Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(5/1/4)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/2/4)-(7/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(7/5/1)-(10/11/1/8/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-4   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(10/11/1/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(10/11/1/8/7)-(1/4/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-5   WIN (10/11/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/1/8/7)-(10/11/1/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/1/8/7)-(10/11/1/8/7)-(10/11/1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/11/1/8/7)-(1/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/11/1/8/7)-(1/4/7/6)-(3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-6   WIN (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/6)-(3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/6)-(3/4/9)-(2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (3/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/9)-(3/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/9)-(3/4/9)-(3/4/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/9)-(2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO DOLLAR EDDIE May22 Apr21 Mar15     (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HOPE LANDING by THE FACTOR)
OVERSPENT         (hendriks richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of UNAFFORDABLE U by LANGFUHR)
KHOOLZAN Nov11 Oct14 Sep02 Jul22   (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of TWOCATSINTHEYARD by ANDIRON)
BOLD D'ORO Jun13 May04 Mar04 Feb03 Jan15 (compton gre)ROBLES O 117 1.20 37% 1.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BURBAN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SUMMER READY Jun02 Apr27 Apr12 Mar21   (rubley kelly)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ANNIE AND CAROLINE by VERRAZANO)
PILOTE COMETE May22 Feb16 Jul02 May27 Apr28 (perkins b)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ABUNDANCE OF CLASS by MINESHAFT)
 
DEL-2   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANTERN'S CANDY Jun13 Jun05 Apr07 Mar17 Feb02 (nambo cesar)CEDENO CAROL 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
SHE SO COOL Jul03 Jun26 Jun01 May22 May04 (ro)LUNA PAUL 120 12.00    
DIVINE EXCHANGE Jun26 May17 May02 Mar09 Feb09 (kelly blake)CENTENO E 122 2.50    
CLASSY MISS Jun03 May13 May04 Apr16 Mar27 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MUSIC AMORE Apr03 Mar13 Jan21 Aug12 Jul01 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  SHELL BELLE Jun29 Apr23 Apr16 Mar18 Mar04 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00    
HELEONORTIZ Jun29 Jun08 May20 May04 Apr23 (siculietano)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 15.00    
 
DEL-3   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINO AND ME Jun20         (pecoraro ant)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
UPTOWN MISS Jun20         (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  MAP TO THE MOON Jun08 Jun01       (corrales j)ALBERT S 118 8.00    
MISS MAVIS         (werneth robert)HIRALDO JOHN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST PEARL Jun29         (capuano g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 1.50 59% 0.70    
GOLDEN PHILLY         (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00    
SWEET AND FEISTY Jun20         (nambo cesar)CEDENO CAROL 116 12.00    
WHY NOT GRACE Jun20         (gorham michael )CENTENO E 118 8.00    
 
DEL-4   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT EDGE Jun29 Apr12 Jan13 Nov16   (brinkman )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNSWAYED Jun11 May12       (duarte jo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 3.50    
SCR  GREAT KISSER Jun07 May16 Mar20 Mar07 Jan25 (salvaggio mark)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00    
CLEVER TIGER Jun26 Jun12 Nov29 Oct19 Sep07 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 109 12.00    
TIZ LORD Feb04 Jan20       (arriagada juan)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 10.00 16% 5.30    
ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS Jun21 May31 May24 May09 Mar21 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00    
SIR MI TOLEE Jun13 May22 May04 Apr14 Mar08 (rodriguez)HERNANDEZ A 116 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
DEL-5   07/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL FORTRESS         (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 6.00 7% 14.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of COLD HEARTED PEARL by PARADING)
SCR  EXHALE Jun24         (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ANDREA'S PRIDE by GIO PONTI)
MINDFUL ANGEL         (shuman mark)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of ANGEL PARK by BLAME)
SCR  LOVE MUSIC         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LOVE BEACH by BERNARDINI)
XOCHIL         (rodriguez j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of ROBE by ARCH)
SEVEN'S MAGIC         (bailon ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
SOFTWARE         (motion graha)LUNDIE KEVIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
FEEL THE BOLT         (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GANGBUSTERS by BROKEN VOW)
GRAND EMPRESS         (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 12.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of OWAW'S EMPRESS by BODEMEISTER)
10  GATA BRAZIL         (russell b)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of AMERICAN STORY by GHOSTZAPPER)
11  BELLE OF THE SOUTH May25         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUMMERLAND by HE'S TOPS)
 
DEL-6   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTREPID'S LEGACY Jun29 May16 Apr12 Mar22 Mar02 (capuano g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
CACTUS Apr14 Mar14 Feb11 Jun15 Apr28 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.00    
MY HANDSOME MAN Jun20 Jun07 May22 May04 Apr18 (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 123 12.00    
ZATIP Mar20 Feb28 Jan27 Jan03 Nov23 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 123 2.00 25% 3.10    
DUTCH MILLS Jun13 Apr27 Mar10 Feb10 Jan06 (compton gre)ROBLES O 111 5.00    
PRINCESS CUPID Oct19 Aug02 Jun28 May23 Mar24 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET DRAGON Jun19 May18 May04 Mar08 Feb23 (rodriguez)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
DEL-7   07/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO TOUGH Jun13 May24 May16 May05 Apr05 (simone michael )CENTENO E 120 10.00    
PRECIOUS AVARY Jun08 Apr22 Nov11 Oct14 Aug27 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50    
THAT'S MY CAT Feb10 Dec30 Dec09 Oct12 Sep06 (hardesty les)HALLIDAY VINCE 120 12.00 33% 2.00    
MY GIRL GINGER Jun16 May25 Mar30 Mar07 Feb22 (hernandez c)ASTUDILLO FELIX 108 10.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MISS AMAZING Jun13 May22 May03 Nov04 Sep02 (ashby lynn)HIRALDO JOHN 115 15.00    
SCR  BLONDE SAMARITAN Jun29 Jun19 Oct13 Sep07 Aug24 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
SCR  LA PACHANGA Jun02 Apr27 May29 May13 Mar26 (mcgaughey)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
DIVINE GRACE Jun29 Jun16 May22 Apr17 Feb27 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00    
AMORICA Jul04 Jun08 May25 Apr14 Mar03 (rodriguez je)BATISTA A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAKEMEBELIEVE Jun26 May04 Apr12 Mar22 Mar07 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
SCR  VINGATIVA Jun25 Jun13 May29 May03 Apr26 (simone mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 10.00    
SCR  DOWNTOWN KATIE Jul05 May29 Nov19 Oct14 Sep09 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 4.50    
SCR  BALI KUTA Mar13 Feb14 Jan18 Dec06 Nov04 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
 
DEL-8   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ILLUSION OF HOPE May16 Mar08 Feb11 Jan13 Dec30 (gorham micha)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
MOON ME AGAIN Oct25 Oct07 Sep20 Sep02 Aug19 (sullivan ellio)EVANS CECILY 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
THUNDER BOSS Jun11 May29 Mar27 Mar13 Feb23 (harigeorg)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BAHAMA PEARL Jun24 May18 Apr30 Mar11 Feb07 (soto- ma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 6.00    
SHEZA NASTY GIRL Jun19 May30 Apr10 Mar17 Feb04 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 2.00    
FANCY PRINCESS Jul03 May29 May16 Mar30 Mar15 (salinas giovan)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00    
OLIVE KAT May16 Apr26 Mar30 Feb11 Jan20 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.