Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/3/2/4)-(8/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/4)-(8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/4)-(8/2/9)-(1/6/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/9)-(8/2/4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/9)-(8/2/4/9/3)-(8/2/4/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/9)-(1/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/9)-(1/6/2/8)-(8/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/8)-(8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/8)-(8/3/1)-(2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/1)-(8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/1)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1)-(2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1)-(8/6/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/1)-(8/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S JOY Jun28 Jun06 May10 Apr05 Mar16 (comi w)THORPE DARIUS 120 3.50    
SCR  HONOUR'S CHOICE Jun22 Apr30 Mar22 Mar01   (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
3  BREAKING BULLET Jun28 Apr25 Apr04 Feb09 Jan10 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50    
4  TWO STEP SALLY Aug18 Jul08 Jun16 May12 Apr06 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Jun28 Jun08 May16 Apr25 Apr04 (aylor natasha )REAP E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOVELY LUCY Mar13         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
CT-2   07/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEY TO THE CASTLE Jun28 Jun08 May17 Dec07 May26 (espinosa vic)LEWIS M 115 15.00    
2  IMINCHARGENOW Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 Nov15 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 120 15.00 13% 6.70    
3  BLUSHING BIP BOP Jun27 Jun06 May24 May02 Apr11 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
4  GREY FLAMINGO Jun27 May16 Apr04 Feb24 Feb14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CEDAR'S IMAGE Jul05 Jun08 May24 May02 Apr06 (greaves vernon)REAP E 120 0.60 37% 1.70    
6  MISS INTENSITY Jun27 Jun06 Nov08 Oct27 Sep15 (pickett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 10.00    
7  TUESDAY TOO May16 Apr04 Mar15 Feb02 Jan24 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 4.50    
 
CT-3   07/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICE'S MOON         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
2  DIAKONISSA         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of FLORID by LEMON DROP KID)
3  BOSS LADY K P Jun28         (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00 ★    
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
4  SUPER EMOJI Jun28         (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00 ★    
  (by BULLSBAY out of RIGHT NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
5  LOVE YOU A LATI Jun28         (barahona i)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 30.00    
  (by HELLO BROADWAY out of LEMON LATI by CHARITABLE MAN)
6  WHY NOT DIXIE Jun28         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of WHY NOT MORE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  LUNAR TICK         (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PRIZED ANNUITY by PRIZED)
8  COLLECTING ANGELS Jun28 Jun08       (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.00 49% 1.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of BELIEVE IN ANGELS by FLATTER)
9  LOOK AHEAD Jun28         (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PREVIEWER by SKY CLASSIC)
10  JUBA B WILD Jun28         (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
SCR  POPPY MAC Jun28         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
 
CT-4   07/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RICHIE Apr25 Apr05 Mar08 Feb22 Jan25 (gur battu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 63% 0.60    
2  COLONIAL ROAD Jun22 Jun07 May11 Apr25 Mar29 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 10.00 7% 13.10    
3  COLD CASH Jun07 May17 Apr20 Apr05 Mar06 (pickett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 12.00    
4  MALEKES MAGIC Jun22 Jun01 Feb15 Jan11 Jul22 (aylor natasha )REAP E 122 20.00    
5  YAREAKH Jun22 Apr25 Apr05 Feb22   (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
6  GETTIN SPICY Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 Apr26 Apr06 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 119 10.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  RACING HOT LINE Jun07 May16 Apr25 Apr05 Nov03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.00    
8  FAPPIANO HALO Jun22 Mar15 Mar07 Feb01 Jan13 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   07/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPESTIVO Jun29 Jun08 May09 Apr07 Feb10 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VESELSKY Jun14 May24 May12 Apr27 Apr12 (singh somraj)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 15.00    
3  OZONE Jun29 Jun13 May23 May04 Feb25 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 14% 6.20    
4  BON BUENO Jun27 May16 Apr25 Apr04 Feb16 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
SCR  GABRIEL SEVEN Jun29 Jun15 May12 Apr12 Mar10 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 8.00    
6  SCHMEAR Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr25 Apr04 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER Apr29 Feb29 Feb01 Jan11 Jan02 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
8  STOMPING MOON May28 May05 Apr09 Mar15 Feb23 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
9  KEANU May16 Apr05 Feb27 Feb14 Nov05 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
 
CT-6   07/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID REASON Jun22 Jun06 May09 Mar09 Feb16 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LITTLE BIT OF THAT May09 Mar09 Feb16 Jan04 Dec16 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  SHELLBY May17 Apr13 Feb16 Jan05 Dec02 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 8.00    
4  SHUTUPN'KISSME Jul04 Jun07 Apr26 Mar20 Feb21 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
5  DELIGHTFUL BREEZE May09 Mar20 Feb14 Feb01 Jan12 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 14% 6.10    
6  SNOWY JUBA CAT Jun28 May23 Feb22 Feb02 Dec13 (bass cu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00    
7  SULTRY SALLY H Jun23 Jun16 May12 Apr20 Mar30 (vick timot)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 10.00    
 
CT-7   07/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUDE AND JUMPER Jul12 Jun24 May06 Apr02 Feb03 (rangel ricardo)MAWING A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  HEIR PORT May27 May04 Apr13 Mar01 Jan06 (craig armonte)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
3  IKIGAI Jul06 Jun23 May26 Jan12 Dec02 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00    
4  MATH MAN MARCO Jun20 May25 Apr19 Jun17 May19 (mangual)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
5  LIKE SEGAL Jun23 Feb16 Jan26 Sep17 Aug11 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 7% 12.50    
6  OUTKISSED Jun29 Jun14 Apr12 Mar24 Mar03 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 1.20    
7  COMPANY CLOWN Jun27 May17 Apr26 Feb03 Dec14 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
CT-8   07/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET LOADED Jun28 Jan24 Dec23 Nov30 Nov09 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  MAIDENS BLUSH Jul06 May30 May04 Apr13 Nov11 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
3  WAC IS FAST Jun28 Jun06 May24 May03 Apr20 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HIDDEN RIVER Jun28 Jun15 May30 May10   (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 118 30.00    
5  FEATHER WISH Jun27 Jun15 May30 May10 Jun22 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 10.00    
6  TIDBIT Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr25 Mar27 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  LOVE NOTION Jun27 Jun06 May27 May16 Apr25 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 5.00    
8  EIGHT OZ MOCHA Jul06         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 1.40 50% 1.00    
SCR  GATOR TWENTY FIVE Jun28 Jan20 Dec06     (lewis w)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
SCR  S S ITS FUN TO RUN Jun15 May30 May10 Apr20   (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00    
SCR  EXTRA DIRTY Jun23 Jun07 May04 Apr12 Feb11 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.