Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(5/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/3/4)-(9/6/8/1/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(9/6/8/1/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(9/6/8/1/4)-(3/5/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-4   WIN (9/6/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/1/4)-(9/6/8/1/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/1/4)-(9/6/8/1/4)-(9/6/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/8/1/4)-(3/5/6/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/1/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(9/2/7/3/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
PID-5   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/4)-(9/2/7/3/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/4)-(9/2/7/3/4)-(5/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-6   WIN (9/2/7/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/3/4)-(9/2/7/3/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/3/4)-(9/2/7/3/4)-(9/2/7/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/7/3/4)-(5/7/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/3/4)-(5/7/4)-(2/1/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT FAME Oct20 Oct03 Sep22 Sep15   (carr-rozant)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
PARTY HOPPER         (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 117 8.00 20% 3.90    
FIT AS A FIDDLE Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Apr25 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  SHEZ UNTAPPABLE Jul10 Jun17 May27 Jul26   (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
EASY SEVEN Jul31 May27       (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
FIRST FORAY Jul31 Jul04 Jun12     (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
 
PID-2   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODDLY ATTRACTIVE Aug07         (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
SIG Jul06 Jun02 May18 Feb03 Oct08 (rivera justin)LUNDIE KEVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of SUEDE SHOE by PULPIT)
S S FUN AND GAMES Aug05 Jul23       (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 120 4.00 8% 11.40    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of DIDHEMENTIONMYNAME by THUNDER GULCH)
OPHELIAS DREAM Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 May27 Oct18 (wismer s)STANLEY O 119 4.50    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
TARSUS WARRIOR Aug05         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 1.40 65% 0.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of VALENTINE'S PEARL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ADIOS ASHWOOD Jul01 Jun11       (delong ben)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SPLITTING STONES Jul23         (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of AS PROMISED by CENTURY CITY (IRE))
 
PID-3   08/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPITY UP Aug07 Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Jun04 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
BOURBON BLAST Aug13 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50    
ANIPPE Aug07 Jun25 May28 Feb08 Dec27 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Jul16 Jun04 Apr11 Mar25 Mar04 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
LADY HAMILTON Aug05 Jul11 Jun15 Jun04 May04 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
WILD DELIGHT Jul29 Jul16 Jul04 May27 Nov02 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 3.50    
 
PID-4   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JASMINES WORLD         (kleine bernard)LOPEZ DERECK 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PRINCESS JASMINE by ARTAX)
TWO SCOOPS Jul18 Jun17       (hamm timothy)BAYS BROOKE 113 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MY SUGAR by CONGRATS)
MOCHA DIANE         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of KAHANA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
TESSITURA         (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of OCTAVE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
COURAGEOUS ARI Aug07 Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of THATZA WRAP by HARD SPUN)
MARKET ORDER Aug07         (kleine l)FOX CHRIS 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of MARKET PRICE by TOUCH GOLD)
TIMELESS LOVE         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ROSE SAPPHIRE by CONGRATS)
JOYS OF SUMMER         (rice adam)ROJAS MARTINA 120 4.50 8% 11.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CLEAR POND by DYNAFORMER)
ART NOUVEAU Jul22 Jul03       (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MODERN MASTERPIECE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
PID-5   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADYNESS Aug21 Jul18 Jul05 Jun12 May23 (boyer jr)BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00    
NOW ACT SURPRISED Jun11 May22 Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
KAGERO Aug06 Jun26 Jun03 May27 Oct26 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
BOCA Jul24 Mar16 Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
VALIANT VICTORIA Jul31 Jun19 Apr26 Apr07 Oct19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
CHEROKEE CHATTER Aug21 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
GREEN CHILE Aug14 Jul10 May24 May03 Feb08 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 10.00    
TUDOR PEAK Aug14 Aug06 Jun25 May29 May11 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
 
PID-6   08/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AND THATS MY STORY Aug05 Jul24 Jul08 Jun19   (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
MISSIONARY MAN Aug05         (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEBEC by INTO MISCHIEF)
NOTFANUTIN Aug12 Jul07       (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FU PEGGI SUE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
OL' NELSON Aug12 Jul24 Jul08     (ruberto louis )ALLEN D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of POTENTIAL DIVA by SUAVE)
BRAGGART JOE Aug05 Jul18 Jun19     (johnson jen)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SALTY SCATT by SCAT DADDY)
VINO COURAGIO Aug05 Jul24       (connelly tere)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
PREACH IT WARRIOR Aug05         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 8% 12.30    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
NICOLE'S WILL Aug05 Jul24       (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of NICOLE H by MR. GREELEY)
LAKE CUMBERLAND Jul24         (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 4.50 52% 0.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of WATERSIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
PID-7   08/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 Jun25 Jun10 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00    
Q F SEVENTY FIVE Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 May21 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
VAN Aug01 Jul23 Jul02 Jun12 May28 (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
DELTA RIDGE Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 Jun18 May27 (ruberto )RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
STARSHIP EMPIRE Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 May29 Oct26 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
AQUACAT Jul17 Jun23 May25 May04 Oct11 (rodriguez hug)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
R ADMIRAL Aug06 Jul17 Jun18 May28 Oct02 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
PID-8   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA MEDIUM Aug12 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 Jun03 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
HENRY'S WORLD Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 May28 Apr13 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 1.80 29% 2.40    
SAMURAI LEGACY Aug19 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 Jun12 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 124 10.00 8% 10.90    
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Aug06 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 Oct17 (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00    
UNCLE JOCK Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May22 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
LEONARD'S LEGACY Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 Jun03 Oct26 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
THE COOKIE MAN Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 May28 Dec13 (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
SEEING RED Mar20 Mar05 Feb13 Jan15 Jan01 (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.