sep03 (king clarenc)MCGUIN JASMINE 133 20.00    
 
DEL-4   10/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTY OF WAR Sep14         (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
SANDI SUE Sep14         (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 114 2.50 24% 3.10    
PRETTY GEISHA         (boniface ke)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 8.00    
MANDY'S MISS         (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.50    
VICKI VALE Sep05 Jul26       (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
LAGUARDIA         (sanchez-pin)ASTUDILLO FELIX 114 8.00    
 
DEL-5   10/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUBBLING UP Sep13 Feb01 Aug02     (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 117 1.80 61% 0.60    
BOSS LIKE BETH Sep16 Sep04 Aug20 Jul18 Jul10 (betancourt e)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
DOROTHY'S DREAMS Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 Jun06 May22 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 3.00 13% 6.80    
REASON OVER RICHES Jul13 Jun14 Jun01 May17 Apr18 (hurley tina )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ARIJANA'S PEARL Aug31 Aug07 Jul18 Mar23 Dec16 (robertson)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 6.00    
TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Sep05 Aug13 Jun15 Sep21 Sep07 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 10.00    
JOYA DEL SUR Sep05 Aug10 Aug02 Jun29 Jun15 (magee kiero)ROBLES O 115 2.50    
 
DEL-6   10/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THERE ARE NO WORDS Sep15 Sep02 Aug16 Jul07 May25 (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
GIVE IT A WHIRL Aug04 Jul07 May26 Nov11 Sep27 (lynch cathal)BATISTA A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
NO ONE TO BLAME Nov02 Oct06 Sep01 Aug12 Jun25 (trombetta mich)COA J 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  CELESTIAL MOON Sep04 Jul26 Nov26 Oct15 Sep30 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.50    
OCEAN CITY Sep02 Aug01 Jun22 Oct12 Sep06 (russell b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
WOW WHATA SUMMER Aug31 Jun30 May17 Apr14 Feb17 (lawrence )HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Sep14 May01 Apr07 Aug20 Jul22 (cudworth paul)HIRALDO JOHN 120 20.00    
HIGHESTDISTINCTION Sep20 Aug16 Oct13 Sep16 Aug13 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 120 1.50 23% 3.40    
GRAY'S FABLE Jul06 Jun19 May18 Apr20 Nov05 (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 120 5.00    
 
DEL-7   10/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY ROCKY JAKE Sep14 Aug31 Aug21 Aug10 Jul18 (simone micha)BATISTA A 119 10.00 7% 12.50    
GUILTED Sep14         (na)LUNA PAUL 119 8.00    
SCR  BUT NOW AM FOUND Aug31 Aug03       (contessa gary )CEDENO CAROL 119 4.00    
ENGLISH DADDY Sep14         (pecoraro antho)HIRALDO JOHN 119 1.60 39% 1.60    
SKINNY JOEY Sep14         (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 119 1.40 34% 2.00    
EL DOLLAR Sep03 Aug28 Aug04 Jul23 May17 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.