Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Great Falls
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GF-3   WIN (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
GF-4   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/3/4) 9 $3.00 $27.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
GF-6   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
GF-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
GF-8   WIN (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/8)-(7/4/5/8) 9 $3.00 $27.00 
    TRI (7/4/8)-(7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GF-3   07/14/2024 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN QUEEN Jun14         (gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 121 8.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of QUEEN'S RUSH by OLD FASHIONED)
2  TEDDYISTRUCKING Jun22 Jun15 Jun08 Jun01 May18 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 117 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GATEAU ST HONORE by DON GATO)
3  WOLF'S LIFE Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 Jun02 May11 (dennis g)BUGEAUD L 126 4.50 8% 12.10    
  (by CITY WOLF out of LIFE'S A THRILL by TANNERSMYMAN)
4  CHASUBLE Jun14 May18       (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 117 10.00    
  (by PONTIFF out of SATIN BOUQUET by FLOWER ALLEY)
5  BEER THIRTY Jun30 Jun16 Sep03     (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of APRIL SKY by BENNY THE BULL)
6  ONE PRETTY GIRL Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 Mar09 Feb24 (olson kenneth)GAMEZ M 126 6.00    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of ETERNAL JOY by NEW WAY)
7  SMILING RENEGADE Jun14 Jun02 May26 Apr30   (greer randy)BANDA F 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by JERANIMO out of ALL SMILES by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  SECRET ENCORE Jun14 May25 May11     (burd ma)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 5.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of APPHIA by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
 
GF-4   07/14/2024 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOSITY Jun30 May25 Apr12 Mar24 Mar15 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Jun30 Jun15 Jun08 Jun01 Apr24 (dennis clift)LARSON SHAWNDA 126 7.00    
3  KANDI SIXTY Jun28 Jun14 May26     (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 121 4.50 ★    
4  FESSY Jun22 Jun16 Jun02 May18 May12 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EVIL TEMPTATION Jun30 May04 Apr21 Apr04 Mar15 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 5.00    
6  TURBO CHICK Jun25         (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 126 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  ONE SHOT TO WIN Oct07 Sep23 Sep17 Jul29 Jul16 (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00    
SCR  SHE GLITTERS Sep09 Sep03 Jul29 Jul22 Jul16 (reevis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
 
GF-6   07/14/2024 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OMAHA RUTSCH May18 Mar16 Feb24 Dec17 Dec03 (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00    
2  BRANNY Jun30 Jun08 May26 May18 Dec11 (warren kayla)BANDA F 121 3.00    
3  MR. SHORTY Jun22 May14 May05 Apr26 Jan11 (nordlund pat)GERVAIS M 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
4  MONTUCKY Jun28 Oct08 Sep02 Aug27   (gibbs t)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUNDAY FUNDAY Jun30 Sep02       (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
6  FREEDOM FLASH Jun15 Jun02 May26 Apr27 Apr05 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 126 4.50 13% 6.50    
7  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Mar08 Feb13 Feb05 Jan11 Dec12 (fitzpatrick )LARSON SHAWNDA 126 8.00    
 
GF-7   07/14/2024 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prince Purse ($8K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT MEMORIES Jun16 Jun08 Apr25 Apr16 Mar27 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of STARDUST MEMORIES by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  CHRISTINE'S JACK Jul01 Jun23 Jun09 Sep24 Aug13 (smith jackie)BUGEAUD L 126 2.00 73% 0.40    
  (by MUSKETIER out of KISSAMEE GLITTER by TEXAS GLITTER)
3  SHARP WARNING Jun29 Jun02 May19 Apr29 Mar25 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 3.00 ★    
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of SWISS PLEASE by SWISS YODELER)
4  TOOLITTLETOOLATE Jun01 May18 Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 (nordlund pat)GERVAIS M 122 4.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of JET SET GIRL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  HUG THE MUNNY Jun09 Sep24 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  CALEB CAT Jun30 Jun15 Jun08 Apr27 Mar23 (oliver d)BANDA F 122 3.50    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of PALACE CAT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
GF-8   07/14/2024 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL PENNY Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 May18 May12 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 4.00    
2  CLASS COMPOUNDS Jun29 Jun15 Jun02 May18 May04 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 5.00    
3  ASTERN BANKER Jun29 May27 May19 Apr20 Apr06 (olson kenneth)GAMEZ M 126 6.00    
4  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jul23 Jul03 Jun16 May29 May14 (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 126 10.00 11% 7.70    
5  KAELY'S BROTHER May18 May05 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 126 3.00 ★    
6  WITCHY WINDSOR May19 Apr12 Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 (crooked dale)LARSEN S 121 8.00    
7  FASCINATED Jun29 Jun02 May19 Apr19 Mar08 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 4.50 62% 0.60    
8  MAKAH LANE Jul30 Jul22 Jul16 Jun11 May19 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.