Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - June 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/2/6)-(3/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LS-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/9/8)-(4/2/6/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/5/2)-(5/9/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LS-4   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/9/4)-(10/3/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-5   WIN (5/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/4)-(5/9/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/9/4)-(5/9/7/4)-(5/9/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-6   WIN (10/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/8/7)-(10/3/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/8/7)-(10/3/8/7/6)-(10/3/8/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-7   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/4)-(1/6/8/7)-(6/8/11/5/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/7)-(6/8/11/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-9   WIN (6/8/11/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/11/5/10)-(6/8/11/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/11/5/10)-(6/8/11/5/10)-(6/8/11/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERS 'N BEARS May19 Apr26 Mar29 Mar16 Feb09 (pish danny)DIEGO V 120 2.00    
2  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Jun02 May18 Mar17 Feb25 Feb02 (echev)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY FAVORITE SONG Jun02 May18 Apr26 Apr07 Mar03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00    
4  BUBBA'S RECKLESS Jun14 May12 Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  WINGS FOR ENO Jun02 May18 Apr26 Oct18 Sep05 (payne danny )PIVARAL GERBER 124 4.50    
6  POSEIDONS WAVE May04 Apr21 Mar24 Feb17 Jan21 (young b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
LS-2   06/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($22.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTERY MO Jun16 May31 May05 Apr07 Mar29 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 121 6.00 25% 3.10    
2  NAUTICAL MOON May31 Apr18 Mar29 Mar16 Feb24 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 121 4.00    
3  GREATHEART May26 May04 Mar08 Feb02 Dec09 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.00    
4  NEXT REVOLT May04 Feb25 Feb03 Nov08 Sep30 (diodoro robertino)DIAZ RENE 121 2.00    
5  MALIBU S S May26 May17 Apr18 Mar16 Feb25 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  CATDADDY May26 Apr26 Mar21 Feb25 Feb03 (petalino joe)DIEGO V 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-3   06/30/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASSEMBLED STORM Jun19 Jun08 Mar27     (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
2  GROVE ST. Jun01 May12 Mar13 Feb24 Jun17 (davis h)PEREZ A 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  CINCO GAL Jun08 May19 May03 Apr18 Mar22 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 20.00    
4  FIESTA BESTA May27 May03 Apr06 Mar06 Feb10 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  LEONE Jun21 Jun08 Apr21 Mar30 Mar03 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00    
6  PINK SOLITAIRE May27 Apr06 Mar17 Feb23 Jan21 (willis mindy)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  JUST ADORABLE Jun15 May11 May03 Apr06 Mar29 (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 8.00    
8  TIFFANY'S FERRARI Mar29 Mar16 Mar03 Feb23 Feb07 (hibdon mark )WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 15.00 ★    
9  MARKET PROFILE May26 May04 Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 3.00 ★    
 
LS-4   06/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEUTRALIZE Jun02 May02 Feb22 Jan07 Feb25 (newbold jon)ALVAREZ L 124 3.50    
2  IZE A BLAST May25 Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPEAK SOFTLY May17 Apr21 Mar22 Mar03 Jan27 (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
4  COURAGEOUS CAPPEN May03 Apr20 Apr06 Mar10 Mar01 (durham danele)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00    
5  BALI GIRLEE Jun15 May19 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  LET HER BUCK May27 May03 Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 2.50 ★    
7  FELLA'S SISTER Apr06 Jan26 Nov29 Nov10 Oct05 (will)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00    
SCR  CUPID'S MUSIC May25 May05 Apr07 Mar23 Mar08 (durham danele)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00    
 
LS-5   06/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLD BOYS CLUB Jun15         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DOUBLE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CLINT         (bravo f)GONCALVES R 119 5.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DIVA'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
3  MULTIPLE OPINIONS         (a)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of HONG KONG HELEN by PALACE MALICE)
4  BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DREAM ON KAYLA by DECARCHY)
5  KENTUCKY DREAMIN Jun15         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of AGUADILLA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  BOOZEINTHEBLENDER May14         (young scot)ERAMIA E 119 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of EBONY UNO by MACHO UNO)
7  CATAMOUNT         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of RANCOR by OXBOW)
8  CHEROKEE SUNRISE         (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 8.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BELLEOFTHEBRIDLE by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  THE CHALK         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of BEEN STUDYING HER by FAST ANNA)
 
LS-6   06/30/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW WEST         (p)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of SEPHORA by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
2  SO JACKSANN         (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 12.00    
  (by WILBURN out of SO WHAT by YOU AND I)
3  WEC KEAH Jun09 Apr06 Feb16 Jan21   (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 2.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPER BUGGY by GRAND SLAM)
4  COUNTY SLUGGER Jun22         (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of FCCOUNTRYDAY by AIR COMMANDER)
5  STACY'S RARE FIND Jan19         (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of MOUNTAINOFMUNNY by MUNNINGS)
6  CHANGE IT UP         (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 6.00 ★    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SET TO DANCE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  WARRIOR'S RETURN May17 Jan07 Sep12 Sep03 Jul29 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WARRIOR MAID by HOLY BULL)
8  CANTHANDLETHEGHOST         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 120 4.00 6% 17.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of TIZAHANDFUL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  QUIET MELODY Jun21         (sauceda jess)PIVARAL GERBER 120 20.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of BIN QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  RUBIA Jun11 May23 Apr27 Mar02 Feb10 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WHISP O' SPRING by DA STOOPS)
SCR  DELPHINE Jun09         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CABANA by FLATTER)
 
LS-7   06/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUGGS May27 May04 Apr19 Mar22 Jan27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00    
2  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) Jun07 May05 Mar24 Nov24 Nov03 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  EMPERADOR Jun02 Apr07 Mar10 Feb23 Feb11 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  MIDNIGHT PRANKS May26 Apr16 Feb25 Jan26 Jan07 (ashford ray)QUINONEZ S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUMMER IN MALIBU May11 Apr19 Mar02 Feb03 Dec17 (diodoro ro)ERAMIA E 124 4.50    
6  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Jun02 May12 May03 Mar09 Feb19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
7  IT MAKES SENSE May10 Apr06 Feb04 Nov24 Sep24 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 12.00    
8  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Feb25 Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 Aug13 (calhoun will)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
 
LS-8   06/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERCENTS May18 Apr26 Mar07 Mar01 Jan12 (cappellucci dic)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  CAT TALE SKY May06 Apr03 Mar11 Feb25 Feb09 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00    
3  KOLKATA May18 Apr26 Feb02 Jan12 Nov09 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
4  MISCHIEF ANGEL Jun15 May11 Apr26 Mar29 Feb23 (davidso)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 3.50    
5  SUMMEROSA Apr26 Mar29 Feb23 Feb09 Dec13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
6  TEXAS TWINKIES Jun16 May05 Mar22 Dec17 Nov21 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
7  HAILEY'S JEWEL May18 Jan07 Jul03 Jun09 May29 (garza e)DIEGO V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  POETIC UNION Jun07 May18 Apr26 Mar30 Mar24 (c)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 7% 14.00    
 
LS-9   06/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'S TAQUITO May31 May11 Apr21 Apr07 Mar23 (sauceda jess)PIVARAL GERBER 121 12.00    
2  MANOR BORN Jun09 May19 Apr26 Feb24 Feb02 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
3  VARSITY May19 Apr26 Mar10 Feb03 Jan07 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 121 12.00    
4  GLENDALE May27 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
5  GO SPEED RACER GO Jun09 May10 Apr19 Feb24 Feb11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 6% 16.50    
6  BLUE BOON Jun09 May10 Apr07 Mar08 Feb11 (cravens ronnie)QUINONEZ S 124 6.00 42% 1.40    
7  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Jun22 May18 Apr18 Mar08 Feb16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
8  WIN WORTHY Jun09 May11 Apr19 Mar09 Feb16 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 5.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  RESOLVE NOW May17 Feb19 Jan27 Jan19 Dec15 (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 30.00    
10  R DOC May31 Apr20 Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 (durham danele)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  PRODIGIOUS BAY Jun15 May18 Apr21 Apr05 Mar07 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
12  TRULY DANZIG Jun08 Mar23 Sep29 Sep09 Jul01 (willis min)ERAMIA E 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.