Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (9/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/5)-(9/3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/3/5)-(9/3/7/5)-(9/3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (9/7/2/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/4/8)-(9/7/2/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/4/8)-(9/7/2/4/8)-(9/7/2/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/2/8/9/3)-(6/2/8/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-5   WIN (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/8)-(7/1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8)-(7/1/4/8/3)-(7/1/4/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER FLOWER Jul12 Jun16 May18 Feb17 Jan28 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 6.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PHALEONOPSIS by SIPHON (BRZ))
SCR  MILDOON Jul06 Jun16 Jun08 May18 Sep10 (huston ro)VARGAS A 119 4.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
3  ONE FINE WINE Jul06 Jun08 May18     (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PINOT GRIGIO by UNBRIDLED JET)
4  ME SO LUCKY Jul12 Apr03 Mar12 Jan08 Dec26 (carango)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of CANDIDE by BERNSTEIN)
5  LILY THE KID Jul12 Jun28 Jun16 May18 Nov02 (grullo)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALI out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
SCR  SALT AND LIGHT Jul06         (harris holl)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
  (by IL POSTINO out of SPA SUNRISE by EDDINGTON)
7  MOLLY'S A BULLET Jul06 Aug27 Jul21 Jun30   (margotta ant)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00 ★    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
8  FIRST REIGN Jul12 Jun15 Jun08 Sep15 Aug27 (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 123 2.50    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BY THE LEE by MIZZEN MAST)
9  RICHIE'S VALENTINE         (kendall denn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WHAT'S UP by DYLAN THOMAS (IRE))
10  LADY TRIXMEISTER Jun21 Jun08 Oct13 Sep15 Aug27 (harris)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 15.00    
  (by TRICKMEISTER out of FINE FELINE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  BINGO'S ESPRESSO         (sanchez jose )OLVER MADISON 119 6.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of ENGLISH SARAH by ST AVERIL)
SCR  GYPSY STYLE Jul06 Jun16 May18     (carango )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
 
MTH-2   07/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY STAR Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May18 Apr15 (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jul06 May19 May04 Apr13 Mar13 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00 6% 16.20    
3  MUNDO MIX Jun16 Jun01 May19 May12 Apr17 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 3.50    
4  OSPREY Jul02 Jun16 May30 Apr30 Oct09 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  JAKE ROCKS May11 Apr19 Apr05 Feb19 Feb02 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 2.50    
6  STRIKING SPEED Jun14 Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 Mar01 (dutrow richa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00    
 
MTH-3   07/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY SCEPTER Jun12 Mar13 Feb26 Jan02 Nov08 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00    
2  WHAT'S GOOD Jul12 Jun15 Apr06 Mar17 Feb22 (sweezey kent)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 13% 6.60    
3  PINK ROSE Jul14 Jun26 May06 Mar10 Feb21 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00    
4  SPUNFORFUN May27 Apr05 Mar15 Jan26 Nov25 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00 7% 14.20    
5  LISA'S PALACE Jun22 Jun08 May26 May04 Apr05 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 112 20.00    
6  BAZZARINA Jul06 Jun15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec24 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00    
7  BUTTERFLY QUEEN Jul20 Jun28 Jun15 May25 Apr20 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  ARMONIA Jul12 Jun15 May03 Apr21 Apr14 (avila jua)BOCACHICA J 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  THUNDARA Oct28 Aug16 Jul13     (antonacci phi)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
MTH-4   07/26/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 2 ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOIN THIS Jul04         (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 10.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of THIS IS NICE by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
2  J J ZO ZO Jul04         (sanchez jose )RIVERA D 117 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  BOARDWALK JACK         (owens edd)VARGAS A 117 6.00 ★    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of EBONY BALL by PARK AVENUE BALL)
4  CLASSICAL TALE         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00    
  (by DON SIX out of WHO PLAYS BRAHMS by BRAHMS)
5  WILDNCRAZYNIGHT         (ward dan)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of PROUD TO BE WILD by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  SMUGGLER'S GOLD Jul04         (lynch cathal)BRAVO J 117 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ROMNEY MARSH by MIDSHIPMAN)
7  HURRICANE JERRY         (ward dan)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 110 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LEE out of TSUNAMI STRYKER by FAIRBANKS)
8  ST. ERLING Jul04 Jun21       (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SPUN SILVER by GRAND SLAM)
9  ROYAL PERFORMANCE         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 ★    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BORN TO ROYALTY by KING OF KINGS (IRE))
 
MTH-5   07/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APEROL SPRITZ Jun26 May25 Mar20 Feb21 Dec28 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  CAPTIVATING SOUND Jun15 May25 Apr14 Apr05   (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 119 6.00    
3  BOLT OF PARADISE Jun30 Jun21 Nov05 Aug19 Jul29 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00 ★    
4  GULF COAST GIRL Jun29 May25 Apr17 Mar30 Feb28 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 4.00 ★    
5  QUEEN CATALINA Jun29 Jun15 Nov05 Sep28 Sep11 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
6  SHE'S FANTASTIC Jul12 Jun22 Jun14 May25 Jul29 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 117 15.00    
7  IN RETROSPECT         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 55% 0.80    
8  OUR GIRL FLINT Jul07 May29 May19 Mar29 Feb09 (hurley r)JARA FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SPEEDY N SMART Aug18 Aug05 Jul21     (chatterpaul naip)JUAREZ NIK 123 10.00    
SCR  LION'S MIRACLE MO Jun23         (handal ra)VARGAS A 119 8.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Jun07 Dec15 Oct29 Sep16 Sep02 (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 123 6.00    
SCR  SHAMU Jun30 Jun15 May25 Apr24 Mar13 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
 
MTH-6   07/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Regret Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECLUSIVE Jul13 Jun14 May27 May05 Apr18 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ROCKINTOTHERHYTHM by BROAD BRUSH)
2  TALK TO THE JUDGE Jul08 Sep16 Jul29 Jul15 Jun01 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 118 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TALKIN SMACK by TALK NICE)
3  INTREPID DAYDREAM Jan27 Dec23 Nov24 Oct14 Sep28 (joseph saffi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.40 68% 0.50    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of INTREPID TOUR by JUMP START)
4  MIA'S CRUSADE Jul06 Jun02 May18 Oct06 Aug27 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 ★    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MINI MONEIGH by MO MON)
5  DISCO EBO Jul08 Jun24 May18 Apr13 Feb17 (reid robe)VARGAS A 124 4.50 ★    
  (by WEIGELIA out of KATARICA DISCO by DISCO RICO)
SCR  MS. BUCCHERO Jun21 May13 Dec17 Nov03 Sep16 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of GIVE GLORY TO GOD by MUTAKDDIM)
7  BEL PENSIERO Jun02 May18 Sep10 Jul28 Jul15 (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
8  PACIFIC ROSE Jun28 Mar09 Feb16 Dec09 Nov12 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAPLES ROSE by BERNARDINI)
 
MTH-7   07/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECTACULAR LUCK Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 Apr12 Mar08 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
2  RAPTURE BAY Jul04 May12 Apr12 Mar02 Feb10 (delgado j)VARGAS A 117 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  HARD SPUN FANTASY Jul04 Jun22 May26 Apr27 Apr04 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50    
SCR  KERN RIVER Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 Jan01 Dec14 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 15.00    
5  RUN CORY RUN Jul06 May11 Mar02 Jan21 Dec16 (gomez pompeyo)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  MORETHANICANHANDLE May26 Apr20 Mar01 Feb14 Jan06 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  C C GOLDRUSH Jul03 Jun11 Jun02 Nov12 Oct10 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.00 14% 6.10    
8  MAMA BANNED ME Jun26 Jan14 Dec28 Dec03 Nov11 (hernan)GONZALEZ JR 119 20.00    
SCR  TITANIUM RECKAGE May01 Apr24 Mar25 Mar06 Nov28 (truehart )BOCACHICA J 116 20.00    
SCR  MOTSKARI Jul05 Jun24 Jun03 Apr27 Mar23 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.00    
11  BALLINDINE Jun22 May26 Apr07 Mar22 Mar01 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
 
MTH-8   07/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESASUPERFREAK Jun24 Nov25 Nov03 Sep25 Aug30 (hernan)GONZALEZ JR 124 8.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SWEET BLINDNESS Jun15 May25 Sep11 Aug09 Jul25 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
SCR  DISTORTED VIEW Jul04 Jun17 May20 Apr17 Feb28 (linder j)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50    
4  QUEEN TAPITURE Jun30 May18 Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 (falcone robe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.00 43% 1.30    
5  MATOULA Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 May25 Apr06 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 114 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Jun29 Mar01 Jan31 Dec15 Dec06 (sweezey j)BOCACHICA J 119 8.00    
7  JOY'S PRIDE Mar19 Mar04 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.