Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/5)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/5)-(5/3)-(6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(6/4/3)-(1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(1/5/6)-(5/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/6/3)-(2/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-6   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(2/5/1)-(1/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/4/7)-(7/4/1/8/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-8   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(7/4/1/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-9   WIN (7/4/1/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/8/6)-(7/4/1/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/8/6)-(7/4/1/8/6)-(7/4/1/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKEITAWAY Jul14         (boyce michele)FELIX E 119 1.60 23% 3.30    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
RUMBLING         (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LIL RUM TUM by KODIAK KOWBOY)
QUALITY STORM Jul15 Jun24       (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 4.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of VIVA NEVADA by WAR CRY)
SNEAKY FEET Aug11         (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 10.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FUZZY KIM by MADRAAR)
LEOS WISH         (lopez elias)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MITOLE out of DONNIE'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
ELIZA VANCE Jun23         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 116 3.00    
  (by MITOLE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
 
HAW-2   08/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPID'S WAR Jul21 Jun22 May25     (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
DRAFTSMAN Jun22 Aug20       (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 120 12.00    
RAYFIELD Aug15 Jun08       (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
MONEY AGENT Jun08 May05 Apr21 Apr06 Mar23 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 1.80 5% 19.00    
PETE'S LEGACY Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Oct17 Sep30 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CUCUY Jul06 May26 Apr28     (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
CRUZIN N CURSIN Jul28 Jul07       (lindsay ri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
 
HAW-3   08/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mystery Giver Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER QUARTERS Jun23 Jun04 May13 Mar30 Mar07 (manley steve)WALES T 117 5.00    
  (by GENERAL QUARTERS out of SYND by WILD SYN)
SCR  READTHECLIFFNOTES Aug08 Jul06 Jun23 May19 Apr28 (boyce michele)FELIX E 116 4.50    
  (by READ THE FOOTNOTES out of LIL CORA TEE by LIL E. TEE)
TOWERING STORM Aug04 Jun30       (block chris)COHEN DAVID 115 4.00 7% 12.40    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of RALLY CATCHER by GREENWOOD LAKE)
MAN ON ATTACK Aug04 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 May18 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 6.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of SOUTHERN WONDER by CHICAGO SIX)
ANOTHER MYSTERY Jul25 Jun23 May19 Oct13 Sep09 (block chris)MOJICA O 123 1.20 70% 0.40    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
SCR  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Oct11 Aug30 (block chris)REYES FRANK 114 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PEACEFUL BATTLE by GREENWOOD LAKE)
 
HAW-4   08/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT A COUNTRY Aug06 Jun09 May26 May05 Apr05 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
ARDANWOOD Aug08 Jul06 Jun09 Apr28 Apr06 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 124 1.80    
SIVAKO Jun28 May19 Mar08 May28 Apr09 (block chris)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
READTHECLIFFNOTES Aug08 Jul06 Jun23 May19 Apr28 (boyce michele)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  CODE RUNNER Jul07 Apr17 Jan12 Dec09 Nov09 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 12.00    
EMPIRE BUILDER Aug15 Jul19 May11 Apr13 Jan21 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
RUNWITHHEART Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (berndt joel)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00    
 
HAW-5   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD APPLE Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May12 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  TABLE MONEY Jun08 May12 Apr19 Mar24 Mar10 (haran john)FELIX E 122 4.00    
STRANGE ARRANGE Aug08 Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May12 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 3.00    
MOHAAFETH Jul28 Jul18 Oct08 Sep14 May22 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 122 8.00    
PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Jul30 Jul14 Jun22 May26 May12 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
BREAKING NEWS (GB) Jul28 Jun22 May25 May12 Apr27 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUCKY SHOT Jul14 Jun15 May25 Apr27 Mar30 (banks chri)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 12.00    
 
HAW-6   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMAND RANSOM Aug08 Jul28 Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 (hughes ear)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00    
OVER CALENDARED Aug04 Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 May05 (spagnola ida)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
SOVIET STANDARD Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar24 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
BE LUCKY Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 May19 Feb02 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 5.00    
UNCLE HEADLEY Sep07 Aug02 Jul09 May11 Apr08 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 63% 0.60    
ONE PUTT RICHIE Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May11 (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Aug04 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 May14 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
MALIGATOR Aug08 Jul18 Jun30 Jun09 Apr27 (reid r)COLON H 122 4.50    
 
HAW-7   08/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATAW ISLAND Dec09 Oct22       (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CROSSANNA Jun15 May12       (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of LEADING ASTRAY by BELONG TO ME)
MY VERSION Jun25         (walsh p)EMIGH A 120 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS by GHOSTZAPPER)
ELODINE Jul25 Jun30 Jun12 May12 Apr07 (lopez elias)FELIX E 120 4.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BELIEVE YOU WILL by PROUD CITIZEN)
DEAL'EM AND WEEP Jul11 Jun15       (block chris)MOJICA O 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MACHIVA Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun23   (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 120 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of FOREVER AFTER by SADLER'S WELLS)
SCR  CLASSY ACTION Jul06 Nov11 Sep26 Sep02   (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CLASSIC JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
TIZMEONEMORETIME Aug15 Aug04       (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 30.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of TIZ AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
HAW-8   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMARITA Jul28 Jun21 Jun01 May04 Apr10 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  JOLIE RULER Jul27 Jul06 Jun16 May28 May04 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00    
SCR  DOCS SEVEN Aug11 Jul17 Jun30 Jun08 May19 (manley steve)WALES T 124 5.00    
FIRST KITTEN Jul28 Jun29 Jun18 Apr27 Apr13 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
BETTY'S SECRET Jul16 May25 Nov07 Oct17   (randazzo t)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 20.00    
RACEDAY ATTIRE Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 Jun14 Apr27 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
TRIPLE SCOUT Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 May20 Apr30 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 125 6.00 12% 7.40    
LILY'S WOOFY Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 Jun01 Apr13 (randazzo ted)EMIGH A 124 4.50    
 
HAW-9   08/25/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIL'S GEM Aug04 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 (rosas rigo)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
ROMANTIC ATTACK Aug04 May12 Aug23 Jul30 Jun18 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
SENSE OF SELF Aug04 Jun23 Jun16 May26 May12 (ramirez carlos)COLON H 122 20.00    
KINGSBURY DREAM Aug04 Jun16 Aug02 Jun21 Jun01 (childers vance)EMIGH A 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
ZENCHUA SKY Aug01 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May05 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
TAPERINEA Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun25 May23 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
COTTON CANDY ANNIE Aug11 Jul14 May12 Apr14 Dec16 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
TRIBEST (ARG) Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 May18 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 7% 14.00    
LOTTA ROSES Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Jun02 May19 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.