Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Great Falls
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GF-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/5/4) 9 $3.00 $27.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(5/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
GF-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GF-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
GF-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
GF-5   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
GF-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
GF-9   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
GF-10   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GF-1   07/27/2024 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORE THAN LIKELY Mar17         (gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 121 10.00    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of SORA by CROWD PLEASER)
2  SMILING RENEGADE Jul14 Jun14 Jun02 May26 Apr30 (greer randy)SHEPHERD J 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by JERANIMO out of ALL SMILES by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  TEDDYISTRUCKING Jul14 Jun22 Jun15 Jun08 Jun01 (schindler je)BETHKE A 117 4.00 33% 2.10    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GATEAU ST HONORE by DON GATO)
4  GO GABRIELLA Jun30 Oct14 Sep09 Oct29 Oct10 (dennis)BIRDRATTLER E 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of RED SUNSET by IRGUN)
5  WOLF'S LIFE Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 (dennis g)BUGEAUD L 126 4.50 ★    
  (by CITY WOLF out of LIFE'S A THRILL by TANNERSMYMAN)
6  TRAILERS BULL PEN Jun30 Jun16 May26     (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 122 6.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of COLOR ME SEXY by MISREMEMBERED)
7  ONE PRETTY GIRL Jul14 Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 Mar09 (olson kenneth)GAMEZ M 126 5.00    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of ETERNAL JOY by NEW WAY)
8  AMERICAN BANNER Jun22 May18       (matt r)CARDENAS JACOB 121 7.00    
  (by SCOTTISH ROGUE out of SEA NYMPH by SEA OF SECRETS)
 
GF-2   07/27/2024 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILK ROAD SALLY Sep23 Sep02 Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 (gibbs tyler)GAMEZ M 126 7.00 13% 6.50    
2  TURBO CHICK Jul14 Jun25       (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 121 5.00 6% 16.40    
3  HIT'EM UP Jul21 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 Jun01 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 121 1.60    
4  BLOOMING HILLS Jul20 May18 May17 May12 Apr27 (birdrattler )BETHKE A 126 4.00    
5  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jul21 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (nelson buckshot)SHEPHERD J 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
GF-3   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOSITY Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 May25 Apr12 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 5.00    
SCR  OUR HALLIE Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 May27 May03 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 4.00    
3  DONNA LIRICA Jul14 Jun29 Jun08 Jun02 May25 (ibanez alberto)LARSEN S 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
4  ABRAA JABRAA Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  HAYNESPUN Jul21 Jul13 Jun23 Jun08 May25 (warren kayla)SHEPHERD J 126 2.00    
 
GF-4   07/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R T'S IRON MAN Jul13 Jun15 Jun08 Jun02 May27 (ibanez alberto)LARSEN S 126 7.00    
2  JAKE THE GREAT Jul01 Jun23 Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 126 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  OMACHE KID Jul20 Jul13 Jun23 Jun14 Jun02 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 2.00    
4  FLASH OF GLORY Jul01 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 Oct07 (little )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  OUTRIGHT May12 Apr21 Oct29 Oct01 Sep09 (schindler je)BETHKE A 126 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
GF-5   07/27/2024 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP C/G PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE CANDY RANDY Jul21 Jul13 Sep23 Jul30 Jul16 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  DENNYS LEGACY Jul21 Jul07 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 124 7.00 5% 19.00    
3  NIPAWIN Jul20 Jul13 Jul30 Jul15 Jul31 (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 4.00    
4  COWBOY GOLD Jul20         (burd marci)BANDA F 126 5.00    
5  DRAW THE FOUL Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 Sep23 Sep17 (smith jackie)BUGEAUD L 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
GF-7   07/27/2024 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRATH Jul13 Jun16 May04 Apr19 Apr05 (schindler je)BETHKE A 126 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  REAL PENNY Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 May18 (warren kayla)SHEPHERD J 126 1.40    
3  SECRET ENCORE Jul21 Jul14 Jun14 May25 May11 (burd ma)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 6.00    
4  MASK OFF Jun29 May25 Apr27 Apr13 Mar22 (jones brendon)LARSEN S 126 8.00 25% 3.10    
5  HUG THE MUNNY Jul14 Jun09 Sep24 Jul30 Jul16 (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FASCINATED Jul21 Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May19 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 3.00    
 
GF-9   07/27/2024 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREATIVE LETTERS Jul13 May26 May03 Apr05 Oct27 (ibanez alberto)LARSEN S 126 4.00 14% 6.10    
2  GOLDEN COWBOY Jul20 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 Jun02 (smith jackie)BUGEAUD L 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  GEMINI BAY Sep10 Sep05 Aug20 Jul17 Jun18 (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 126 8.00    
4  DANCE FOR RANSOM Jul20 Jul13 Jul29 Jul22 Jun25 (schindler je)BETHKE A 126 4.50 10% 9.20    
5  RIDGEFIELD ROCKET Jul13 Sep16 Jul30 Jul16 Sep18 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
6  CHA CHING CHARLIE Jul20 Mar22 Feb09 Jan25 Jan11 (falls j)BANDA F 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
7  TOP STAR Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 Jun02 Sep01 (olson kenneth)GAMEZ M 126 6.00    
8  HIDETHELOOT Jul20 Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 Sep04 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 5.00    
 
GF-10   07/27/2024 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAREDEVIL PRINCESS Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May26 May12 (daychief mik)BETHKE A 126 15.00    
2  BIG BLUE NOTE Jul21 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun09 (warren kayla)SHEPHERD J 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE Jul20 Jul13 Apr27 Sep02 Aug18 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.50    
4  WARREN'S QUEEN BEE Jul20 May20 Mar05 Feb13 Dec18 (burd marci)BANDA F 126 8.00    
5  JADED TIGER Jul13 Jun08 Mar11 Feb26 Sep24 (smith jackie)GAMEZ M 126 4.50 13% 6.60    
6  DAZZLING MIST Jul13 Jun08 Sep30 Sep23 Sep09 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 126 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  BAD OUTLOOK Sep09 Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.