Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - June 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (9/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/3)-(9/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/3)-(9/6/4/3)-(9/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/4/3)-(8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-3   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2)-(6/2/1)-(4/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/9/1)-(6/2/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-5   WIN (4/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/8/4)-(6/5/3/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/3/8)-(10/12/11/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-7   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/10/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/10/5/8)-(2/3/10/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(10/12/11/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-8   WIN (10/12/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/12/11/7)-(10/12/11/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/12/11/7)-(10/12/11/8/7)-(10/12/11/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   06/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DO YOUR JOB May04 Apr05 Mar01 Feb18 Nov18 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00    
2  TAKE FLIGHT May18 Apr26 Apr07 Mar10 Jan28 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
3  UNCLE NICK Apr21 Mar22 Feb29 Feb08 Jan12 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOARD CERTIFIED May04 Apr05 Mar22 Mar10 Feb18 (cappellucci dick)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  GOD'S GOLD May18 Feb25 Feb02 Dec18 Nov22 (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00    
6  COLONEL BARTON May19 Apr28 Apr12 Feb25 Dec29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  BIG PAPER DADDY May04 Mar22 Mar10 Sep16 Aug14 (a)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
8  TAKE ACTION Apr19 Mar03 Jan28 Jan05 Dec08 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 1.80    
9  MO TAP May27 Apr18 Mar22 Mar02 Dec07 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
LS-2   06/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOTIE May10 Apr28 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
2  IZATIZ Apr18 Mar23 Feb17 Dec02 Nov11 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TURN ON THE BLING Jun01 Mar23 Jan20 Nov09 Oct26 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 122 15.00    
4  BLUSHING BELLE Jun01 May04 Apr18 Mar23 Mar01 (love alan)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00    
SCR  DIXIE CARROUSEL May04 Apr07 Mar09 Jan07 Nov21 (gustafson austin)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50    
6  SUCCESSFULPATH May17 Apr21 Mar30 Jan27 Jan06 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
7  REASON OVER RICHES Jun01 May17 Apr18 Apr07 Mar08 (davidson br)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 8.00    
8  RECLUSIVE May27 May05 Apr18 Mar23 Mar01 (h)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
LS-3   06/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAFI C         (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 16% 5.10    
2  IRON MOON May12 Apr06 Feb25 Aug27 Aug12 (hernandez alex)BENAVIDES D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  IMPOVERISHED May05 Apr21 May21 Apr29 Apr07 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  CHROME CANDY May26 Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Mar02 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  NO MO WHINING May26 May04 Mar28 Mar16   (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 118 3.00    
6  ONE LAST THING May31 Sep01       (d)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
7  YOU TIME May31         (ortiz ru)GLASS DERBE 113 20.00    
SCR  HARDBALL         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 4.00    
 
LS-4   06/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODNESS         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ORB'S JOY by ORB)
2  TENSAS BOLT May11         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TENSAS PATCH by BROKEN VOW)
3  SILIVAS         (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FLIPSTER by PRESS CARD)
4  LA RONALDA Y G May26         (mendoza ed)ERAMIA E 119 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  SPIRIT OF VETERANS         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 6.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
6  FAST MEDICINE May26 May11       (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of CORRECT CALL by BUCKPOINT (FR))
7  SECRET VERSE         (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
8  IN SPITE OF IT         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DEAREST ONE by MACHO UNO)
9  CAFE AU LAIT         (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 ★    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of UNTAPPED by MALABAR GOLD)
 
LS-5   06/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUIS THE CHAMP May10 Feb25 Dec30     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
2  MAGICAL MARK May03 Feb02 Dec01 Nov09 Sep24 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
3  BANDERA BLING May12 Apr19 Mar03 Feb17 Jan21 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  KENTUCKY DAWN May10 Mar01 Feb04 Jan07 Sep28 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  SHARP LORENZO Jun01 May10 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00    
6  THIRD STREET May03 Mar23 Mar03 Jan27 Dec15 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
7  NO TROUBLE (IRE) May10 Apr07 Feb18 Jan18 Dec11 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
8  DEVIL'S MISCHIEF May03 Mar01 Feb10 Oct27 Oct13 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
SCR  RUSTY May25 Feb09 Nov13 Oct21 Sep19 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
 
LS-6   06/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D W STRONG May31 May17 Apr18 Feb24 Feb08 (butler w)GLASS DERBE 119 20.00    
2  CHANGING TIMES May26 May04 Apr13 Aug26 Jun22 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 3.00    
3  CROW'S NEST Jun10 Apr05 Mar10 Mar02 Feb23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 ★    
4  CASINO MO Jun02 May19 May10 Mar16 Feb09 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  DARYLSKLIMTOMANIAC May10 Apr21       (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 30% 2.30    
6  IOWA HAWKEYE Jun02 May05 Mar19 Feb20 Jan30 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  SEND OFF May17 May04 Apr26 Apr07 Mar24 (davidso)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00    
8  ROMAN GENERAL May31 May12 Apr21 Apr06 Feb18 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 120 4.00 ★    
9  RACE FOR DOUGH Jun02 Sep13 Jun23     (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 120 12.00    
 
LS-7   06/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RU MOR STARTER Jun02 May04 Apr21 Dec16   (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 120 6.00    
2  BUBBA'S RECKLESS May12 Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 Jan05 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
3  GHOST COWBOY May09 Mar08 Feb15 Jan12 Dec16 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
4  FLAT OUT PERFECT May19 May12 Mar24 Feb24 Feb03 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 120 12.00    
5  CAPTAINS COVE Jun02 May19 May05 Apr18 Mar24 (butler w)GLASS DERBE 119 4.00 ★    
6  FANDO Jun02 May18 Mar24 Mar03 Aug26 (uriegas)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00    
7  RED DRAW May19 Apr21 Apr05 Mar24 Mar03 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
8  RUSTY GADGET Jun02 May19 May11 Apr27 Apr05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE May05 Jan12 Aug07 Jul03 Jun02 (mejia jacobo)SALAZAR TERESA 119 15.00    
10  TEXAN FARMER May19 Mar24 Mar09 Feb17 Feb02 (t)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 ★    
11  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD May05 Apr07 Mar24 Mar16 Mar03 (s)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 12.00    
12  RICHARD'S TX BLING Jun02 May19 Apr21 Mar24 Mar03 (govea cesar)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00    
 
LS-8   06/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHTWIND May04 Apr05 Mar29 Mar02 Feb17 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 12.00    
SCR  STORM MAN Apr26 Mar03       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 20.00    
3  BROTHER REID May18 Apr16 Mar26 Feb25 Jan27 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 3.50    
SCR  RINGSIDE May05 Apr06 Feb22 Feb01 Nov11 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 8.00    
5  FIGHT'N READY May04 Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Jan12 (petalino joe)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
6  GOOD SWIMMER May11 Apr18 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 (willis min)ERAMIA E 122 15.00    
7  GOLD PRIZE May18 Apr07 Mar24 Feb23 Jan19 (j)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SARA'S SHAMAN Apr13 Feb18 Jan21 Sep10 Aug06 (young bob)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 ★    
9  MOON CAT May19 Apr26 Mar16 Feb18 Jan28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00    
10  OPTIMUS KAT May19 May10 Mar14 Feb13 Feb01 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
11  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD May19 Apr26 Mar23 Feb25 Jan15 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 8% 11.20    
12  MUFFIN NUTS May25 May10 Apr28 Mar15 Feb16 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  EXCAPING THE BLUES May27 Apr22 Mar26 Feb23 Jan21 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 122 15.00    
SCR  MR B QUIET Feb25 Feb04 Jan21 Jan04 Dec14 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.