Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/1/3)-(2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/1/5)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/1/3)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/6/5)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/2/6)-(7/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(7/6/5/2)-(2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-7   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(2/6/7)-(8/1/4/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-8   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(8/1/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(8/1/4/12)-(1/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-9   WIN (8/1/4/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/12)-(8/1/4/12/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/12)-(8/1/4/12/11)-(8/1/4/12/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/4/12)-(1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/12)-(1/9/4)-(2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-10   WIN (1/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/4)-(1/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/4)-(1/9/4)-(1/9/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/9/4)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EMD-11   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LAIR Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 Jun09   (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 113 4.50 45% 1.20    
2  EMERY'S ROSE Sep06 Aug18 Aug10     (cryderman candic)MAWING A 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FORTYSHADESOFTIGER Aug25 Aug11       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 1.80    
SCR  RED LEADER Aug23         (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00    
5  SHADOW ON THE SUN         (essex charles)REYES R 120 3.50    
6  NASTIKA'S SECRET         (essex charles)CRUZ M 120 8.00    
 
EMD-2   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAT SEEKING LETA Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jul14 Jun22 (dronen sam)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.50 20% 3.90    
2  NEISSA Sep01 Aug10 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 121 10.00    
3  MO CONNELLY Sep01 Mar19 Feb19 Dec31 Dec10 (johnston)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 13% 6.90    
4  MIST OONA B Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Sep16 Aug27 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 5.00    
SCR  HEY BARMAID Sep01 Aug25 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 4.50    
6  FAMILY TRIPS Aug24 Jul07 Jun22 Mar08 Dec17 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  A PERFECT PATH Apr21 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 May21 (mcdaniel l)REYES R 125 6.00    
 
EMD-3   09/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAN ELIZABETH Sep08 Aug11 Jun16 Jun01 May12 (gabriel luciano )MONTALVO C 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
2  DON'T TELL HYDEE Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jun28 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Sep01 Aug24 Aug10 Aug02 Jun30 (hernandez )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00    
4  OREO'S DREAM Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 Jun28 May25 (wisdom anne)REYES R 125 3.50    
5  SMILING THUNDER Aug23 Jul06 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  FOR YOU ONLY Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 (belvoir howard)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
 
EMD-4   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFINITE LOVE Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 125 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 Jun30 Jun08 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00    
3  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 Jul06 (martinez david )LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00 10% 8.80    
4  SHE'S A KRAKEN Sep06 Aug16 Aug09 Jul27 Jul20 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SPORTY NUGGET Aug16 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 Jan26 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 15.00    
SCR  DREWY Sep08 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun21 (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 118 12.00    
7  BIG JOLT Sep06 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 10.00    
8  CHROME'S BEST COPY Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 (birdwell tena)GUTIERREZ M 125 1.80    
 
EMD-5   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A SKIP IN THE PARK Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
2  OWHATARUSH Aug04 Jul21 Jun21 May26 Aug27 (wisdom anne)REYES R 125 3.00    
3  PUBLIC APPEARANCE Aug31 Aug24 Jun15     (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
4  MANGIA PANE Aug30 Aug04 Jul03 Jun21 Jun02 (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M 125 4.50    
5  UNCLE PETE Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jun29 Jun07 (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
6  GYPSY GUN Aug09 Jul27 Jun23 May26 May04 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
EMD-6   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KO SAMUI (IRE) Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul12 Jun16 (gabriel luciano )MONTALVO C 122 1.60    
2  MOVE OVER (GB) Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun28 Jun16 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 125 8.00 21% 3.70    
3  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 Jun08 (tubbs scott)REYES R 122 4.00    
4  I'M NOBLE Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun02 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MADE THE TEAM Sep07 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul19 (gabriel luc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
6  MARCH ON LINCH Aug25 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 12% 7.30    
 
EMD-7   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST WA Cup Filly Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPIN SEVENZ Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 Jun09 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 8.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of GO JACKIE GO by MATTY G)
2  EMERALD SEA Aug31 Aug11 Jul06 Jun07 May19 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZBUD out of OUT TO SEA by SEA SALUTE)
3  NATION'S BELLE Sep06 Aug04 Jul03 Jun16 May26 (cooper kay)KRIGGER K 121 12.00    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of BELLTOWN BEAUTY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  ROCKIT A DAY Aug30 Jul14 Jun23 May31 May04 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 117 5.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of JACOBITA by FOREST WILDCAT)
5  STAY SASSY Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 May19 Sep16 (essex charles)REYES R 123 4.00 11% 8.30    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PIPPA BOU PEEP by HARBOR THE GOLD)
6  I'M TELLING MOM Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun15 May31 (toye joe)CRUZ M 119 1.80 16% 5.40    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of GREAT MOM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  CHAI Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May19 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of FIND YOUR SPOT by NATIONHOOD)
 
EMD-8   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Muckleshoot Tribal Classic Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVAL ESCORT Sep07 Aug25 May26 Sep17 Aug27 (martinez david )LOPEZ KARLO 123 10.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CAPE GRACE by ABRAAJ)
2  PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 Nov26 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 123 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of BROOKIE GIRL by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 0.80    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
4  ITS KRAKEN TIME Aug30 Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 May26 (wisdom anne)REYES R 121 15.00    
  (by RUNNING TAP out of ITS DIVA TIME by YOU AND I)
SCR  CHUCKANUT BAY Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 Jun07 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00    
  (by ABRAAJ out of ZENOVIT by PRIVATE GOLD)
6  COASTAL JAZZ Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 Jun16 May18 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by COAST GUARD out of JASMINE'S MELODY by ARTAX)
7  COASTAL KID Jul28 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 121 12.00 8% 10.80    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
 
EMD-9   09/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Gottstein Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY CABALLO Aug11 Jul13       (wenzel tom)MAWING A 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIVA MALALA by MALIBU MOON)
2  A THOUSAND MILES Aug03 Jun22 Jun09     (evans justin)KRIGGER K 118 15.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SWISS ARMY WIFE by COLONEL JOHN)
3  BORDER VIGIL Jul27 May27 May12     (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of WAR TWEET by DATA LINK)
SCR  HE'S NOT TALKING Aug25 Aug11 Jul07     (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 121 5.00 6% 16.10    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of NO TALKING BACK by FLATTER)
5  SHESAYSHELLO Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Apr25 Apr11 (birdwell te)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 30.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of MORETHANJUSTHELLO by MORE THAN READY)
6  CHECKERED FLAG Sep01 Aug11       (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RACY RASCAL by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  THIRSTY VISION Aug10 Jul07 Jun23     (rosales jorge)REYES R 121 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY SCARLETT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
8  SI THAT TIGER Aug04 Jul13 Jun09     (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
9  COLONEL LUDLOW Aug23 Aug11       (evans just)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COMEDIA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  IMPASSABLE (IRE) Aug25 Aug04 Jul07     (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 6.00    
  (by BARKLEY out of STAR PROTOCOL by HE'S TOPS)
11  NIJINSKY HALO Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 May10   (mcdaniel l)CRUZ M 121 10.00 ★    
  (by SURF CAT out of BLUE SKY HOLIDAY by VICTORY GALLOP)
12  BIG BOWIE Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 May04 Apr11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of BE MY BABY by OGYGIAN)
 
EMD-10   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANTASTIC DAY Sep07 Aug25 Aug09 Jul14 Jun23 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  EL ALTO HOMBRE Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Apr29 Apr17 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 10.00    
SCR  EL BROMISTA Aug17 Jul07 Jun08 May11 Feb25 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
4  GIANT GAME Aug11 Jul27 Jun12 Apr13 Mar01 (evans justin)REYES R 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
5  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 15.00    
6  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Aug11 Jul27 Jul03 Jun16 Jun02 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 2.50    
SCR  JIN TONG Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 Jul03 Jun16 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 3.50    
8  KNOCKOUT GUY Aug31 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Jun29 (fearon j)AMADOR RUIZ 122 30.00    
9  EXECUTIVE CHEF Aug17 Jul28 Jun30 Jun07 Sep09 (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
EMD-11   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEPHEN JAMES Sep06 Aug24 Aug04 Jul19 Jun28 (pirone mary )OROZCO E 122 10.00    
2  KALINE Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 Jun23 Jun09 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  J T'S WATCH Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun21 May27 (mcdaniel l)LOPEZ KARLO 125 5.00    
SCR  WINTER FALCON Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul12 (evans justin)REYES R 125 3.50    
SCR  WESTPHAL Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Jul03 May26 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
6  LANGSTON ROAD Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 Jun01 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00    
7  CLAYTON DELANEY Sep07 Aug17 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.