Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-2   WIN (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-6   WIN (8/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/9)-(8/3/6/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GRP-7   WIN (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GRP-8   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-1   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISION OF THE KAT Sep16 Sep01 Aug07 Jun08 Jun01 (beckner ter)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 8.00    
2  BELLS AND WHISTLES Sep08 Aug10 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 3.50    
3  CAMDEN HIGH Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 Jul14 (morris m)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00    
4  ASK ALICE Sep08 Aug30 Jul06 Jun21 Jun14 (bozell alan)MARTIN A 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOFIA STRONG Sep22 Aug08 Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 (harshman )JENSEN P 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  AIRKITA Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
GRP-2   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERRYS BABY Sep08 Aug08 Jul12 Jun22 Jun09 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 6% 16.60    
2  BELLAREIGN Sep23 Sep06 Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 (bozell alan)MARTIN A 126 10.00    
3  MADAME CAUSEWAY Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 Aug08 Jun29 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  BLURSDAY Sep07 Aug11 Jul05 Jun15 May12 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00    
5  GOOD JOB JACKIE Sep15 Aug09 Jul04 Oct02 Sep04 (klapatch )JENSEN P 126 6.00    
6  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 Jul27 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  COPPER BO TEN Sep15 Jul10 Apr09 Feb20 Dec31 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
GRP-3   09/30/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTICIPATED Sep16 Aug24 Aug10 Jun22 Jun09 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 4.50 11% 8.50    
2  REAL THIRSTY Sep23 Sep16 Jun09 May25 Apr14 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 12.00    
3  ZZYZX Sep23 Aug17 Aug08 Jul04 Jun14 (hanson mark)SAMUELS JAKE 123 3.00 ★    
4  DO IT FOR DAVE Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 (swanson stev)MARTIN A 126 4.00    
5  SPORTS FOR WOMEN Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 Aug07 Oct09 (lyons kendr)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUZZED BY A TIGER Sep16 Aug24 Jun23     (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.50 69% 0.40    
7  COUNT ASHER Sep15 Sep02 Aug24 Aug09 Jul04 (guerr)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 6.00    
 
GRP-6   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIME TIME PORTA Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 (guerr)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 6.00    
2  LONGFORD Sep16 Sep08 Aug07 Jul04 Jun22 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 20.00    
3  CONNECTER Sep16 Sep08 Aug23 Jul14 Jul03 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SIMONSITO Sep16 Aug25 Jun29 Jun22 Jun15 (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 126 10.00    
5  FORD FLYER Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 (guerrero emilio)ELLIS DEVON 124 15.00    
6  TAVERNELLE Sep16 Aug09 Jul04 Jun16 May26 (mcdevi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 9% 10.40    
7  SMOKENSILVER Aug25 Jul04 Jun29 Jun22 Oct09 (beckner l)MEEKS MICAH 121 8.00    
8  LUKA GRAZIE Sep16 Jul03 Jun21 May19 Apr16 (homer jas)MARTINEZ HUMBERTO 126 6.00 38% 1.60    
9  WESTERN SIERRA Sep08 Aug24 Mar17 Feb11 Dec15 (cantrell margi)SAMUELS JAKE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  LUCCA'S LEGACY Sep22 Sep08 Aug09 Jul04 Jun22 (harshman )JENSEN P 124 4.00 ★    
 
GRP-7   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOB'S SNIPER Sep15 Sep09 Aug09 Jun29 Jun22 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 10% 8.60    
2  DOUBLE PERFECTION May06 Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 Jan19 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 8.00    
3  WITHEE Aug17 Jul28 Jul12 Sep16 Sep02 (abrahamson m)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 20.00    
4  DEFENSE WINS Sep07 Aug08 Jul03 Jun09 Jun09 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 ★    
5  SOCAL RED Sep16 Sep09 Jul06 Jun23 Jun09 (gibson howar)MARTIN A 126 8.00    
6  PULPITS POWER Sep16 Aug10 Aug08 Jun30 Jun23 (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.50 59% 0.70    
7  SOLDATNA Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul12 (baze )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 4.00 7% 12.40    
8  FAMOUS STAR (GB) Apr07 Mar17 Jan13 Nov05 Aug05 (kowalsky)MURO ISIDRO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  ARIZONA ANDREW Sep09 Jun30 Jun14 May26 May02 (morris michael )MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00    
10  TOO TALL TO CALL Sep16 Aug31 Aug10 Jun30 Jun15 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 15.00    
 
GRP-8   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPHY Sep07 Aug25 Aug08 Jul12 Jul04 (maelfeyt bruno)MEEKS MICAH 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  YODERANDO Sep07 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 May10 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00    
3  LA POPIS Sep08 Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 Jun30 (gabriel l)JENSEN P 126 3.00    
4  TEN THE SMART WAY Sep16 Sep07 Jun21 Apr12 Mar10 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Sep16 Aug31 Aug23 Aug07 Jun30 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50    
6  DISTINCTIVE DEB Sep16 Aug25 Aug03 Jul27 Sep10 (gabriel luc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.