Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Great Falls
Sunday - July 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GF-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
GF-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-8   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-9   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
GF-10   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-11   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/8/1/6) 9 $3.00 $27.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/8/1/6)-(3/8/1/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GF-1   07/28/2024 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOOZY SUZY Jul20 May11 Apr30 Apr04 Mar06 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00    
2  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Jul20 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Jun08 (dennis g)BUGEAUD L 126 3.50    
3  MINNIE'S READY Jul13 Jun29 Jun02 Apr26 Apr12 (oliver d)BETHKE A 126 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  FESSY Jul20 Jul14 Jun22 Jun16 Jun02 (schindler jeff)GAMEZ M 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
5  NINADAVINA Jul21 Jul30 Jul23 Jul16 Oct09 (mcgowan ja)MCGOWAN M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE GLITTERS Sep09 Sep03 Jul29 Jul22 Jul16 (reevis narsis)GERVAIS M 126 4.00    
 
GF-2   07/28/2024 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Jul21 Jul14 Mar08 Feb13 Feb05 (fitzpatrick rya)GERVAIS M 126 2.00    
2  SUNDAY FUNDAY Jul14 Jun30 Sep02     (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  EL CAPRICHO Jul20 Jun22 Jun15 Jun02 Apr25 (fitzpatrick ryan)BUGEAUD L 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  VINCE'S CORNER Jul21 Jun30 Apr20 Sep30 Sep16 (gibbs tyler)GAMEZ M 126 8.00    
5  PRIVATE TRAX Jul20 Jun14 May27 May05 Apr13 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
6  NACHO GRANDE Jun09 Mar14 Mar07 Feb23 Jan19 (burd marci)BANDA F 126 3.50    
 
GF-8   07/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Golden Triangle Thoroughbred Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP WARNING Jul20 Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May19 (warren kayla)SHEPHERD J 126 3.50    
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of SWISS PLEASE by SWISS YODELER)
2  GO GET THAT Jul20 Jun05 May21 May08   (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of YOU HEAR US COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  CHRISTINE'S JACK Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 Jun09 Sep24 (smith jackie)BUGEAUD L 126 5.00 33% 2.00    
  (by MUSKETIER out of KISSAMEE GLITTER by TEXAS GLITTER)
4  WISKEY CROWN Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 May19 May05 (warren kayla)GAMEZ M 126 2.50    
  (by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT out of A PENNY LANE by DEVON LANE)
5  SILENT DECLARATION Jul20 Jul13 Sep16 Sep09 Aug27 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of PINATA CAT by TIZNOW)
6  FAYETTE WARRIOR Jun23 Jun09 May19 Apr20 Apr07 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 1.60 41% 1.50    
  (by EXCHANGE RATE out of LEGENDARY PEACE by PEACE RULES)
 
GF-9   07/28/2024 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Great Falls Turf Club Derby Purse ($8.3K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTUCKY Jul21 Jul14 Jun28 Oct08 Sep02 (gibbs t)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 3.00 6% 16.10    
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  CALEB CAT Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Jun08 Apr27 (oliver d)SHEPHERD J 124 3.50    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of PALACE CAT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
3  TOOLITTLETOOLATE Jul20 Jul14 Jun01 May18 Apr26 (nordlund pat)BUGEAUD L 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of JET SET GIRL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  MR. SHORTY Jul20 Jul14 Jun22 May14 May05 (nordlund pat)GERVAIS M 124 2.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
GF-10   07/28/2024 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN TIGER May21 May14 May06 Sep09 Sep04 (reevis narsi)BANDA F 126 6.00    
2  ARLEN'S PROSPECT Jul31 Jul30 Jul16     (birdrattler )JOHNSON SHANAE 126 4.00    
SCR  MAKAH LANE Jul21 Jul14 Jul30 Jul22 Jul16 (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 123 8.00    
4  SHOCKAZULU Jul20 Jun29 Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00 69% 0.50    
5  CARRIZO SPRINGS Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 Jun23 Jun09 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.50 5% 17.80    
6  FREEDOM FLASH Jul20 Jul14 Jun15 Jun02 May26 (schindler je)BETHKE A 126 2.00    
 
GF-11   07/28/2024 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVENIR Jul13 Jun30 Jun23 Jun16 Jun09 (ibanez alberto)LARSEN S 126 8.00 7% 13.30    
2  SOUTH SEA Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May19 May05 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 4.00    
3  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jul20 Jul14 Jul23 Jul03 Jun16 (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00 59% 0.70    
4  EVIL TEMPTATION Jul20 Jul14 Jun30 May04 Apr21 (warren kayla)SHEPHERD J 121 5.00    
5  WEST WARPATH Apr20 Mar23 Dec08 Nov17 Oct03 (schindler je)BETHKE A 126 4.50    
6  SABURO'S GRACE Jul13 Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 Aug20 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Jul20 Jul29 Jul22 Jul16 Jun25 (burd marci)BANDA F 121 10.00    
8  NO LIMITATION Jun30 Jun14 May26 May03 Apr20 (falls marvin)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.