Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1)-(5/1)-(2/3/4/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/3/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/3/4/6)-(6/5/8/4/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6)-(6/5/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(6/5/8/4/3)-(8/5/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/5/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/4/3)-(6/5/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/4/3)-(6/5/8/4/3)-(6/5/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/8/4/3)-(8/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/4/3)-(8/5/1/2)-(2/6/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/2)-(2/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/2)-(2/6/5/7)-(3/9/5/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7/8)-(2/6/5/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(3/9/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(3/9/5/4/1)-(4/1/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/9/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/4/1)-(3/9/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/4/1)-(3/9/5/4/1)-(3/9/5/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/5/4/1)-(4/1/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/10)-(4/1/10/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/10)-(4/1/10/8/2)-(4/1/10/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDONS MYTH Mar30 Jan21 Jan06 Dec22 Aug05 (ubide max)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
2  SIDNEY'S BID Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 Dec06 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
3  ROCK CHALK Mar10 Jun17 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 (smith r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00    
4  SKY TRAVELER Mar30 Apr22 Apr12 Mar19 Feb26 (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
5  LAPINSKI UNION Apr07 Mar16 Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 2.50 39% 1.50    
6  UNXPECTED TIGER Mar30 Mar13 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 3.00    
 
TAM-2   04/13/2024 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT FACES Apr07 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Mar30 Mar08 Feb14 Feb02 Jan07 (simone michael )CENTENO E 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  GOLDEN JUAN Mar30 Mar08 Feb23 Feb11 Jan24 (avila c)BATISTA A 123 1.80 13% 6.80    
4  SEA SPLENDOR Mar29 Mar20 Mar06 Mar31 Mar12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 20.00    
5  OFF THE MEDS Mar22 Mar03 Jan26 Dec30 Dec22 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00    
6  SWING LOW Mar22 Feb28 Jan26 Oct13 Sep25 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 119 8.00    
7  HERCULES Apr07 Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 Jan06 (james geral)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.00 11% 8.10    
 
TAM-3   04/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELESS ROSE Mar17 Jan31 Oct18 Aug23 Jul19 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00 6% 15.40    
2  I'M BLUSHING Feb03 Sep29 Sep01 Jul17 Jun19 (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 ★    
3  ANY PORT Feb25 Jan31 Nov24 Sep22 Sep03 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
4  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Feb24 Jan31 Jan20 Dec09 Oct26 (orantes yoni)ARROYO S 119 4.50    
5  KATIES A LADY Mar17 Feb25 Jan31 May13 Mar25 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
6  COVENANT LADY Feb24 Feb09 Dec06 Oct26 Sep12 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 114 4.00    
 
TAM-4   04/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Mar13 Jan17 Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 20.00    
2  DEVRA WARRIOR Mar23 Mar03 Jan24 Jan12 Sep19 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
3  COZYS PALACE Apr28         (puckett dwi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.50 11% 8.30    
4  MARTINI'S AMICA Mar29 Mar15 Feb28 Feb14 Feb03 (romero rafae)ARROYO S 123 5.00 6% 14.50    
5  TIME TO SALSA Jan12 Dec30 Dec16 Nov25   (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 123 6.00    
6  GLITTER GIRL Feb18         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  DERBY GIFT Feb18 Jan17 Jan05 Nov29 Nov05 (hunt don)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
8  G G'S DARK STAR Apr06 Dec31 Oct12 May27 Jan18 (cascallare)URDANETA J 123 15.00    
 
TAM-5   04/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER CHARLIE (FR) Mar23 Jul01       (rountree ca)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 20.00    
2  NOBLE HERO Apr03 Mar23 Feb02 Jan10 Dec23 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 122 12.00    
3  ADIOS JOE Mar23 Feb21 Dec23 Jan07 Sep24 (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ADMIRAL CURL Feb14 Dec23       (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIRE BARON Mar13 Feb28 Feb11 Jan24 Dec30 (paragallo je)BATISTA A 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
6  FIRST SLEW Mar20 Feb28 Feb02 Dec24   (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
7  LUCKY HEART Jan17         (marrero nesto)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00    
8  MILCHIN Mar29 Mar13 Feb24 Oct29   (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
9  VINDICATED TIGER Mar29 Oct20 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 4.50    
SCR  SUNSHINE KID         (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00    
11  RAGMAN Feb21 Jan24 Dec23 Oct08 Sep25 (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
SCR  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Apr05 Jan17 Dec20 Aug10 Jul21 (werneth rober)IORIO MELISSA 117 20.00    
SCR  SWIFT DANCER Mar20 Feb07 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
SCR  BLUE SOLDIER Feb16 Jan01 Dec10 Oct22 Sep17 (gonzalez ja)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
 
TAM-6   04/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Mar13 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 Oct11 (potts g)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 3.00 11% 7.80    
2  HENRY'S WORLD Apr03 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 Oct18 (wasiluk peter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  BEAST OR FAMINE Apr05 Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 Dec20 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
4  GONE NUTS Apr07 Mar28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec15 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 115 15.00    
5  MISTER BANJOMAN Apr03 Mar20 Mar09 Feb11 Sep16 (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
6  DAZZLING TRUTHS Mar24 Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Jan26 (mcgoey monica)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
7  ROGER MCQUEEN Mar13 Feb23 Jan24 Dec20 Nov13 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 5.00    
8  IMPERIAL KING Jan05 Sep06 Aug17 Apr29 Apr01 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 2.00 44% 1.30    
9  SAHM TEQUILA Mar06 Feb17 Jan24 Jan05 Aug27 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 110 12.00    
 
TAM-7   04/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RARE JEWEL Mar20 Feb18 Jan27 Jan03 Dec16 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
SCR  GROUNDED Feb25 Jan24 Dec15 Oct16 Sep26 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  EPIC LUCK Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 Jan10 Dec15 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
4  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Mar17 Feb28 Dec09 Oct19 Aug23 (potts ron)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 12.00    
5  BE HERE Mar17 Sep10 Aug18 Jul28 Jun17 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 8% 11.50    
6  JOURNEYMAN Mar17 Feb25 Jan24 Dec07 Nov18 (wright michael )CENTENO E 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  HARPOON HARRY Mar16 Feb16 Jan27 Jan03 Aug26 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Mar01 Jan27 Jan03 Dec09 Sep15 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 ★    
9  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Mar16 Feb28 Feb11 Jan26 Oct25 (marino gary)ARROYO S 122 10.00    
 
TAM-8   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBY'S BIG RED Apr04 Mar09       (seale)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of RUBY ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
2  INTO YOU Mar24         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 12.00    
  (by ROGUEISH out of LADY LOUSHE by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
3  MELLIFLUOUS Mar09 Feb02 Jan13     (mott i)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 33% 2.10    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FAIRY STAR by MORE THAN READY)
4  LET IT RIDENESS         (ness jam)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 7% 12.70    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SHREWSBURY PARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  D FLASH Mar09 Feb17 Feb04     (jones dougla)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of PRINCESS ERIS by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  NO SHOW NO CALL         (smith r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 15.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
7  TWO STORMY OCEANS Mar09         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TWO OCEANS by CAPE TOWN)
8  RIVER RIDGE         (campbell micha)MORENO ANGEL 120 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of VIOLENCIA by VIOLENCE)
9  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Oct06 Sep14 Aug27 Aug12 Jul23 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LITTLE RED EXPRESS by MONARCHOS)
 
TAM-9   04/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANADOR (FR) Mar16 Feb25 Jan31 Jul01 Jun03 (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 3.00 10% 9.30    
2  INFLUENTIALOUS Mar10 Jan31 Jan05 Nov29 Sep10 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00 ★    
3  MS BOOMBASTIC Mar10 Jan26 Dec29 Oct28 Oct13 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
4  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Mar10 Feb11 Jan19 Dec15 Nov25 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
5  LOVE UNLIMITED Mar30 Feb24 Nov11 Sep08 Jul29 (werneth robe)ARROYO S 118 30.00    
SCR  BOCA Mar16 Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 Dec29 (falk j)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 15.00    
7  SHE'S A JOY Feb04 Jan12 Dec23 Nov25 Oct27 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
8  SARATOGA GAZE Mar10 Feb25 Jan21 Dec23 Dec01 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 113 4.00 ★    
9  HEARTBURN Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 Dec29 (werneth r)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
10  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Mar16 Jan26 Nov04 Oct14 Sep02 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  FABULOUS CANDY Mar10 Jan28 Jan03 Dec20 Aug09 (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Mar29 Feb18 Feb01 Jan12 Jan04 (gatis chris)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.