Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/5)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/5)-(6/4/5)-(4/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/3/6)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(3/5/6)-(1/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/2/4)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-5   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(2/6/4)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-6   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/4/1)-(1/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(1/4/7)-(8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PRX-10   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/9/11/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/9/11/12)-(8/4/9/11/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNNY SIDE UP Sep11 Aug19 Apr01 Feb27 Feb05 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00    
BEARLY WORKING         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 49% 1.00    
CHANCE OCCURRENCE Aug26 Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 (caban carlo)RAMOS O 125 2.00 7% 14.20    
BOSSY KATE Sep08 Aug19 Jul17 Jul01 Jun04 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50 13% 6.90    
GO CHLOE GO Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 Jun16 (gonzalez-milian jo)CARTER T 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LADY ROBO Aug19 Jul22 Jun15 May28 Mar22 (mosco ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
CHANGE ORDER Sep04 Aug24 Aug15 Jul26 Dec03 (arriaga antoni)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
UDIDN'TPAY Aug20 Aug04 Jul17 Jul03 Jun12 (king clarence)OCASIO M 122 20.00    
 
PRX-2   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW MAN Sep04 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 (pino v)AGUILAR JEAN 117 2.00    
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Sep04 Aug10 Jul09 Jun12 Jun03 (soto- m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.00    
FREE BIRD BORDO Sep03 Jul22 May14 May07 Apr22 (solis jacint)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 5.00    
FAST PAYDAY Aug31 Aug21 Aug10 Mar27 Mar15 (gallegos j)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
MAJOR CAM Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 (soto- ma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRATED COCONUT Jul19 Jun24 May12 Apr05 Mar22 (kulp brandon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
PRX-3   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROWN EYED GIRL Sep18 Jul17 Jun08 May29 May14 (noble f)AGUILAR JEAN 120 15.00    
GWEN STACY Sep02 Jul17 Jun08 May14 Nov29 (linder louis )RIVERA D 122 12.00    
JESS'S MOMENT Sep11 Aug24 May11 Apr18 Apr07 (caban e)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 3.00 10% 9.10    
LOST LOVE Aug21 May03 Apr21 Mar29 Dec31 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 1.20 61% 0.60    
NAPOLITAN Sep11 Aug26 Jul10 Jun18   (dandy ronal)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.50    
LA BELLA BOROBETA Aug26 Aug10 Jun26 Jun12 Mar26 (aro c)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-4   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEPLANE Jun18 May17 Apr27 Apr06 Feb14 (wyner ha)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.50    
FOREVER WICKED Sep09 Aug21 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 (st uria)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
EDGE OF GLORY Sep09 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 May20 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 1.20 64% 0.60    
CARNIVORE Sep09 Aug21 Aug03 Jul23 Jul10 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.00    
WYNN GIANT Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jun03 May20 (tapsas ilias)MOYA F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHIP'S FRIEND Sep09 Aug24 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 (caban ca)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-5   09/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY UNION Sep02 Aug08 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 (velazqu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.50 28% 2.60    
MAGNIFICENT PEARL Sep07 Aug19 Jul27 Jul17 Jun16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.50 25% 3.10    
CATTI LA BELLE Sep02 Aug19 Jul17 Jul09 Jun12 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 5.00    
A BIT BAD N BOUJEE Sep04 Jul01 Jun03 May22 May04 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OLD HEAD Aug27 Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 Jun24 (abrams r)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
SO SWELL Jun17 Jun08 May21 May06 Apr17 (rodriguez i)RAMOS O 122 3.00    
AWESOME PAL Sep18 Aug28 Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 (rodriguez i)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00    
 
PRX-6   09/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISEDAROOFCHARLIE Aug24 Jul10 Jun11 May24 Mar19 (krebs s)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00    
GO EAST Sep04 Dec13 Nov20 Sep20 Sep06 (soto c)AGUILAR JEAN 117 5.00 34% 2.00    
TIEMPO PERFECTO Sep04 Jul10 May20 May08 Feb20 (smylie timothy)MOYA F 122 3.00    
BACK EAST Jul10 Jun10 May01 Apr15 Mar21 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
NUEDORF Sep09 Aug30 Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 (padilla hugo)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 2.00    
WARRIOR'S VOW Sep04 Jul01 Apr15 Mar25 Mar06 (penaloza mi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
PRX-7   09/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY THE TANK Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 May09 Apr11 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 125 4.00    
BIG BEEMSTER Aug18 Feb05 Jan09 Dec13 Nov14 (crook-d)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 25% 2.90    
PARTY AT SAM'S Aug26 Aug02 Jul24 Jul08 Jun24 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
CARBONITE Sep17 Sep04 Jul17 Jun26 Jun16 (flores-coba fe)AGUILAR JEAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) Sep16 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 May04 (tzortzakis e)RIVERA D 125 3.00    
BALI AMOUR Jul24 May18 Apr29 Apr21 Mar25 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 10.00    
 
PRX-8   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGOT A POKER FACE Aug22 Jul31 Jun17 May16 Jan10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
SUPREME BEING Sep02 Jul23 Jun26 May28 May01 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00    
LE VIN Mar05 Feb19 Jan28 Dec03 Nov14 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
IN SPADES Aug26 Jul15 Mar06 Feb12 Jan09 (dunn felissa)RUIZ ELISEO 125 2.00 19% 4.30    
BARTLETT Aug21 Jul08 Oct10 Sep12   (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 3.50    
SUPREME LAW Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 Jun30 Jun07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50    
 
PRX-9   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRUM ROLL PLEASE Jan06 Dec02 Oct06 Sep01 Jul29 (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.20 65% 0.50    
SCR  EDDIE W Aug26 Aug07 Jun24 May14 Mar27 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 119 15.00    
ROCKIN FREEBEE Aug21 Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 (romero)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
CHECK MY SIX Aug26 Jul23 Jun17 May28 May06 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
WARRIOR'S VENDETTA Aug26 Jul15 Jul02 Jun10 May18 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 122 3.50    
CLANCY O'TOOLE Aug27 Jul25 Feb19 Feb05 Nov08 (velazqu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 12.00    
BIG BOYS ANSWER Sep17 Aug26 Aug02 Jul15 Jun25 (truehart jenni)AGUILAR JEAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   09/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S GOT GAME Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 Jul23 Jul01 (mccaslin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 20.00    
HI HEELED WARRIOR Aug30 Aug21 Aug08 Jul19 Jun25 (kirby john)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00    
LIPLOCK Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jul23 Jul09 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
LA CIENEGA Sep11 Aug19 Jul24 Jun12 Dec20 (velazqu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 3.50 27% 2.70    
BRODY SLAM Apr30 Apr16 Mar27 Mar12 Feb28 (wilson bre)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
SCR  LULINDA'S HEART Sep11 Aug27 Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00    
CREME CARAMEL Sep04 Aug27 Jul24 Jul04 Jun10 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 122 20.00    
R TENDERONI Sep26 Aug03 Jun28 Jun13 May09 (rodriguez irvin)RUIZ ELISEO 122 5.00 50% 1.00    
BONITA LASSIE Sep11 Aug29 Aug08 Jun25 Nov16 (abrams r)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00    
10  OUI MADAME Sep10 Jul23 Jul09 Jun12 Jun03 (christman k)RAMOS O 122 20.00    
11  ANNA ROCKS Sep11 Aug27 Aug04 Jul01 Jun12 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 4.50    
12  DESI'S REWARD Aug29 Jul19 Jul03 May31 May15 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.